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I use backtrader python framework to backtest ML classification algorithms to make decision to buy or to sell.

When I use RandomForest or other algorithms in scikit-learn packages it gives up to 55% of profit: PROFIT

The next run of absolutely the same code and data (just next run) gives 22% of loss: LOSS

Why is that? And what are the methods to avoid such a big range of results? Less, but more stable profit is better :)

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closed as off-topic by LocalVolatility, chollida, Gordon, lehalle, Quantuple Feb 16 '17 at 13:22

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  • "Questions seeking assistance in developing a trading strategy are off-topic as they are unlikely to be useful to other readers." – LocalVolatility, chollida, Gordon, Quantuple
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Set the random_state = 0 as a parameter in the model and retry this.

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  • $\begingroup$ Yes, and then optimize the seed that works best for the range of markets. :D $\endgroup$ – K3---rnc Feb 16 '17 at 0:18

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