Questions tagged [asset-pricing]

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42 views

Measure how cheap is the Gold? [closed]

It's possible to measure how cheap stocks are, because we can compare asset price to its output. $$Rate = {Revenue \space \over Capitalisation}$$ And then at any given moment we know how cheap ...
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1answer
45 views

Understanding Fama Macbeth Regressions of Returns

I'm trying to understand what the Fama-Macbeth regressions of returns actually mean. The source of confusion is a 2013 Novy-Marx paper, in which he states the following: "The first specification of ...
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9 views

Fama French 5 Factor Model - Indian Stocks [duplicate]

I'm looking to perform a Fama-French 5 factor model analysis for Indian stocks. Specifically, I'm looking for individual stock data which has information about month end prices, market capitalisation, ...
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23 views

Deriving CAPM from APT framework

I was wondering if it is possible to derive the CAPM from the APT? My argument is that CAPM basically just is a 1 factor model, where the APT has multiple factors. Can any of you guys help me?
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26 views

Replication of the paper: “A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction”

I recently replicated the paper "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction" and found out that my estimation of the equity premium differs from the data provided ...
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1answer
29 views

Question is about the data in the paper: “A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction”

I would like to ask a question if you download the data from the Amit Goyal website: http://www.hec.unil.ch/agoyal/ You will see that there are two columns "CRSP_SPvw" "CRSP_SPvwx", they are ...
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0answers
41 views

Pricing of the compound coupon bond with PDE

I am now studying finance math using Steven E.Shereve's book. Using Interest Rate models, We can the price for zero-coupon with maturity price $1$ under Hull-White interest rate model[page 274] and ...
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1answer
53 views

Time of Nasdaq daily close price

On the Nasdaq website It Is stated that the market closes at 4:00pm. However I have historic intraday minute prices and I can see that that are minutes with prices after 4:00 PM (I am assuming its ...
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1answer
122 views

Libor to SOFR transition Yield Curve Construction

With the imminent transition from LIBOR to SOFR next year, what are the data points practitioners are using to the yield curve? Also, since LIBOR implicitly took into account credit risk of the ...
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2answers
76 views

Question regarding No Arbitrage price of a call option

I have a question regarding how to solve the NA price for a slightly modified call option. Say that I have a money account $B(T)=e^{r(T-t)}$ and a stock dynamic $\frac{dS(t)}{S(t)}=(r-\delta)dt+\...
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1answer
40 views

How to determine the no arbitrage price of following claim? (change of numeraire)

How do I determine the no arbitrage price for claims such as $min(S_1(T),S_2(T))$ or $max(S_1(T),S_2(T))$? We can consider a standard Black Scholes model. Hence $S_i(T)=S_i(t)e^{(r-\sigma_i^2/2)(T-t)+\...
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1answer
63 views

What should happen to the equity risk premium as rates change?

Suppose I set forward-looking expected returns for capital markets using a dividend discount model framework, under which expected return for equities is the sum of dividend yield, expected trend ...
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1answer
50 views

What is market sensitivity and momentum sensitivity?

I have daily data of about 29 stock prices and 1 index prices of past 7 years I calculated beta as the ratio of covariance(Rm,Ri) / variance(Rm) I also calculated 200 days rolling momentum score as ...
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1answer
70 views

A financial market is complete if and only iff there exists a unique equivalent martingale measure

Do you have any intuition behind the following theorem : A financial market is complete if and only iff there exists a unique equivalent martingale measure. I understand the easier version of ...
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1answer
55 views

How do weights of a Mean-Variance optimized portfolio change as the Covariance matrix of the risky assets change?

I am learning a bit more about CAPM, and wanted to know if there was a specific way that weightings of assets in the optimal mean-variance portfolio changed (for constant risk aversion, expected ...
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1answer
114 views

What does “first-order effect” mean?

In the textbook Asset Pricing by John Cochrane, on p. 25, it says: "This prediction holds even if the payoff $x$ is highly volatile and investors are highly risk averse. The reason is simple: if you ...
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28 views

is it possible to make changes to use the affine property of Normal random variables, rather than the Central Limit Theorem?

I have proven the distribution of a discrete time model, evolving over a uniform mesh with $\delta t = T/L$ is given by $$S(t_{i+1}) = S(t_i) + \mu \delta t S(t_i) + \sigma\sqrt{\delta t}S(t_i)Y_i,$$ ...
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1answer
38 views

Moments of discrete Asset Price Model

Say if B is standard Brownian motion then: $S(t) = S0e^{((𝜇- σ^2)/2)t+σB(t)}$ The mean of this SDE would be $𝐄[𝑆(𝑡)]=𝑆_0𝑒^{𝜇𝑡}$ I know to do this you use the density function and ...
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33 views

To price Municipal Bonds and risks I want to know the percent of unfunded pension liabilities ($3.8T) to total state and local gov liabilities

Unfunded pension liabilities keep growing and this seems alarming to both pension holders but also Municipal Bond holders. I would like to know how large this problem is to better price Munis and ...
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36 views

How do flat demand curves for stocks allow for price changes?

