Questions tagged [arbitrage]

The simultaneous purchase and sale of a financial security in order to profit from the difference in the security price during the trading activity.

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39 views

Replicating portfolio

I have a doubt about the replicating portfolio methodology. Example - Consider an European Call with $K=21$ and underlying with current price $S_0=20$. We assume that, at the maturity, the underlying ...
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41 views

Determining Presence of Arbitrage

I am slightly confused by part (b) of this question. My understanding is that the easiest way to determine if there is arbitrage is to compute the state prices and then look at their sign: if one or ...
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Binomial Model Strike Price Assumption

Let us have the standard single-period binomial pricing model, and denote the up and down states of the underlying by $S_u$,$S_d$ respectively. Let us say we have a call option on the underlying with ...
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39 views

Proof of existence of one only martingale measure

I know that: Hypothesis 1 (Girsanov Theorem) Let $\theta=\begin{Bmatrix} \theta_t \end{Bmatrix}_{t\in [0,T]}$ be a square-integrable and $\Im_t$-adapted process such that $\mathbb{E}[e^{\frac{1}{2}\...
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How to detect price anomalies in HFT?

Let's say I'm developing an HFT application and seeking arbitrage in futures markets between MAY contract(M) and JUNE contract(J). In this strategy, my spread is ...
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46 views

Arbitrage in a Single Index Model

Simple question really, but I'm very confused by the starting point. Let's assume that we have a portfolio whose excess returns can be described by the following equation from the single index model: ...
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36 views

Replicating a derivative

Assume an underlying random variable $S_T$ which satisfies that $S_T > 0$ and that $\mathbb{P}\{S_T \neq 100 \} > 0$. Let $X_0$ be the time-0 price of a contract that pays $X_T: -2\log\left(\...
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86 views

Where could I get a mathematical background on circular arbitrage?

I am particularly interested in the dependence of profit on the path length (the number of intermediate currencies) and graphical models / algorithms. More specifically: How can we model currency ...
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1answer
42 views

Risk-Neutrality: Discount factors of the $P$ world according to risk preferences?

I am coming to terms with the connections between the so-called $P$ world and the $Q$ world. In my understanding, the risk-neutral measure $Q$ induces a probability space under which investors are ...
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45 views

How does $1 + R = q_u · u + q_d · d $ follow from $d ≤ (1 + R) ≤u$ in the Binomial Pricing Model?

I've been reading Tomas Bjork's 'Arbitrage theory' and it says: To say that $d ≤ (1 + R) ≤u$ holds is equivalent to saying that $1 + R$ is a convex combination of u and d, i.e. $1 + R = q_u · u + q_d ...
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Carr and Madan algorithm to avoid arbitrage in oprion prices

Hey in this text (https://arxiv.org/abs/1107.1834) in section 7 is described an algorithm which can delete options which generate an arbitrage. $C_ij$ is call option price with strike $K_i$ and ...
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Setting up arbitrage strategy in R

I am trying to construct an arbitrage portfolio $\textbf{x}$ such that $S^T\textbf{x} = 0$ and $A\textbf{x} \geq \textbf{0}$, where $A$ is the payoff matrix at $t=1$ and $S$ is the price at $t=0$. I ...
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71 views

Is there a reason why futures and options have more substitutes than other financial instruments?

This is somewhat non-technical question, but it seems like this forum is still the best place for it. I'm reading Shleifer's Inefficient Markets, where he points out that [...] for futures and ...
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Can arbitrage arguments be rearranged to avoid selling? (Hull, Chapter 5)

Suppose forward contracts are traded on a consumption asset, so there aren't necessarily people ready and willing to sell the asset to jump on an arbitrage opportunity. Suppose the asset has no yield, ...
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86 views

Is there arbitrage in this market?

