Questions tagged [arbitrage]

The simultaneous purchase and sale of a financial security in order to profit from the difference in the security price during the trading activity.

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239 views

Are there alternatives to the Box-Tiao decomposition in identifying mean reverting portfolios?

As documented in this paper, Box-Tiao decomposition (a way to decompose multiple time series into components with different speeds of mean reversion) can be used to identify mean reverting portfolios. ...
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Helpful references for fully understanding the mechanics of NASDAQ's auction system?

I've read about this before on their website directly and via this ITG paper. nasdaq site itg paper But I was wondering if there are any other good references I can supplement my understanding ...
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Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
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836 views

Method for finding a arbitrage opportunity when market price of call is incorrect

The solution of the Black-scholes equation is the price of a European call. And the option price assumes the underlying stock is a geometric Brownian motion with volatility $\sigma_{1}>0$. Suppose,...
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126 views

Do all assets satisfy the “black scholes type PDE”, or just the stocks?

I am reading Bjork. In it, he says that the martingale measure $Q$ is characterized by the property that all stocks have the short rate as their local rate of return under the $Q$-dynamics. Is it ...
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What‘s the definition of static arbitrage?

Could someone give the strict definition of static arbitrage? I know what the arbitrage means but have no idea about the term "Static". Thanks in advance!
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231 views

Do price approximations lead to arbitrage opportunities?

Do price approximations lead to arbitrage opportunities against a price computed using the exact formula? For instance, dirty bond price uses a linear approximation to compute the accrual interest: $$...
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489 views

How to prove no-arbitrage when a long butterfly is strictly positive?

I want to prove why there are no arbitrage opportunities when a long butterfly is strictly positive. I know there is a similar topic out there, but it seems it doesn't solve my question: Prove that ...
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54 views

Risk-Neutrality: Discount factors of the $P$ world according to risk preferences?

I am coming to terms with the connections between the so-called $P$ world and the $Q$ world. In my understanding, the risk-neutral measure $Q$ induces a probability space under which investors are ...
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756 views

Options Arbitrage strategy

Supposed we have 1-year call option with a strike of 90 and it costs 10. We also have 1-year put on the same stock with a strike of 100. The risk free rate is 5% per annum. the stock is currently ...
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1k views

Option arbitrage with dividends?

If a stock pays a discrete dividend, the stock price falls by the amount of the dividend. There is no arbitrage opportunity from this predictable jump, because the investors receive the same amount of ...
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1answer
114 views

What is the interpretation if the real world measure $\mathbb P$ is equal to the martingale measure $\mathbb Q$

Out of interest, is there anything noteworthy about a market when its real world measure $\mathbb P$ is actually also its martingale measure. In other words the real world measure $\mathbb P$ is equal ...
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259 views

Would C++'s speed over Python make it a more applicable language for scalping arbitrage opportunities?

I am using the Bittrex exchange API to ping markets to poll whether there are triangular arbitrage opportunities available for USD/BTC/LTC/USD. Note that I am not trading but rather synthesising them ...
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179 views

Relation of risk-neutral probability measures to arbitrage opportunities

Could someone describe how risk-neutral probability measures are linked to arbitrage opportunities and also to whether or not a market is complete? I've been asked this question and am unsure how to ...
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243 views

Are there any quant strategies which do not involve simultaneous buying and selling of two or more assets?

Whenever I read about quant strategies it leads me to stratergies which involve simultaneous buying and selling of two or more assets. Pairs trading, arbitrage, market neurtal or headging all these ...
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.NET statistical packages recommendation

What open source or commercial .NET statistical package would you guys recommend? I am doing statistical arbitrage in options. The functions I need mainly are regressions, optimizations..etc. It would ...
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1answer
58 views

How can the face value of a bond not be a round number?

