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I am trying to run a Fama Macbeth analysis in R, where I am using the 'pmg' function with the following code:

Fpmg1 <- pmg(ret ~ HML_OBS + SMB + Mktrf + HML, Analysis4_Weighted, index = c("permno"))
summary(Fpmg1)

I currently have 1,354,623 entries and 11 total columns. I get the below output where the estimates for my coefficients are NA.

Mean Groups model

Call:
pmg(formula = ret ~ HML_OBS + SMB + Mktrf + HML, data = Analysis4_Weighted, 
    index = c("date", "permno"))

Unbalanced Panel: n = 295, T = 3567-6287, N = 1349058

Residuals:
     Min.   1st Qu.    Median      Mean   3rd Qu.      Max. 
-1.065356 -0.077703 -0.008573  0.000000  0.060437 19.741368 

Coefficients:
             Estimate Std. Error z-value Pr(>|z|)   
(Intercept) 0.0110395  0.0034105   3.237 0.001208 **
HML_OBS            NA         NA      NA       NA   
SMB                NA         NA      NA       NA   
Mktrf              NA         NA      NA       NA   
HML                NA         NA      NA       NA   
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
Total Sum of Squares: 50764
Residual Sum of Squares: 45906
Multiple R-squared: 0.0957

I have sorted on the following before running the model:

Analysis4_Weighted <- 
  Analysis4_Weighted %>%
  dplyr::filter(!is.na(HML_OBS))

Analysis4_Weighted <- 
  Analysis4_Weighted %>%
  dplyr::filter(!is.na(ret))

Analysis4_Weighted <- 
  Analysis4_Weighted %>%
  group_by(date) %>%
  dplyr::filter(n() > 10)

Do you know why I do not get any coefficient estimates?

My data consists of various returns on different stocks in a long time period, and I trying to test the coefficients' ability to predict stock returns over the period across various stocks.

Thank you!

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    $\begingroup$ Hard to say without your data, could you make a reproducible example? $\endgroup$
    – Bob Jansen
    Mar 10, 2021 at 19:16
  • $\begingroup$ I have exactly the same problem when running a Fama-MacBeth Regression (with 'pmg'). Did you find a solution? $\endgroup$ Dec 22, 2021 at 10:27

1 Answer 1

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I believe your regression is wrong. When I did Fama-French in R, my regression was not nearly as simple as yours. Check that you are regressing the right things and making the proper comparisons between variables. Look up "Modern Portfolio Theory" textbook for a better quant understanding.

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