I am working on a Quiz that asks why the 6 month forward volatiliy could be greater than the 6 month current volatility.
I would first like to clarify if I understand the Question correctly. When we talk about the 6 month current volatiliy, which timeline do we look at? Is the current 6 month volatility the volatility from 6 months ago to today (the realized vol)? And is the 6 month forward volatility the volatility we expect from today until 6 months in the future?
I expect the answer to be something like an event is happening during the time span of the forward volatility like the US election for example.
I am very happy about any clarification!