The government par yield curve shows a marginally lower yield than the Government zero coupon curve.

What is the reason for this in general.


This is actually only true when the yield curve is upward sloping. Intuitively, zero rates are average forward rates; e.g., the 10-year zero coupon yield is the geometric average of the 0y forward 1y rate, 1y forward 1y rate, 2y forward 1 year rate, ..., and 9y forward 1y rate: $$ (1 + y_{10})^{10} = (1 + f_{0,1})(1 + f_{1,2})\ldots(1 + f_{9,10}). $$

So whenever the forward curve is upward sloping, the zero curve will be a bit lower because of the averaging. Similarly, par yields are (somewhat complex) average of the zero coupon rates, so when the curve is upward sloping, they're even lower that the zero curve. (I wrote about this topic here http://hungrydummy.com/blog/bond-risk-premium-part-i-a-review-of-different-yield-curves/).

When the yield curve is downward sloping, however, the par curve is actually the highest, zero curve in the middle, and the forward curve is the lowest.

When the yield curve is flat, the three curves will be identical.

  • $\begingroup$ Your image in your blog doesn't show anymore. $\endgroup$
    – SmallChess
    Jan 27 '15 at 14:20

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.