I see many definitions online for z spread with formulas written for a bond, how do they change if the bond is callable? Or is z spread calculated to maturity in this case?
1 Answer
It is not a good idea to ignore the call feature and to calculate spreads, yields, risks, and other bond maths to maturity. For many callable bonds, clearly the issuer is certain to call the bond much earlier. Then the spreads and risks (dv01..) would be very misleading.
Practically, the most common methodology is to calculate yield to worst, and then to calculate all spreads, risks, etc to the call date that gave rise to the YTW. This works well enough for bonds where the probability of exercise is close to 1.
However this is not good when the yield from exercising soon is very close to the yield to maturity. The YTW date might change frequently, and the spreads and risks might jump by a lot. For these situations, instead of Z-spread, try option adjsted spread (OAS); and include vega with your risk measures.
In rare cases you just know that the issuer will or will not exercise for some reason irrespective of what yield appears to be worse. For this, you want to be able to manually specify the expected call date and skip the ytw analysis.
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$\begingroup$ but don't I need z spread for oas calculation? Lal I need is oas= zspread-option value $\endgroup$– MedanJul 11, 2022 at 21:24
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$\begingroup$ No... get hold of Tom Windas/Tom Miller, Introduction to Option-Adjusted Spread Analysis $\endgroup$ Jul 12, 2022 at 2:10
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$\begingroup$ I don't own the book is there a webpage that summarizes it? I see online this formula, is this wrong? $\endgroup$– MedanJul 12, 2022 at 16:18
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$\begingroup$ so when I see z-spread of callable bond 90bps, does it mean it has been calculated to the worst call date? $\endgroup$– MedanJul 14, 2022 at 13:11
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$\begingroup$ Probably to YTW, but maybe YTM or even to next YTC. Always confirm. Also OAS may be materially more informative than any Z-spread. $\endgroup$ Jul 14, 2022 at 14:52