Questions tagged [arbitrage]

The simultaneous purchase and sale of a financial security in order to profit from the difference in the security price during the trading activity.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
1
vote
1answer
185 views

Higher moments arbitrage

Is there concrete evidence that statistical arbitrage (historical vs. implied) on higher moments, specifically skewness and kurtosis, can be (significantly) done? Working from this source, the author ...
1
vote
2answers
147 views

Portfolio Strategies Project

My first assignment for my Quantitative Finance Masters is to design a portfolio that theoretically makes money under any market movement. I am also asked to state all necessary assumptions. What I'...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Risk-free arbitrage given a volume oracle?

Given a magical oracle who can correctly predict the volume, but not the price, of a given security, does there exist a risk-free arbitrage to capitalize on this information?
1
vote
2answers
211 views

Harnessing small correlations for reliable profit

It is said that Edward O. Thorp was able to harness small correlations for reliable financial gain. I've seen some strategies based on strong correlations which did not seem particularly reliable. ...
1
vote
1answer
123 views

Simple pricing example confusion

This it taken from "Heard on the Street", Section B. Consider a market with $0$ risk-free rate, no transactions costs etc. The IBM stock costs \$75 and does not pay dividends. Design a security ...
1
vote
1answer
195 views

help me compare methods to compute one instrument price from another instrument price

Assume we have two instruments A and B. Also time is increasing from 1 to n. Let's say that ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Is this actual example of calendar arb in quotes?

From my understanding total implied variance has to be a monotonic function of time for there to be no calendar arbitrage. Stumbled upon quotes for this Monday with apparent arb (NKE Dec expiry vs Jan)...
1
vote
1answer
96 views

Arbitrage strategy using binomial tree

Suppose that we have a one step binomial tree model for a company. Lets say that the time per step is T, and that price of the stock can go up to $p_1$ or go down to $p_2$. Suppose a T-month European ...
1
vote
1answer
56 views

Hedging/Arbitrage with multiple period binomial tree

Plenty of material is written on how to hedge/arbitrage option price in one period binomial model, but I cannot find anything about hedging in multiple periods. If one to use multiple periods binomial ...
1
vote
2answers
180 views

How to detect price anomalies in HFT?

Let's say I'm developing an HFT application and seeking arbitrage in futures markets between MAY contract(M) and JUNE contract(J). In this strategy, my spread is ...
1
vote
2answers
187 views

Find arbitrage opportunity in the given market model

Consider the following 3-period-market-model: The discounted price of the risky asset $S$: How can I find an arbitrage opportunity in this model? I know that there would be no arbitrage if we ...
1
vote
1answer
155 views

How to determine the cross rate in a triangular arbitrage

I am very confused about what two currencies are to be chosen as the cross rate in a triangular arbitrage. For example, when the bank quotes are ¥180/£ $1.5/£ ¥130/$ Does the cross rate have to be ¥...
1
vote
1answer
106 views

Most profitable? High % but low probability or Low % but high probability

I have identified a pattern in different assets where a quick spike/flash crash often occurs, dropping the price between -5% and -15% for a few seconds and then going back to previous average. I am ...
1
vote
1answer
51 views

Price of a risk arbitrage call

Let’s say I know that the probability of a merger-acquisition happening is p=1/4, the payoff i’d get in 6M (the time of the merger announcement) is 30. If the merger fails (q=1-p=3/4), my payoff is -...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

Reference that states that the price of an option is not the expected present value of the payoffs under Black and Scholes?

I recently met an options trader that said to me that the price of an option is the expected present value of the payoffs of an option (present value as in discount by the risk free rate and expected ...
1
vote
1answer
368 views

arbitrage proof question

prove the condition $D<R<U$ is equivalent to the absence of arbitrage: R = risk free investment rate of return. U and D are returns corresponding to the upward/downward price movements of a ...
1
vote
1answer
437 views

Capital gains and dividends tax arbitrage

There is a statement in Paul Wimott Introduce Quantitative Finance: Often capital gains due to the rise in a stock price are taxed differently from a dividend, which is often treated as income. ...
1
vote
1answer
559 views

