1,616 reputation
312
bio website
location
age
visits member for 1 year
seen 1 hour ago
stats profile views 152

Oct
2
awarded  Enthusiast
Sep
28
comment What is the instantaneous P&L of a Variance Swap?
Perhaps he means something like the instantaneous credit risk of a variance swap?
Sep
28
comment Comparing MVO with Resampled Efficient Frontier
@richardmichaud I'm not sure that Meucci being a fan (no matter how much I like his work) or there being a patent are good reasons to want to use it. The best evidence you have going for resampling is papers showing it is comparable to Bayesian portfolio construction.
Sep
28
comment Comparing MVO with Resampled Efficient Frontier
I really like that last point.
Sep
28
comment Comparing MVO with Resampled Efficient Frontier
If you want to just compare the frontiers, why not just plot both of them?
Sep
28
revised Comparing MVO with Resampled Efficient Frontier
added 10 characters in body
Sep
27
comment S&P 500 P/E percentile
What do you mean Bloomberg accounted for it, but you didn't. If you select the S&P500 composition today and then get their P/E on 5/27/2007 and calculate 5 year return of them, then some of the stocks that are in the S&P500 today may not have existed five years ago (like a spin-off). Alternately, if you took the S&P500 as it existed on 5/27/2007, sorted by top percentile and calculated the return, then companies like Lehman may no longer exist and not have five year returns.
Sep
27
comment Fastest solver possible for portfolio optimization
I take it you mean you want to do a backtest that looks over the past n years using 30 different strategies. You might want to look to parallel processing. That tends to work well in this sort of situation.
Sep
27
comment S&P 500 P/E percentile
Does Bloomberg account for the changing composition of the S&P500?
Sep
27
asked Strategies for Liar's Poker
Sep
26
comment Average beta of index consitutents w.r.t. the index is 0.60
Just saying they should be consistent, but I'm not 100% sure it would be a big impact.
Sep
26
comment Average beta of index consitutents w.r.t. the index is 0.60
Just saying you should be consistent. Total return vs. total return or price versus price.
Sep
26
comment Average beta of index consitutents w.r.t. the index is 0.60
I'm not sure it would make a big difference (since the total return series should be highly correlated with the price series), but are you sure the index is total return if you're using the total return of the individual stocks? Outside of that I'd have to actually look at the data and code to have an idea. No other idea.
Sep
25
comment Average beta of index consitutents w.r.t. the index is 0.60
How about using the market capitalization weights you have and calculating the returns on this portfolio. Then plot and compare and calculate the beta. My guess is that you have some kind of data problem, like the index being in a different currency or something.
Sep
22
comment Average beta of index consitutents w.r.t. the index is 0.60
You might try calculating the weighted version as well. Another alternative, if you don't have market caps, is to calculate the return on the equally weighted portfolio of stocks you do have and then calculate the betas with respect to those returns.
Sep
21
comment Is inverted Japanese style curve persistent when negative rates are real / market - observed?
To be honest, I still don't understand what you're asking. I doubt you'll see a significant yield curve inversion when the short-term yield is kept at 0%. I just pulled on the Japanese curve on BB and saw inversion at the end of 1990 when rates were high, but nothing recent.
Sep
21
comment Is inverted Japanese style curve persistent when negative rates are real / market - observed?
The reason no one has answered this question is that it contains too many extraneous details. You need to simplify it.
Sep
20
comment Discrete returns versus log returns of assets
If you take normally distributed log returns and convert them to arithmetic, then they will become log normal. That's what I mean by estimating distributions easier. Also, it is easier to project log returns to the appropriate horizon due to time aggregation. As for invariance, see: symmys.com/node/85
Sep
20
comment Discrete returns versus log returns of assets
I'm not sure there needs to be a "study." You seem well aware of the reasoning. Arithmetic returns allow for easier cross-sectional aggregation and log returns allow for easier time-aggregation. The reason people use log returns is that (for equities) they are approximately invariant and are easier to work with in estimating distributions. However, proper procedure is to convert the log returns to arithmetic returns for the purposes of portfolio optimization and risk management.
Sep
20
answered Accounting for Withdrawals