I have an incomplete market (rows are states and columns are securities) and I need to determine if there is arbitrage, and if so, construct an arbitrage strategy. A is the payoff matrix (payoffs at ...
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31 views

Fitting a Spread into ARIMA AR(1) process

I'm a newbie to econometrics. I've simply ran a regression and have coefficient values of the variables. I'm running a regression for a crypto data, and I've gotten the Spread of the variables. To ...
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69 views

Pairs Trading: Normalized price series (co-integrated and correlated) always end up diverging

Need some expert advice and suggestions: I am trying out pairs trading or statistical arbitrage (as traders say). But even if two price series are co-integrated (ADF test, Hurst exponent, Ornstein–...
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Managing a portfolio of pair trades

When arbitraging ETF holdings against the ETF, how does one manage the portfolio over time? Assume the strategy creates a long signal in pair A (stock X/ ETF) and a short signal in pair B ( stock Y / ...
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231 views

How to show arbitrage when a European option price is greater than the no-arbitrage price?

My example is: Current price = 20, If it goes up it'll be worth 22, if it goes down it will be worth 18 risk free rate: 12%, time = 3 months Strike = 21 call option is worth 0.633 I know that if the ...
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69 views

Options conversion/reversion arbitrage [closed]

I'm trading bitcoin option and i'm trying to find arbitrage opportunity with a synthetic short/long and a long/short future position. The options are europeans style and settled in BTC. The contracts ...
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69 views

Linear factor representation Pricing kernel APT

following Cochrane (2005) and other insights, we know that under Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Ross, 1976), if investors believe returns follow a linear multifactor structure of the form $x^i=r^f+\sum_{j=...
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168 views

Strike Arbitrage

In Stochastic Volatility Modelling, Chapter 2, the author derived the Dupire equation $$\mathbb{E}[\sigma_T^2|S_T = K] = 2\frac{\frac{dC}{dT} + qC +(r-q)K\frac{dC}{dK}}{K^2 \frac{d^2C}{dK^2}}.$$ The ...
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193 views

Arbitrage Condition and Identity in Black-Scholes

After I went through the derivation to get the skew in Backus et al., I had two questions: In the proof, it mentioned the application of the arbitrage condition and then obtained equation (31): $$\...
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Is statistical arbitrage on FX possible?

Do you know of any papers which consider pairs trading (or statistical arbitrage) on foreign exchange? I couldn't find any. I asked this question on several forums and got no reply. Thus, I guess ...
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How do trading firms that pay for order flow make money from “arbitrage”?

I understand that retail brokers pass their customers' trades on to trading firms, and receive a payment for order flow in return. These trading firms carry out the trades and presumably also have to ...
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74 views

Arbitrage strategy using binomial tree

Suppose that we have a one step binomial tree model for a company. Lets say that the time per step is T, and that price of the stock can go up to $p_1$ or go down to $p_2$. Suppose a T-month European ...
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55 views

The distribution of mean reversion time from the OU process

I was reading the paper Statistical Arbitrage in the US Equity Market and I couldn't understand the figure that plots the histogram of the empirical distribution of characteristic time to mean ...
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1answer
67 views

How to compute portfolio returns when constructing a dollar-neutral portfolio

I am trying to wrap my head around this statement: dollar-neutral portfolios are built: dollar amounts of both long and short positions are equal. Furthermore, it is also true at the stock level: ...
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42 views

Replicating portfolio of an option and to find inital price

I am very new to financial math so I am not sure how to do with this question. A friend sent me this question to practice but I am unsure how to begin. I read about call option . Can that be used for ...
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Black-Scholes pricing of european call option

I am really confused on the usage of the greeks and the Black-Scholes model for option pricing. To gain some more understanding I am attempting to see if I can price a european call option under the ...
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1answer
111 views

Boundary for European Put Option

As an entry level financial engineer, I'm learning about call-put parity, which helps us to get the boundary for call option: $S-Ke^{-rT}\leq c\leq S$, what about put option? Should its upper bound be ...
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1answer
63 views

Hedging With Zero Coupon Bonds from The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance by Mark Joshi

In section 2.5 he describes an example of arbitrage-free pricing (attached below). I have a pretty solid understanding of how we arrived at $K' = K\frac{1+d}{1+r}$, but I got a little lost when he ...
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1answer
83 views

What market conditions are attributable to prolonged instances of triangular arbitrage opportunities?

