3
$\begingroup$

Margin requirement is industry standard at 30% of total portfolio (cash + margin loan)

e.g. You have 600k in equities purchased with cash and 400k in equities purchased on margin loan. The total portfolio is $1mil. The maintenance requirement is 600k + 400k = 1mil(30%) = 300k.

However, if your portfolio draws down 20% to 800k, the maintenance requirement also goes down to 800k(30%) = $240k

I'm looking for a formula where I can know what % drawdown my portfolio can handle until it hits a margin call.

I hope I explained that correctly, and thank you!

$\endgroup$

2 Answers 2

4
$\begingroup$

Define

CoL = cash or loan (cash if positive, loan if negative)

MVL = market value of long positions

MRP = Maintenance Margin Requirement fraction (=0.3)

NetLiq = liquidation value (aka total equity) = CoL + MVL

DD = downward return due to market movement

The maintenance margin condition is: "the equity must be at least 30% of the value of the securities"

NetLiq >= MRP*MVL or CoL+MVL >= MRP*MVL

Suppose MVL drops by DD i.e. MVL is replaced by MVL*(1-DD) such that the margin condition holds exactly

Col+(1-DD)*MVL = MRP*MVL*(1-DD)

Solving for DD we get the desired result:

$$DD=1+\frac{CoL}{MVL*(1-MRP)}$$

Using CoL = -400,000 MVL = 1,000,000 MRP = 0.30 we get DD = 0.428571429 as amdopt also found through a more roundabout method.

$\endgroup$
4
  • $\begingroup$ Alex, I think you figured it out exactly what I’m looking for my friend. Thank you! $\endgroup$
    – user34126
    May 6, 2018 at 14:15
  • $\begingroup$ In that case, I would appreciate your upvote. $\endgroup$
    – Alex C
    May 6, 2018 at 14:30
  • $\begingroup$ Alex, I left you an upvote , but because my reputation is below 15, the upvote is recorded but not publicly viewable. Sorry. How about a small token of my appreciation, $1 via Venmo? $\endgroup$
    – user34126
    May 6, 2018 at 15:16
  • 1
    $\begingroup$ Probably best to accept the answer then. That is the intended functionality. $\endgroup$
    – Bob Jansen
    May 6, 2018 at 16:36
2
$\begingroup$

At a 43% draw your excess liquidity hits zero and you get a margin call.

Cash = -400,000 (400k margin loan)

Securities = 571,428.60 @ ~43% drawdown

Net Liquidation Value = 174,428.57 (Cash + Securities)

Margin Req @30% = 174,428.57

Excess Liquidity = 0 (Net Liq - Margin Req)

Solve for DD in the formula below or use something like the Goal Seek function in Excel. Below is an example of how you might set up a spreadsheet to use Goal Seek. 42.8571428571429% is the exact number Excel returns.

0 = Cash+Securities*(1-DD)-Securities*(1-DD)*Margin Req

     Cash         Securities    Drawdown    Margin Req
 $(400,000.00)	 $1,000,000.00        43%        30%


    Excess Liquidity        
     $(0.00)        
$\endgroup$
5
  • $\begingroup$ Thanks for your response. I used the above monetary numbers as an example. I'm specifically looking for the formula I can use so that I can plug in real time numbers at any time in the future. $\endgroup$
    – Geo
    Apr 13, 2018 at 15:36
  • $\begingroup$ If (Cash + Securities) - (Securities x Margin Req) < 0 then Margin Call $\endgroup$
    – amdopt
    Apr 13, 2018 at 15:40
  • $\begingroup$ You may want to give your broker a call as well to make sure that they don't use a custom calculation. My answer is pretty generic. I was just trying to give you an idea of how it might be done... $\endgroup$
    – amdopt
    Apr 13, 2018 at 15:41
  • $\begingroup$ I'm trying to solve for % draw down needed to hit margin call which the above formula does not solve. $\endgroup$
    – Geo
    Apr 13, 2018 at 16:10
  • $\begingroup$ Edited to include the formula. Good luck $\endgroup$
    – amdopt
    Apr 13, 2018 at 16:37

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.