101 reputation
1
bio website n/a
location Napier, New Zealand
age 38
visits member for 2 years, 3 months
seen Jan 5 '13 at 20:27

Database driven web application programmer, with interests in regular expressions, Bitcoin, sustainability, and ethics.

Currently interested in new work opportunities!


Sep
19
comment Modeling asset performance to Bitcoin revenue
I suspect there are already large amounts of ASIC hardware coming online, given the spike in hashpower since July. Anyway, as this graph shows (bitcoin.sipa.be) network hashpower closely corresponds to difficulty, so you could use historic data for either of those values for your modelling. Both data sets are available in the blockchain, which is publically available. Not sure where else you might get it in a more useful format, but it would be appropriate to ask that question on Bitcoin.SE if it hasn't been asked already.
Sep
19
comment Modeling asset performance to Bitcoin revenue
You're certainly taking on a difficult task, given the lack of freely available information on Bitcoin (eg what hardware is being used, who's doing the mining, how much speculation is affecting the market).
Sep
19
comment Modeling asset performance to Bitcoin revenue
If you want to know how many BTC you'll earn per day with, say, 100MH/s, then I'm pretty sure there is a formula that gives you the expected (averaged) figure in the Bitcoin.SE site. There is also information about variation, though generally there hasn't been a need to analyse that in detail (mining pools solve that problem). Let me know if that's what you're after, and I'll have a look for it if it is.
Sep
19
awarded  Autobiographer