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Jan
5
awarded  Teacher
Jan
5
comment How to vet an intraday strategy
Many questions in the same thread, why don't you split this?
Jan
5
answered How to vet an intraday strategy
Jan
4
comment How to account for jumps in intraday data when calculating beta?
@silencer Are you calculating beta to fit a model or to hedge a portfolio? In the first cast I would tend to smooth data less. Also, are you holding positions overnight?
Jan
4
awarded  Commentator
Jan
4
comment How to account for jumps in intraday data when calculating beta?
@chrisaycock What moving average window would you suggest? At 15 minutes per period, there is only 26 periods/day.
Jan
3
accepted How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
Jan
3
comment How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
Thanks, I will look further and post an extra answer if I make any progress.
Jan
3
revised How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
Rephrased question. Removed references to beta neutralization.
Dec
31
comment How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
I've found this thread about Beta. gappy argues against using daily Beta values to higher-frequency series.
Dec
31
comment How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
I read the link, it's an example of over-fitting. What do you mean by never look at in-sample statistics? How do you build your model terms and coefficients?
Dec
31
comment How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
About CAPM, usually it's applied to longer-term models, EOD at least from what I read. Can Fama/French factors or APT be applied to a 1-minute time-series model? Are there factors that more relevant for high-frequency?
Dec
31
revised How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
edited body
Dec
31
asked How to improve the consistency of explained variance statistics in a linear equity model?
Dec
20
awarded  Supporter
Dec
20
accepted Linear regression and assets direction prediction
Dec
20
comment Linear regression and assets direction prediction
Yes, that's what I was suspecting with my partial understanding of logistic regression. But let's stretch my question a bit: what if I wanted to fit a model for different return targets rather than just an up or down outcome. Would I have to run a logistic regression for each target level and then compare each r-squared or are there SEMs that can solve for the best return target (in the variance sense) and direction?
Dec
20
asked Linear regression and assets direction prediction
Dec
19
comment Time series price prediction and linear regression: using high/low rather than last quotes price
One problem I have with VWAP data is that for some intervals (1 minute in my case) the asset hasn't traded at all. I could discard those observation from the study, but I actually see quotes mean reversion as a validation of the hypothesis.
Dec
19
awarded  Scholar