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Apr 29, 2020 at 9:07 vote accept elemenope
Apr 29, 2020 at 6:58 comment added Kermittfrog The distribution is not symmetrical as it is lognormal. You may just want to give it a try and see that these statements can only be approximately true.
Apr 28, 2020 at 15:29 comment added elemenope So if I use the forward price as "center" with strike F(1+x) for calls and F/(1+x) for puts, shouldn't they be priced equally? I get your point of more upward potential for calls. But I don't get how Bates gets to this result? If I calculate F as S_t * exp(r * (T-t)) I still get a higher value for calls, as you suggested. It would make sense if Bates was referring to equal option prices at expiry, but he is referring to prices at t.
Apr 28, 2020 at 15:23 comment added elemenope Thanks for your answer, really intuitive and helpful! I did some research and found the paper "The Crash of '87: Was It Expected" by Bates (1991). He writes: "If the strike prices of the put and call are spaced symmetrically around the forward price, the symmetry or asymmetry of the risk-neutral distribution will be directly reflected in the relative prices of these out-of-the-money calls and puts. Symmetric risk-neutral distributions imply equal prices for OTM European calls and puts; skewed distributions create systematic divergences."
Apr 28, 2020 at 8:03 history edited Kermittfrog CC BY-SA 4.0
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Apr 28, 2020 at 7:30 history answered Kermittfrog CC BY-SA 4.0