In the Black-Scholes world, the risk-neutral probability of expiring in-the-money is given by N(d2). Can I just replace the risk-free rate by the drift rate to obtain real world probabilities? Thank you for your help.
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Sign up to join this communityIn the Black-Scholes world, the risk-neutral probability of expiring in-the-money is given by N(d2). Can I just replace the risk-free rate by the drift rate to obtain real world probabilities? Thank you for your help.