Questions tagged [asset-pricing]
The asset-pricing tag has no usage guidance.
173
questions
0
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0answers
42 views
Measure how cheap is the Gold? [closed]
It's possible to measure how cheap stocks are, because we can compare asset price to its output.
$$Rate = {Revenue \space \over Capitalisation}$$
And then at any given moment we know how cheap ...
1
vote
1answer
45 views
Understanding Fama Macbeth Regressions of Returns
I'm trying to understand what the Fama-Macbeth regressions of returns actually mean. The source of confusion is a 2013 Novy-Marx paper, in which he states the following:
"The first specification of ...
-1
votes
0answers
9 views
Fama French 5 Factor Model - Indian Stocks [duplicate]
I'm looking to perform a Fama-French 5 factor model analysis for Indian stocks. Specifically, I'm looking for individual stock data which has information about month end prices, market capitalisation, ...
0
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0answers
23 views
Deriving CAPM from APT framework
I was wondering if it is possible to derive the CAPM from the APT?
My argument is that CAPM basically just is a 1 factor model, where the APT has multiple factors.
Can any of you guys help me?
0
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0answers
26 views
Replication of the paper: “A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction”
I recently replicated the paper "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction" and found out that my estimation of the equity premium differs from the data provided ...
0
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1answer
29 views
Question is about the data in the paper: “A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction”
I would like to ask a question if you download the data from the Amit Goyal website:
http://www.hec.unil.ch/agoyal/
You will see that there are two columns "CRSP_SPvw" "CRSP_SPvwx", they are ...
1
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0answers
41 views
Pricing of the compound coupon bond with PDE
I am now studying finance math using Steven E.Shereve's book.
Using Interest Rate models, We can the price for zero-coupon with maturity price $1$ under Hull-White interest rate model[page 274] and ...
3
votes
1answer
53 views
Time of Nasdaq daily close price
On the Nasdaq website It Is stated that the market closes at 4:00pm.
However I have historic intraday minute prices and I can see that that are minutes with prices after 4:00 PM (I am assuming its ...
4
votes
1answer
122 views
Libor to SOFR transition Yield Curve Construction
With the imminent transition from LIBOR to SOFR next year, what are the data points practitioners are using to the yield curve? Also, since LIBOR implicitly took into account credit risk of the ...
2
votes
2answers
76 views
Question regarding No Arbitrage price of a call option
I have a question regarding how to solve the NA price for a slightly modified call option.
Say that I have a money account $B(T)=e^{r(T-t)}$ and a stock dynamic $\frac{dS(t)}{S(t)}=(r-\delta)dt+\...
1
vote
1answer
40 views
How to determine the no arbitrage price of following claim? (change of numeraire)
How do I determine the no arbitrage price for claims such as $min(S_1(T),S_2(T))$ or $max(S_1(T),S_2(T))$? We can consider a standard Black Scholes model. Hence $S_i(T)=S_i(t)e^{(r-\sigma_i^2/2)(T-t)+\...
3
votes
1answer
63 views
What should happen to the equity risk premium as rates change?
Suppose I set forward-looking expected returns for capital markets using a dividend discount model framework, under which expected return for equities is the sum of dividend yield, expected trend ...
1
vote
1answer
50 views
What is market sensitivity and momentum sensitivity?
I have daily data of about 29 stock prices and 1 index prices of past 7 years
I calculated beta as the ratio of covariance(Rm,Ri) / variance(Rm)
I also calculated 200 days rolling momentum score as ...
0
votes
1answer
70 views
A financial market is complete if and only iff there exists a unique equivalent martingale measure
Do you have any intuition behind the following theorem :
A financial market is complete if and only iff there exists a unique equivalent martingale measure.
I understand the easier version of ...
1
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1answer
55 views
How do weights of a Mean-Variance optimized portfolio change as the Covariance matrix of the risky assets change?
I am learning a bit more about CAPM, and wanted to know if there was a specific way that weightings of assets in the optimal mean-variance portfolio changed (for constant risk aversion, expected ...
1
vote
1answer
114 views
What does “first-order effect” mean?
In the textbook Asset Pricing by John Cochrane, on p. 25, it says:
"This prediction holds even if the payoff $x$ is highly volatile and investors are highly risk
averse. The reason is simple: if you ...
1
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0answers
28 views
is it possible to make changes to use the affine property of Normal random variables, rather than the Central Limit Theorem?
