0
$\begingroup$

Suppose we have a portfolio of $n$ credits. In order the estimate the Portfolio Value at Risk (99,9) we use a standard vasicek model with the Ability to pay variable $A_i=\sqrt{\rho}x+\sqrt{1-\rho}z_i$ where $x$ is some systematic factor. From this we can derive the conditional probability of default given some realisation of $x$. Now as far as I understand, $x$ is drawn from some distribution which is the Monte Carlo Simulation, and than the Portfolio loss is calculated. This is done for $k$ runs, the portfolio losses are aggregated and we draw the VaR from this distribution (please correct me if I am wrong).

However, most models also model the correlation of each credits default which would be an $n \times n$ matrix. I do not understand how this matrix is applied to a model as the above, or any other for that matter.

$\endgroup$

0

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge that you have read and understand our privacy policy and code of conduct.