I'm reading Bruce tuckman's "fixed income securities" and I'm at the section that is explaining arbitrage. In the chart below, the cash flows are based off the biannual interest rates * the ...
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103 views

Market price of risk of different maturities

T. Bjork Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time Proposition 23.1 "Assume that the bond market is free of arbitrage. Then there exists a process $\lambda$ such that the relation $\frac{\alpha_T(t)-r(...
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113 views

How to compute portfolio returns when constructing a dollar-neutral portfolio

I am trying to wrap my head around this statement: dollar-neutral portfolios are built: dollar amounts of both long and short positions are equal. Furthermore, it is also true at the stock level: ...
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93 views

Put-Call parity arbitrage relationship

I would like to know what the relationship is between the time value of call/puts. From the put call parity formula $$C-P = S_{t} - PV(K)$$ and that value of call/put options is simply the sum of ...
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85 views

How can I calculate the amount of volume to use to ensure highest profit on an arbitrage trade of two Constant Product Market Making exchanges? [closed]

If there exists an arbitrage opportunity between two Constant Product Market Making exchanges, how can you confidently determine the maximum volume to use in order to ensure highest profit? I can ...
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1answer
683 views

Extrapolation of the volatility smile

Are there any market practices to extrapolate the volatility smile for equities? I already have an arbitrage free interpolated call prices data and I'm looking for a method to extrapolate beyond the ...
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246 views

M&A hedging an equity portfolio against an index

Quick Note This question was already posted under the userID user8170. Reason being I could not access my account. Now I am able to login to my account I am reposting the question here and will ...
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3answers
463 views

Is this arbitrage?

Assume the stockprice as in the Black-Scholes model (Geometric Brownian Motion): $$S_t=S_0e^{(\mu-\sigma^2/2)\cdot t+\sigma W_t}$$ Wouldn't there be an immediate arbitrage opportunity, to just buy ...
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276 views

Non-Negativity of up-factor and down-factor in Binomial No-Arbitrage Pricing Model

Consider a stock which is trading at $S_0$ at time $t=0$ and is expected to be trading at price $uS_0$ or $dS_0$ at time t=1 where $u$ and $d$ are up-factor and down-factor. The theory says that to ...
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121 views

Clean noisy data from arbitrage

My problem is that I have a surface of implied black volatilites that is supposed to represent market data. However, the surface contains some slight arbitrage. More precisely, the graph contains ...
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91 views

What market conditions are attributable to prolonged instances of triangular arbitrage opportunities?

I am investigating the potential for intra-exchange triangular arbitrage opportunities for the Cryptocurrency market. I believe that due its immaturity, relatively low volume and high volatility that ...
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133 views

Gold forward price

In the Hull book, i saw the following exercice and its answer : Suppose the one-year gold lease rate is 1,5% and the one-year risk-free rate is 5%. Both rates are compounded annually. Calculate the ...
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651 views

Arbitrage strategies in Rubinstein's binomial tree one-step

Suppose that the current stock price is $S_0=20$ and the call option price with no arbitrage is $c=0.633$. Knowing that the expiry stock price can be $S_T=22$ with call option price $1$ or $S_T=18$ ...
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967 views

Why does arbitrage free imply complete market?

Proposition 2.10 of Tomas Bjork's "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time" states that if the general binomial model is free of arbitrage then it is also complete i.e. every contingent claim has a ...
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172 views

Higher moments arbitrage

Is there concrete evidence that statistical arbitrage (historical vs. implied) on higher moments, specifically skewness and kurtosis, can be (significantly) done? Working from this source, the author ...
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142 views

Portfolio Strategies Project

My first assignment for my Quantitative Finance Masters is to design a portfolio that theoretically makes money under any market movement. I am also asked to state all necessary assumptions. What I'...
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69 views

Risk-free arbitrage given a volume oracle?

