Questions tagged [arbitrage]

The simultaneous purchase and sale of a financial security in order to profit from the difference in the security price during the trading activity.

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651 views

Arbitrage strategies in Rubinstein's binomial tree one-step

Suppose that the current stock price is $S_0=20$ and the call option price with no arbitrage is $c=0.633$. Knowing that the expiry stock price can be $S_T=22$ with call option price $1$ or $S_T=18$ ...
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903 views

Positive base arbitrage CDS vs Asset Swap

While I completely understand the negative base arbitrage when the base is defined as : $$Base = CDS - ASW$$ I am stuck on the possible arbitrage when the base is positive. Let's think with an easy ...
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287 views

Binomial model's Radon-Nikodym derivative

Related: Dumb question: is risk-neutral pricing taking conditional expectation? In the one-step binomial model... For $\frac{d \mathbb Q}{d \mathbb P}$, I think it's $\frac{d \mathbb Q}{d \mathbb P}...
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51 views

Price of a risk arbitrage call

Let’s say I know that the probability of a merger-acquisition happening is p=1/4, the payoff i’d get in 6M (the time of the merger announcement) is 30. If the merger fails (q=1-p=3/4), my payoff is -...
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420 views

European Call price for an asset with mean reverting (Vasicek model) dynamics

Let's look at a stock with a mean reverting price dynamics: $$dS_t = a(S-S_0)dt + \sigma dW_t$$ If we let $\sigma=0.25$ and $a=-0.5$ then the variance of this process is: $$Var(S_t) = 0.199\sim0.2$$ ...
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1k views

Slight confusion regarding arbitrage opportunities in ETFs as mentioned by investopedia

On the "how ETF arbitrage works" page, investopedia says The arbitrage opportunity happens when demand for the ETF increases or decreases the market price, or when liquidity concerns cause ...
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278 views

Frequency Arbitrage

We know that the volatility is lower when the sampling period is longer, for example $\sigma_{7days} < \sigma_{1day}$, Then I came across this strategy that I cannot quite understand how to exploit ...
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334 views

option call question

i have a question regarding a call option exercise i cant get my head around The price of a stock is 100, the continuously compounded risk free rate is 5%. The strike price of an european call option ...
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How do different methods and techniques used in pairs trading compare?

I was going through the paper of Avellaneda (2008) on stat arb and I found it interesting that he uses asset returns vs. their respective ETFs to compute the s-score. I am wondering if anyone has ...
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224 views

Interpretation of drift parameter $\mu$ in GBM

Currently studying Ito's calculus. Looking on the GBM model: $ \frac{d S_t}{S_t} = μ dt + \sigma d B_t$ we end up on the expected stock price at time t: $E[S_t]=s_0 e^{\mu t}$.What does actually $\mu$ ...
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79 views

What is arbitraging without moving assets called?

I am currently trying to arbitrage across two markets A and B. My trading strategy is as follows: if the price between A and B differs by more than X%, then go long on the lower priced market, and ...
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Are there any papers about cointegration consisting of time series of more than two assets?

Are there any papers about cointegration consisting of time series of more than two assets ? I wonder if there could be any trading strategy for three assets case.
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551 views

Violation of the call-put parity

The last price of Wells Fargo (Ticker: WFC) on Thursday, 10/26/17, was $55.62. Options with expiration 11/17/17 had following last prices: Options with expiration 11/17/17 had following last prices: ...
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782 views

Finding arbitrage opportunity

Find an arbitrage opportunity in this market. Can anyone explain how to mathematically solve this exercise with for example solving a system of linear equations?
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What is model-free finance?

I have run across the term "model-free finance" (e.g. there was a Thalesian talk in London recently), yet haven't found any real definition of it nor anything really substantial. Could you point me ...
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statistical arbitrage vs factor trading

I've recently read Avellaneda & Lee which seems to be widely recommended as an introduction to Statistical Arbitrage methods in trading. For those who aren't familiar with the paper, the method in ...
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683 views

Extrapolation of the volatility smile

Are there any market practices to extrapolate the volatility smile for equities? I already have an arbitrage free interpolated call prices data and I'm looking for a method to extrapolate beyond the ...
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692 views

Pricing when arbitrage is possible through Negative Probabilities or something else

Assume that we have a general one-period market model consisting of $d+1$ assets and $N$ states. Using a replicating portfolio $\phi$, determine $\Pi(0;X)$, the price of a European call option, with ...
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132 views

Best strategy to maximize Profit if no transaction cost?