Forward Curves and Par Yield Curves

I'm recently reading a research paper on the yield curve by Salomon brothers and in it it states that when the forward curve is above the par yield curve, it is seen as cheaper. If for example, the ...
1
vote
1answer
86 views

Law of one price in continuous time

The law of one price (i.e. for assets $S^{(i)}$ and $S^{(j)}$, $S^{(i)}_T = S^{(j)}_T $ almost surely implies that $S^{(i)}_t = S^{(j)}_t $ almost surely for all $ 0 \leq t \leq T$) is known to hold ...
1
vote
1answer
91 views

Pricing rule shall be a martingale measure

In the book "Financial Modelling with jump processes" by Cont and Tankov there is a chapter that explains martingale pricing principles. It is not extremely formal, but gives the idea underlying the ...
1
vote
1answer
199 views

ADR vs Foriegn Stock Price Arbitraguers

So I am sure you all know about the whole Argentina default that has been in the papers lately, no need to delve into it. This so called "technical" default has lead some interesting investment ...
1
vote
1answer
444 views

Prove that the binomial algorithm implies the arbitrage free price at t=0 of a T-claim

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ these propositions How does the first formula follow from from the algorithm? I get that $\Pi(0;X) = V_0(0)$, but I don't ...
1
vote
1answer
219 views

In a Black-Scholes world, why must volatility be strictly increasing in time-to-expiration?

This question is from Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation 2nd Edition. Rebonato states that if $\sigma_T^2T$ is not strictly increasing, it would be simple to set up an arbitrage. Unfortunately (...
1
vote
1answer
345 views

Arbitrage Strategy Proof in Bjork

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this proposition Proposition 2.9 Suppose that a claim X is reachable with replicating portfolio h. Then any price at t=0 of ...
1
vote
1answer
697 views

Risk-free investment strategy for european call and put option

I have some trouble solving the following question: We have an european call and put option (with the same maturity date $T$ en strike $E=10$). The stock price now is $S=11$ and we use a continuous ...
1
vote
1answer
754 views

Arbitrage between markets

I'm trying to understand how arbitrage works, but I'm having some difficulties based on some restrictions: I have markets A, B and C. The currencies that are traded are X <-> Y, and X <-> Z. ...
1
vote
1answer
34 views

How to price a set of cashflows from which the buyer can choose one?

Lets consider an arbitrage free and complete Model.Let also focus the analysis on the discrete time setting.Assume you have a finite set of random Cashflows $\mathcal{A}$. That means all elements of ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

Replicating Portfolio / Complete Market / Attainable Claim

Attempt So Far: 1) First Part: I have shown that the market is arbitrage-free since the only possible portfolio for which $V_1^h\geq0 \ $ given that $V_0^h=0 \ $ is $h=(0,0,0)$ and this clearly ...
1
vote
0answers
57 views

$\epsilon$-arbitrage model

In the model here described, Bertsimas says that we can use the Robust Optimization to find the replicating portfolio the value of which is such that minimize the difference $|P(\widetilde{S},K)-W_T|=\...
1
vote
0answers
117 views

Replicating portfolio

I have a doubt about the replicating portfolio methodology. Example - Consider an European Call with $K=21$ and underlying with current price $S_0=20$. We assume that, at the maturity, the underlying ...
1
vote
0answers
108 views

Where could I get a mathematical background on circular arbitrage?

I am particularly interested in the dependence of profit on the path length (the number of intermediate currencies) and graphical models / algorithms. More specifically: How can we model currency ...
1
vote
0answers
81 views

Can arbitrage arguments be rearranged to avoid selling? (Hull, Chapter 5)

Suppose forward contracts are traded on a consumption asset, so there aren't necessarily people ready and willing to sell the asset to jump on an arbitrage opportunity. Suppose the asset has no yield, ...
1
vote
0answers
74 views

The distribution of mean reversion time from the OU process

I was reading the paper Statistical Arbitrage in the US Equity Market and I couldn't understand the figure that plots the histogram of the empirical distribution of characteristic time to mean ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

Replicating portfolio of an option and to find inital price

I am very new to financial math so I am not sure how to do with this question. A friend sent me this question to practice but I am unsure how to begin. I read about call option . Can that be used for ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

Modelling considerations for a jump model

The Problem: Suppose I have a simple jump model for an asset price $$ dS = S(t-)[\mu dt + YdN(t)] $$ where $N(t)$ is a Poisson process and $Y_i$ are the jump sizes (assume independece of $N(t)$ and ...
1
vote
0answers
85 views

Are statistical arb and relative value arb strategies implicitly short volatility?

