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location Sumgait, Azerbaijan
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visits member for 1 year, 9 months
seen Jan 17 at 12:06
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Jun
13
awarded  Critic
Feb
3
comment What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
Thank you for your answer and comments. Absolutely, agree with you. it sounds wierd, but it is the reality. the country is not so well known and developed country. Take account its cyclicality, can the economic growth be considered as a factor or may be it will be more appropriate to use other approaches besides logit regressions?
Feb
3
comment What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
@JoshuaUlrich, I am modelling loan level data. the model coluld predict 19% of past prepayments only.
Feb
3
comment What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
I do agree what you said about interest rates. But the country where I am trying to forecast prepayment rate has very stable interest rates for 20 years. So in my case interest rate does not have just big impact because simply they don't change. Should Any other factors be considered?
Feb
2
revised What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
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Feb
2
revised What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
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Feb
2
asked What is the best way to forecast prepayment rate in an emerging market mortgage loan portfolio?
Jan
21
accepted Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?
Jan
20
comment Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?
Thank you for your detailled reply, any recommendations-books, articles- where I can go deeper with this topic.
Jan
19
awarded  Commentator
Jan
19
comment Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?
say we want to do duration gap analysis for mortgage bank which lends mortgage loans.. so themortgage bankwill havemortgage loan portfolio as one of its interestdependant assets in its balance sheet.my question is thathow should the duration ofthis portfolio be calculated?
Jan
19
comment Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?
Whatabout maculay duration(weighted average of a payment times) can the same methdology applied as forbonds?
Jan
18
asked Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?
Dec
19
awarded  Teacher
Aug
29
revised Role of skewness in portfolio optimization?
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Aug
29
answered Role of skewness in portfolio optimization?
Aug
26
comment What is the relationship between risk aversion and preference for skewness and kurtosis in portfolio optimization?
Quant Guy and @sheegaon thank you for giving me clue and direction.. It really helps me. I will try to write some brief notes when I complete my research.. thank you once more
Aug
25
revised What is the relationship between risk aversion and preference for skewness and kurtosis in portfolio optimization?
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Aug
25
revised What is the relationship between risk aversion and preference for skewness and kurtosis in portfolio optimization?
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Aug
25
awarded  Editor