I was recently in a competition which simulated real time currency trading. Teams were supposed to build bots that could request current prices of currencies, buy, or sell currencies using HTTP ...
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361 views

How to make the arbitrage if intrinsic value is greater than European call value

It always says if the intrinsic value is greater than European call value, there will be a arbitrage opportunity,but how to construct the portfolio $(S_t - K)^+$ or how to make this arbitrage. By the ...
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231 views

Do price approximations lead to arbitrage opportunities?

Do price approximations lead to arbitrage opportunities against a price computed using the exact formula? For instance, dirty bond price uses a linear approximation to compute the accrual interest: $$...
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126 views

How does volatility affect price arbitrage?

Suppose I'm running automated classic price arbitrage on 3 currencies (let's ignore the unfeasibility of this in our day and age). We have currency pairs Gold/Silver, Silver/Bronze, and Gold/Bronze. ...
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244 views

Taking advantage of mispricing in forwards [duplicate]

Suppose gold futures are selling at 360 in February, and 370 in April. Interest is 9% annually. Note that 360*(1+0.09*2/12)=365.4, so the April futures is overpriced. Then we can sell April and buy ...
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967 views

Why does arbitrage free imply complete market?

Proposition 2.10 of Tomas Bjork's "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time" states that if the general binomial model is free of arbitrage then it is also complete i.e. every contingent claim has a ...
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What are the essential characteristics of asset prices?

I think the question has already been asked about stylized facts of asset returns; this question regards the essential characteristics and normative assumptions used to evaluate asset prices. I.e., ...
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186 views

What are recommended recovery techniques in arbitrage when one order doesn't fill?

Let's say you are running an arbitrage strategy in the Forex market. You see an opportunity to buy USD/JPY at 100 on exchange A, and sell USD/JPY at 105 on exchange B. You submit the buy and sell ...
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78 views

Reference that states that the price of an option is not the expected present value of the payoffs under Black and Scholes?

I recently met an options trader that said to me that the price of an option is the expected present value of the payoffs of an option (present value as in discount by the risk free rate and expected ...
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372 views

Equivalent martingale measure price dynamics

Assume $S_0(t)=\exp(\int_0^t r(s) ds)$. Then $\mathbb{Q}\sim \mathbb P$ is a martingale measure $\iff$ every asset price process $S_i$ has price dynamics under $\mathbb Q$ of the form $dS_i(t)...
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How realistic are the scenarios outlined in my course?

I am currently taking a course in Financial Mathematics as part of my Maths degree. Many of the covered topics are quite basic, and revolve around potential arbitrage opportunities. For example, ...
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217 views

Arbitrage free option prices: real life example

I would like to be sure of my correct understanding of some basic principles. I have following example, data from Euronext: 1 Month maturity, future and options are same day expiry. Strike 5400. ...
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694 views

FX forward rates

FX forward rate should reflect the difference in the interate in the two currencies. At the moment GBP USD is trading near 1.29. The 5 year yield for US treasuries is about 1.87% and the UK 5 year ...
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Arbitrage free smoothing of implied volatility surface, by Fengler

I'm reading this paper link and have came across the below statement. Can someone shed some light on it. "The approach we propose here builds on smoothing rather than interpolation. Therefore, the ...
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An arbitrage strategy involving forward contracts to show that LIBOR rates are martingales

I note $L_{t}^{[T_s, T_e]}$ the forward rate at time $t$ for the period $[T_s, T_e]$. Recall it is the strike making equal to $0$ the value at time $t$ of a forward contract for the period $[T_s, T_e]$...
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Isn't this modified stop-loss strategy an arbitrage?

In John Hull's The Book, section 18.3 he briefly discussed a stop-loss strategy for writing a call option: buy one share of stock whenever $S_t>K$ and sell it otherwise (except at time $0$: if $S_0\...
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201 views

How would you arbitrage this?

