I'm doing some academic work on volatility forecasting. I've got 1-minute bar data. It is not clear to me what model is best suited for forecasting volatility when higher frequency data is available.
I understand the following families/classes of volatility models exist:
- (G)ARCH family models
- Stochastic Volatility
- Implied Volatility (not applicable because I don't have options prices)
- Realised volatility
I was wondering, considering I have high frequency data, realised volatility should provide a reasonable approximation. I could potentially calculate the volatility using realised volatility and then use standard time series forecasting methods to forecast this (realised volatility) series?