Given a magical oracle who can correctly predict the volume, but not the price, of a given security, does there exist a risk-free arbitrage to capitalize on this information?
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197 views

Harnessing small correlations for reliable profit

It is said that Edward O. Thorp was able to harness small correlations for reliable financial gain. I've seen some strategies based on strong correlations which did not seem particularly reliable. ...
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119 views

Simple pricing example confusion

This it taken from "Heard on the Street", Section B. Consider a market with $0$ risk-free rate, no transactions costs etc. The IBM stock costs \$75 and does not pay dividends. Design a security ...
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191 views

help me compare methods to compute one instrument price from another instrument price

Assume we have two instruments A and B. Also time is increasing from 1 to n. Let's say that ...
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1answer
66 views

Is this actual example of calendar arb in quotes?

From my understanding total implied variance has to be a monotonic function of time for there to be no calendar arbitrage. Stumbled upon quotes for this Monday with apparent arb (NKE Dec expiry vs Jan)...
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1answer
88 views

Arbitrage strategy using binomial tree

Suppose that we have a one step binomial tree model for a company. Lets say that the time per step is T, and that price of the stock can go up to $p_1$ or go down to $p_2$. Suppose a T-month European ...
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39 views

Hedging/Arbitrage with multiple period binomial tree

Plenty of material is written on how to hedge/arbitrage option price in one period binomial model, but I cannot find anything about hedging in multiple periods. If one to use multiple periods binomial ...
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173 views

How to detect price anomalies in HFT?

Let's say I'm developing an HFT application and seeking arbitrage in futures markets between MAY contract(M) and JUNE contract(J). In this strategy, my spread is ...
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1answer
73 views

Is there a reason why futures and options have more substitutes than other financial instruments?

This is somewhat non-technical question, but it seems like this forum is still the best place for it. I'm reading Shleifer's Inefficient Markets, where he points out that [...] for futures and ...
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170 views

Find arbitrage opportunity in the given market model

Consider the following 3-period-market-model: The discounted price of the risky asset $S$: How can I find an arbitrage opportunity in this model? I know that there would be no arbitrage if we ...
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1answer
139 views

How to determine the cross rate in a triangular arbitrage

I am very confused about what two currencies are to be chosen as the cross rate in a triangular arbitrage. For example, when the bank quotes are ¥180/£ $1.5/£ ¥130/$ Does the cross rate have to be ¥...
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105 views

Most profitable? High % but low probability or Low % but high probability

I have identified a pattern in different assets where a quick spike/flash crash often occurs, dropping the price between -5% and -15% for a few seconds and then going back to previous average. I am ...
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51 views

Price of a risk arbitrage call

Let’s say I know that the probability of a merger-acquisition happening is p=1/4, the payoff i’d get in 6M (the time of the merger announcement) is 30. If the merger fails (q=1-p=3/4), my payoff is -...
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78 views

Reference that states that the price of an option is not the expected present value of the payoffs under Black and Scholes?

I recently met an options trader that said to me that the price of an option is the expected present value of the payoffs of an option (present value as in discount by the risk free rate and expected ...
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351 views

arbitrage proof question

prove the condition $D<R<U$ is equivalent to the absence of arbitrage: R = risk free investment rate of return. U and D are returns corresponding to the upward/downward price movements of a ...
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432 views

Capital gains and dividends tax arbitrage

There is a statement in Paul Wimott Introduce Quantitative Finance: Often capital gains due to the rise in a stock price are taxed differently from a dividend, which is often treated as income. ...
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537 views

Forward Curves and Par Yield Curves

I'm recently reading a research paper on the yield curve by Salomon brothers and in it it states that when the forward curve is above the par yield curve, it is seen as cheaper. If for example, the ...
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84 views

Law of one price in continuous time

The law of one price (i.e. for assets $S^{(i)}$ and $S^{(j)}$, $S^{(i)}_T = S^{(j)}_T $ almost surely implies that $S^{(i)}_t = S^{(j)}_t $ almost surely for all $ 0 \leq t \leq T$) is known to hold ...

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