Assume it to be true that $dS = S\mu dt + \sigma(t)S dW$ where $\sigma$(t) is known. Consider a call option with expiry $T$, currently $t = 0$. For all $t \in [0,T]$, $\sigma(t) < \sigma_{impv}$ ...
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626 views

When is implied volatility greater than realized volatility?

Assume it to be known that the volatility of a stock at any point in time is $\sigma(t)$. My question is, if we have a number of options priced using some implied volatilities $\sigma_1, ..., \...
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72 views

Valuation functional

Consider an economy with $J = 2$ assets and $S = 3$ states. The $J\times S$ payoff matrix for the two assets is $$X = \begin{pmatrix} 0 & 3 & 3\\ 1 & 1 & 0\\ \end{pmatrix}$$ and the ...
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HJM model, existence of arbitrage:

The Setup: Suppose I know the yield curve of a Bond satisfies: f (0, t) = 0.04 for t ≥ 0 and f (ω, 1, t) = 0.06, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 1 , 0.02, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 2 , where Ω = {ω 1 , ω 2 } with P[ω i ] > 0, i = 1,...
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Do all assets satisfy the “black scholes type PDE”, or just the stocks?

I am reading Bjork. In it, he says that the martingale measure $Q$ is characterized by the property that all stocks have the short rate as their local rate of return under the $Q$-dynamics. Is it ...
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Why must a riskless portfolio earn the risk-free rate?

In Options, Futures and Other Derivatives when Hull introduces the risk-neutral approach to pricing European options in the one-step binomial model, he claims that Riskless portfolio must, in the ...
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Call option arbitrage opportunity

I am having trouble wrapping my head around some text provided to us by our lecturer (unfortunately he is currently unavailable). If we let $c$ be the price of a European call option, $S_0$ the ...
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Arbitrage problem [closed]

Question A share of non-dividend paying stock is trading at USD 30. The maturity of both options is 1 year from now. A put with a strike of USD 28 is trading at USD 1 and call with a strike of USD 29 ...
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Best strategy for generating floats with minimum amount of risk

I'm looking for a way to get cash-in-hand in exchange for future obligation. For example, I can sell deep-in-the-money puts and buy out-of-the-money puts (for hedge) with expiration of 2 years, The ...
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124 views

Black Scholes: two assets, same $W$-process

Consider a Black Scholes model with two risky assets that are driven by the same $W$-process, and then 1 risk-free asset. When is this model arbitrage-free and complete? We have only 1 driving ...
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317 views

Fair price and no arbitrage

The market is arbitrage-free iff there exists an equivalent martingale measure for the discounted price process of the stock. So in a world with a finite amount of possible outcomes $\Omega$ that ...
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Why is $Y(t)V^h(t)$ a martingale?

Let $\lambda$ be the market price of risk: $\frac{a - r}{\sigma}$, and define $Y(t) = e^{-\lambda W(t) - (r + \frac{\lambda^2}{2})t}$. Let $V^h(t)$ be the value process of any self-financing portfolio....
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Different definitions of arbitrage

Consider the following setup: Let $S=\left(S_1,\ldots,S_n\right)$ be a $n$-dimensional price process and denote by $V$ its value process defined by $V_t=\phi_t\dot\ S_t$ for $t=0,\ldots,T$. In "...
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Why won't Bjork ever show that the integrability condition is satisfied?

A major technique employed throughout Bjork's "Arbitrage theory in Continuous Time" is that when taking the expectation of a stochastic integral, the result is 0. This is based on a result presented ...
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756 views

Options Arbitrage strategy

Supposed we have 1-year call option with a strike of 90 and it costs 10. We also have 1-year put on the same stock with a strike of 100. The risk free rate is 5% per annum. the stock is currently ...
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162 views

Is this the same as the conditial expectation in risk neutral pricing formula?

Let the dynamic of underlying asset $S_t$ under objective probability measure $\mathbb{P}$ be as follow $$dS = \mu Sdt + \sigma S dW_t^{\mathbb{P}}.$$ We now define another probability measure $\...

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