I have proven the distribution of a discrete time model, evolving over a uniform mesh with $\delta t = T/L$ is given by
$$S(t_{i+1}) = S(t_i) + \mu \delta t S(t_i) + \sigma\sqrt{\delta t}S(t_i)Y_i,$$
...
1
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1answer
38 views
Moments of discrete Asset Price Model
Say if B is standard Brownian motion then:
$S(t) = S0e^{((𝜇- σ^2)/2)t+σB(t)}$
The mean of this SDE would be
$𝐄[𝑆(𝑡)]=𝑆_0𝑒^{𝜇𝑡}$
I know to do this you use the density function and ...
2
votes
0answers
33 views
To price Municipal Bonds and risks I want to know the percent of unfunded pension liabilities ($3.8T) to total state and local gov liabilities
Unfunded pension liabilities keep growing and this seems alarming to both pension holders but also Municipal Bond holders.
I would like to know how large this problem is to better price Munis and ...
1
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0answers
36 views
How do flat demand curves for stocks allow for price changes?
Many models in asset pricing base their assumptions on a flat demand curve for stocks, as they are viewed as goods with perfect substitutes. With this, I understand that any sort of stock sale or ...
2
votes
1answer
272 views
Using the Fama-Macbeth Process to Test CAPM
Here is my understanding of the Fama-Macbeth process:
Assuming a group of $n$ stocks, we first collect risk profiles $\beta_{i, agg} = [\beta_{i, MKT}, \beta_{i, SMB}, \beta_{i, HML}]$ through ...
0
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0answers
33 views
Eliminating factor risk?
Suppose there are two risky assets, related to the same risk factor $f$.
$r_1 = μ_1 + β_1f$
$r_2 = μ_2 + β_2f$
There is also a risk free asset available at $r_f$
How do you eliminate factor risk ...
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0answers
43 views
How should I interpret the (insignificant) coefficients of Fama-French 3-factor model?
I am writing a mid-term thesis on the Fama-French factor model.
I have built 5 portfolios sorted by the Book-to-Market ratio. The first portfolio is the lowest-BM group and the last portfolio is the ...
1
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0answers
37 views
Calculating the fundamental value of house price to separate bubble component from the price
The bubble in asset price is defined as the deviation of the asset value from its fundamentals, empirically Mendoza and Terrones (2008) measure the bubble as the deviation of an asset price from the ...
2
votes
0answers
35 views
Cointegration between prices and dividends. How do I get the following expression?
Actually, I have two questions:
1.
Let us assume that expected returns are constant. Then, we have the following expression for how the prices should be determined, provided that the operators are ...
2
votes
1answer
200 views
How to price a phoenix and snowball type autocallable options?
I'm currently studying the pricing of autocallable options, especially snowball (accumalated coupon) and phoenix (accumlated coupon, but the coupon may also be autocalled if the underlying price ...
2
votes
1answer
47 views
Gibbons, Ross, Shanken Test derivation by MLE
I Am trying to derive the expression for the GRS test of the CAPM. I am following the book: The Econometrics Of Financial Markets by Campbell, Lo, McKinley (1997).
Define $Z_t$ as an $N×1$ vector of ...
3
votes
1answer
59 views
How to model the maturity term of non maturing deposit accounts
My client (bank) currently follows a naive method to model the maturity term of chequing accounts. We need to model the maturity to correctly calculate the FTP pricing of these chequing accounts.
The ...
1
vote
1answer
94 views
Example of complex structured products on FX market?
Lately I have been working a lot with the vol smile and different stochastic volatility models with FX forwards data. Now I want to work with pricing examples through simulations. Can you suggest some ...
1
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2answers
150 views
Risk-neutral pricing and statistical arbitrages
I'm studying the martingale approach to asset pricing. Dealing with the concept of risk-neutral probability, I came up with a question about the possibility of "arbitrages in expectation". I'll be ...
0
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0answers
37 views
What is the effect of covariance on the dynamics of a price
I want to know how can I see covariance affecting the dynamics of the price of an asset. I understand what the value for covariance and it's sign, but I do not get how it plays in the bigger picture. ...
1
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0answers
22 views
Continuous formula for the price of an asset paying one terminal dividend?
I have been trying to come up with ways to come up with an answer for a question we got in my class of "Asset Pricing Theory". The question is as follows:
"Write the price of the asset at time t in ...
0
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0answers
43 views
What is the earliest mention of ROE as an asset pricing factor?