I obviously don't want to generalise here, but my initial impression of stat arb and relative value arb is that these strategies earn stable pennies during bull markets when volatility is depressed ...
1
vote
0answers
73 views

Relationship between Calendar Spread Arbitrage and Probability Density Function (pdf)

We all know that the butterfly spread no-arbitrage condition can be expressed as an inequality restriction on the second-order derivative $\partial ^2C/\partial K^2 \geq 0$, which also means the ...
1
vote
0answers
62 views

One periodic binomial model

I need to look into a one-period Binomial model $(B_t, S_t)$ with interest rate $r = 0.1$ , $S_0 = 100$ and $$ S_t= 120 \, \text{with probability}\, 0.5 $$ $$ S_t= 60\, \text{with probability}\, 0.5 $$...
1
vote
0answers
54 views

Binomial Model - completeness in presence of arbitrage

Consider a uniperiodal binomial model where I buy one bond of value $B_0$ and rate $r=0.1$, and $h$ stocks with price $S_0=5$. The value of the portfolio at time $t=0$ is $$ V_0 = B_0 + hS_0, $$ ...
1
vote
0answers
112 views

A relatively useless but fun question for quants and physicists

Suppose I am a trader travelling in a very fast spaceship. What kind of SDE and corresponding PDE should I jot down and work with in order to ensure that there is no arbitrage (or if there is ...
1
vote
0answers
65 views

Arbitrage pricing models

I have been reading Wu's Interest rate modeling and in his chapter on the HJM model he says that With arbitrage pricing models, the prices of the basic instruments are treated as model inputs ...
1
vote
0answers
55 views

Non-redundant asset?

I've been solving many exercises with three assets that have two possible payoffs each, one payoff per possible future state. The question is always the same, i.e. is any asset redundant. After ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

Factor model alternative? [closed]

Suppose there is a Fama-French model estimated for a stock of Shoemaker Ltd.: $α = 0.01$ $β_M = 0.9$ $r_M = 0.12$ $β_S = 0.3$ $S = 0.05$ $β_H = 0.2$ $H = 0.06$ $r_F = 0.03$ How would you ...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Possible interference of Cross-Rate inaccuracy and CIP Deviations

I am currently attempting to calculate historical deviations from covered interest rate parity between 2013 and 2018. I recently read that: "Unlike the interbank spot market, in the interbank ...
1
vote
0answers
191 views

Generalisation of calendar arbitrage condition to options on futures

This question has discussed the condition on which calendar arbitrage opportunities arise for European call options on a stock. Do similar criteria exist for European options on futures? The most ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

Price at equilibrium in a market with arbitrage opportunities

I have a fragmented market with multiple assets which are traded with each other and some times triangular arbitrage can occur. The question is how to predict the price of those assets once the ...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

Achieving desired fx exposure with using minimum pairs possible

Let say my algorithm tells me to get the following positions through opening fx positions: CUR NET POSITIONS GBP 236.96379 USD -310.58000 CHF 0.02000 There are 2 ways to achieve this: Long ...
1
vote
3answers
132 views

Put Call Parity Arbitrage Question [closed]

I am incredibly stuck on the following question... Any help would be greatly appreciated. According to your binomial model, the price of YMH in 3 months will be either USD 55 or USD 45, with ...
1
vote
0answers
144 views

Pairs trading strategy: Portfolio returns and NAV

Currently trying a pairs trading approach using cointegration. Tried both formations: $$log(P_t^A)=log(P_t^B) \hat{\gamma}+\hat{\mu}+\epsilon_t \hspace{0.5cm} (1)$$ $$P_t^A=P_t^B \hat{\gamma}+\hat{\...
1
vote
0answers
70 views

When does funding cost of a portfolio enter into the portfolio's present value?

This question comes from some confusion when reading Hull's book and from the general concept of no-arbitrage/self-financing portfolios in stochastic finance books. I am not fully seeing the ...

1
4
5
6 7 8