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Jun 10, 2018 at 17:24 comment added vonjd @fni: Thank you, will have a look at your answer.
Jun 10, 2018 at 17:10 comment added fni @phdstudent is right. Read my answer below to have a clarification on why prices on average should increase without requiring any equity premium puzzle
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:27 comment added vonjd @phdstudent: Well, technically you are correct, but I think they are closely connected: the expected returns for equities over bonds would be much lower compared to their actual returns.
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:23 comment added phdstudent Just a comment, the equity premium puzzle is about the level of the returns nothing to do with what OP was asking regarding why expectations are lower than realizations.
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:17 comment added phdstudent Probably the most common explanations are Habits, fears of Long-run risk or disasters. But that would entail a whole different question. My answer below also sheds some light on your question.
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:14 vote accept user526463
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:13 comment added user526463 Thanks for this, and for your welcome! Really interesting enigma. From wikipedia I see risk aversion, consumption variability, loss aversion, statistical illusions as explanations of this phenomenon. Do you have any idea which explanation is most popular?
Jun 7, 2018 at 17:10 history answered vonjd CC BY-SA 4.0