Can anyone tell me, what is the first application of ROE in an (empirical) asset pricing model? I am aware of the 2011 paper by Chen, Novy-Marx and Zhang. Are there any earlier papers on the matter?
2
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1answer
186 views
Forward Start Spread Options
Question:
We have a spread option with payoff: $\max (P_{T} - HR\times G_T, 0)$, where $P$, $G$ are underlying prices and $HR$ is a constant.
At time zero only contract $G$ is available for ...
1
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0answers
86 views
Fama-French 3, Carhart 4, Fama-French 5 Factor models return borderline 0% R2 (max. 6.6%). Time series regression
I am currently working on an industry specific time series analysis of European Equities between 201001 and 201812. I use the European Fama French factor returns (plus the momentum factor return) that ...
0
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1answer
43 views
Infinite Binomial Pricing no arbitrage
How to price a contract that pays only 1 at the first stock price drop? The stock follows an infinite binomial with no arbitrage $d<R<u$ condition.
So the probability of the price going down is ...
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0answers
30 views
Using CFNAI index for identifying sample periods
I'm doing my Thesis on Asset pricing models and I would like to find out the effects of business cycles on the performance of asset pricing models for industry portfolios.
My initial idea was to ...
1
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0answers
65 views
Brownian motion for modelling future asset values
Assume that an asset price $S$ is given by a Brownian motion. Argue from the definition why it is not possible to predict future values of the asset based on the past values of $S$.
I am not sure ...
3
votes
1answer
105 views
What happens in the binomial model if the real-world probability is $0$
Consider a binomial model.
Suppose we know that the price of a stock will become a certain value at the next timestep. That is, one of the two outcomes has $0$ real-world probability.
Then it should ...
3
votes
0answers
194 views
How to perform Shanken (1992) correction for errors-in-variables issue?
I have two questions pertaining to the Shanken correction:
The formula of Shanken correction shown in the Cochrane (2001) Asset Pricing book is as follow:
$$\sigma^2(\hat{\lambda}_{OLS})=1/T[(\beta^{...
1
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0answers
30 views
Statistical procedures on comparing the four Asset pricing models [closed]
I'm a business student and currently writing my thesis on comparing asset pricing models on industry portfolio returns. Being a business student, I lack the knowledge for statistical analysis ; so I ...
1
vote
1answer
164 views
Bond discounting conventions
during the preparation for my thesis, I've come across some strange discrepancies between literature and the information I've been taught.
It comes down to the proper way of discounting cash-flows of ...
6
votes
3answers
450 views
Most significant research articles for practical investors with research perspectives
I am an applied mathematician and recently I have decided to study the portfolio management theory. As a final objective, I want to manage my own portfolio and to try make some money on it using my ...
2
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0answers
71 views
Asset pricing and dividend discount model
I want to derive the dividend discount model from the asset pricing formula described in "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work" by Eugene Fama 1970. The formula that I am ...
0
votes
1answer
46 views
Is there a robust way to calculate stock beta or factor exposure that's specific to crashes?
Commonly known factors like market, value, momentum etc. have positive expected returns because they draw-down unexpectedly and investors require a risk premium for holding them. This idea is extended ...
6
votes
1answer
151 views
How to perform cross-sectional asset pricing regression?
I'm wondering is that possible to get insignificant beta estimates in the time-series context, but highly significant risk premium associated with that beta in the cross-sectional regression?
Any ...
2
votes
0answers
61 views
Creating a hedge portfolio out of 10 assets
Suppose I have historical return data on 10 assets. How can I create a hedge portfolio that prices all these assets in a factor model?
I have chosen 3 factors: excess market return, SMB and HML from ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views
How to modify binomial tree to incorporate one more asset?
I wonder, what would happen if we use the binomial tree to price exchange option, an option to exchange one asset for another at the expiry date. Payoff is $\max(S_1-S_2,0)$
For instance, I have two ...
2
votes
1answer
519 views
Which proxy is the best to calculate daily risk free rate for a capital asset pricing model?
I need to get daily risk free rate to measure my capital asset pricing model. However, I am still confused on which proxy to use for that (my sample comprises German stocks). Some empirical studies ...
2
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1answer
71 views
Continuous Time Asset Model in Higham
I read Higham's derivation of the Black-Scholes equation in "An Introduction to Financial Option Valuation". The issue I am having is that it relies on some assumptions related to a continuous time ...
