network profile
| bio | website | |
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| location | ||
| age | ||
| visits | member for | 7 months |
| seen | Apr 24 at 6:00 | |
| stats | profile views | 1 |
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Jan 28 |
awarded | Informed |
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Oct 15 |
awarded | Teacher |
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Oct 1 |
comment |
Predicting Price Movements on a Betting Exchange A Practical Liquidity-Sensitive Automated Market Maker Gaming Prediction Markets: Equilibrium Strategies with a Market Maker An Optimization-Based Framework for Automated Market-Making |
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Sep 28 |
answered | Predicting Price Movements on a Betting Exchange |
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Sep 28 |
comment |
Predicting Price Movements on a Betting Exchange The outcome is binary, and you can interpret the odds of the bet as the implied probability (1/decimal odds). Don't think volatility pricing is useful here, if you want to price the outcome you'd have to compile statistics and model. But I suspect that's not what you're after. |