I am investigating the potential for intra-exchange triangular arbitrage opportunities for the Cryptocurrency market. I believe that due its immaturity, relatively low volume and high volatility that ...
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190 views

Would C++'s speed over Python make it a more applicable language for scalping arbitrage opportunities?

I am using the Bittrex exchange API to ping markets to poll whether there are triangular arbitrage opportunities available for USD/BTC/LTC/USD. Note that I am not trading but rather synthesising them ...
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Modelling considerations for a jump model

The Problem: Suppose I have a simple jump model for an asset price $$ dS = S(t-)[\mu dt + YdN(t)] $$ where $N(t)$ is a Poisson process and $Y_i$ are the jump sizes (assume independece of $N(t)$ and ...
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28 views

Hedging/Arbitrage with multiple period binomial tree

Plenty of material is written on how to hedge/arbitrage option price in one period binomial model, but I cannot find anything about hedging in multiple periods. If one to use multiple periods binomial ...
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1answer
84 views

Put-Call parity arbitrage relationship

I would like to know what the relationship is between the time value of call/puts. From the put call parity formula $$C-P = S_{t} - PV(K)$$ and that value of call/put options is simply the sum of ...
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No unique no-arbitrage price when the stock price can remain unchanged

In a 1-period binomial model, with initial stock price 100, if the stock price is either 50,100, or 150 after 1 period then how can I show there is no longer a unique no-arbitrage price for a European ...
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Tips on building an automated trading system in python [closed]

I have an trading API that allows me to send/cancel/update orders. I have marketdata that I can use through another API that gives me orderbook data. Now let's say I want to build a simple arbitrage ...
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1answer
115 views

Relation of risk-neutral probability measures to arbitrage opportunities

Could someone describe how risk-neutral probability measures are linked to arbitrage opportunities and also to whether or not a market is complete? I've been asked this question and am unsure how to ...
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What literature (books, articles, etc.) should someone hoping to learn basic HFT / arbitrage strategies read first? [closed]

I am not looking for your winning strategies. Just the basic stuff from where to start. Can anyone share their opinions about what should I read to hit the ground running?
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59 views

Arbitrage between American and European put options on the same underlying asset

Suppose there exist both American-style and European-style put options on the same underlying asset, at the same strike price, and with the same expiry date. Suppose the European put is selling below ...
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1answer
72 views

How to find an arbitrage when the solution is not obvious (2 assets in a market)?

I am struggling to find an arbitrage in the following configuration. I know how to prove that there is an arbitrage (using the fundamental theorem of asset pricing). So I ve proven there is an ...
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52 views

Are statistical arb and relative value arb strategies implicitly short volatility?

I obviously don't want to generalise here, but my initial impression of stat arb and relative value arb is that these strategies earn stable pennies during bull markets when volatility is depressed ...
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Arbitrage and dominant strategies : Linear Pricing measure

Given a monoperiodic setting, my professor defines that if there is no arbitrage opportunity, it means that there is no dominant strategy. This is clear. However he defines that if there is NO ...
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82 views

How to price complex corporate actions with spinoffs

Let's look at below UTX/RTN merger as an example: https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/03/30/raytheon-united-technologies-merger-gets-green-lig.aspx The merged companies will from that moment ...
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50 views

Arbitrage argument with bonds

Let $B(t,T)$ denote the cost at time t of a risk-free 1 euro bond, at time T. Assume that the interest rate is a deterministic function. Show that the absence of arbitrage requires that: $ B(0,1) B(1,...
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1answer
106 views

Advantages of pathwise calculus over stochastic calculus in continuous self-financing trading models

I am new to stochastic calculus but the statement below confuses me: Beside the issue of the impossible consensus on a probability measure, the representation of the gain from trading lacks a ...
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90 views

European Call option combined with Short selling

How would I calculate the abitrage profit from a combination of buying the $10 European call option and short selling X number of shares at t=0 and the coming out with a profit at expiry no matter ...
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How to model the different returns of agents with different information information

For a seminar, I would like to graphically represent the returns made by agents of different information standpoints. In other words, say I have a market tuple $(\Omega, \mathbb{F}, P,S)$ where $S$ is ...

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