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bio website researchgate.net/profile/…
location Vienna, Austria
age 32
visits member for 2 years, 2 months
seen 26 mins ago

Risk Manager at an Asset Management Company

External Lecturer at Vienna University of Technology


Feb
17
comment The distribution of jump gaps for Levy processes
Very good answer.
Feb
13
comment Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
Yes ... this should work. I have never implemented this, but it's worth trying.
Feb
13
comment Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
But this is not what you need. You need $E[\exp(-\int_t^T r_u du)|F_t]$ - this is the discount factor. You should find something like this there.
Feb
11
comment How to use Merton model to calculate default probability with monthly stock prices?
Formula 3 is wrong if you want to do the step from monthly vol to annualized vol.
Feb
11
answered How to use Merton model to calculate default probability with monthly stock prices?
Feb
10
revised Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
edited title
Feb
10
revised Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
added 519 characters in body
Feb
10
answered Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
Feb
10
revised Simulating the short rate in the Hull-White model
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Feb
6
comment Is the price of European put option monotone in volatility if we replace BM in Black-Scholes with a general Levy process?
The paper is behind a pay-wall. I assume he treats the jump-diffusion case. And yes - it should be monotonous in $\sigma$ as it is just Brownian motion between jumps. This should carry over to more complex Levy models.
Feb
5
comment Is there any way to adjust the average cumulative credit loss rates (Exihibit 22) in Annual Default Study 1920-2012 by Moody due to country risk?
Do you have a link to this study? How do you distinguish default risk from country risk?
Feb
4
comment Data feed for 10 year government bond yields
I often look for data and post questions. Then I get answers of the form: go to yahoo, google, quandl. This is no answer. Everybody who can do a simple internet search knows these pages. The problem in my mind is to find the right data on these pages as there are no good search tools and/or descriptions.
Jan
31
reviewed Approve suggested edit on time-series tag wiki excerpt
Jan
31
revised How does Vega of a call/put behave under the Black-Scholes model?
added 187 characters in body
Jan
31
answered How does Vega of a call/put behave under the Black-Scholes model?
Jan
31
comment fair price for a call option
I agree to Anna: 1st you have to discount. My point of doubt is: it sound as if the investor estimates some probabilities and expects some return. But in reality you can not choose or wish probabilies and expected returns for options. If it is a text book example then you can take those probabilies and use the binomial pricing as Anna points out.
Jan
31
comment Need overlapping sample autocorrelation correction for calculating asset return correlations
I think it is not serious to model correlations of 20 year returns for the reasons I have explained. For statistical modelling you need some kind of staionarity. Im my mind this is not present in financial markets over such horizons.
Jan
30
comment fair price for a call option
You are aware of general option pricing theory with no-arbitrage arguments? How can we interpet the probabilities of the investor? The expected return that he wants to have? In reality the market does not care what the investor wants. Is this a problem of no-arbitrage option pricing or real option pricing?
Jan
30
comment Need overlapping sample autocorrelation correction for calculating asset return correlations
The paper that you refer to is certainly interesting, but I would not advise you to use the method if you are not familiar enough with time series analysis. For the second comment: you want to calculate asset return correlations for 20 years ... remember 1989 (opening of Eastern Europe), introduction of the Euro in Europe around the year 2000, dot.com bubble, 2008 crash. What do you want to model/predict/estimate based in 20 year periods? You have a bit more than 2 such periods from the end of WW2 1945 until 1989 ...
Jan
30
comment Portfolio Optimization : Shrinkage of Covariance Matrix when data is available
You don't want to use 10 years of data just because your universe contains a lot of stocks. It is debatable whether you want to use pre-2008 data for an optimization with a holding period of say 6 months from now.