Many models in asset pricing base their assumptions on a flat demand curve for stocks, as they are viewed as goods with perfect substitutes. With this, I understand that any sort of stock sale or ...
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1answer
272 views

Using the Fama-Macbeth Process to Test CAPM

Here is my understanding of the Fama-Macbeth process: Assuming a group of $n$ stocks, we first collect risk profiles $\beta_{i, agg} = [\beta_{i, MKT}, \beta_{i, SMB}, \beta_{i, HML}]$ through ...
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33 views

Eliminating factor risk?

Suppose there are two risky assets, related to the same risk factor $f$. $r_1 = μ_1 + β_1f$ $r_2 = μ_2 + β_2f$ There is also a risk free asset available at $r_f$ How do you eliminate factor risk ...
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43 views

How should I interpret the (insignificant) coefficients of Fama-French 3-factor model?

I am writing a mid-term thesis on the Fama-French factor model. I have built 5 portfolios sorted by the Book-to-Market ratio. The first portfolio is the lowest-BM group and the last portfolio is the ...
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0answers
37 views

Calculating the fundamental value of house price to separate bubble component from the price

The bubble in asset price is defined as the deviation of the asset value from its fundamentals, empirically Mendoza and Terrones (2008) measure the bubble as the deviation of an asset price from the ...
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35 views

Cointegration between prices and dividends. How do I get the following expression?

Actually, I have two questions: 1. Let us assume that expected returns are constant. Then, we have the following expression for how the prices should be determined, provided that the operators are ...
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1answer
200 views

How to price a phoenix and snowball type autocallable options?

I'm currently studying the pricing of autocallable options, especially snowball (accumalated coupon) and phoenix (accumlated coupon, but the coupon may also be autocalled if the underlying price ...
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1answer
47 views

Gibbons, Ross, Shanken Test derivation by MLE

I Am trying to derive the expression for the GRS test of the CAPM. I am following the book: The Econometrics Of Financial Markets by Campbell, Lo, McKinley (1997). Define $Z_t$ as an $N×1$ vector of ...
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1answer
59 views

How to model the maturity term of non maturing deposit accounts

My client (bank) currently follows a naive method to model the maturity term of chequing accounts. We need to model the maturity to correctly calculate the FTP pricing of these chequing accounts. The ...
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1answer
94 views

Example of complex structured products on FX market?

Lately I have been working a lot with the vol smile and different stochastic volatility models with FX forwards data. Now I want to work with pricing examples through simulations. Can you suggest some ...
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2answers
150 views

Risk-neutral pricing and statistical arbitrages

I'm studying the martingale approach to asset pricing. Dealing with the concept of risk-neutral probability, I came up with a question about the possibility of "arbitrages in expectation". I'll be ...
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37 views

What is the effect of covariance on the dynamics of a price

I want to know how can I see covariance affecting the dynamics of the price of an asset. I understand what the value for covariance and it's sign, but I do not get how it plays in the bigger picture. ...
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22 views

Continuous formula for the price of an asset paying one terminal dividend?

I have been trying to come up with ways to come up with an answer for a question we got in my class of "Asset Pricing Theory". The question is as follows: "Write the price of the asset at time t in ...
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43 views

What is the earliest mention of ROE as an asset pricing factor?

Can anyone tell me, what is the first application of ROE in an (empirical) asset pricing model? I am aware of the 2011 paper by Chen, Novy-Marx and Zhang. Are there any earlier papers on the matter?
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1answer
186 views

Forward Start Spread Options

Question: We have a spread option with payoff: $\max (P_{T} - HR\times G_T, 0)$, where $P$, $G$ are underlying prices and $HR$ is a constant. At time zero only contract $G$ is available for ...
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86 views

Fama-French 3, Carhart 4, Fama-French 5 Factor models return borderline 0% R2 (max. 6.6%). Time series regression

I am currently working on an industry specific time series analysis of European Equities between 201001 and 201812. I use the European Fama French factor returns (plus the momentum factor return) that ...
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1answer
43 views

Infinite Binomial Pricing no arbitrage

How to price a contract that pays only 1 at the first stock price drop? The stock follows an infinite binomial with no arbitrage $d<R<u$ condition. So the probability of the price going down is ...
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30 views

Using CFNAI index for identifying sample periods

I'm doing my Thesis on Asset pricing models and I would like to find out the effects of business cycles on the performance of asset pricing models for industry portfolios. My initial idea was to ...
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65 views

Brownian motion for modelling future asset values

Assume that an asset price $S$ is given by a Brownian motion. Argue from the definition why it is not possible to predict future values of the asset based on the past values of $S$. I am not sure ...
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1answer
105 views

What happens in the binomial model if the real-world probability is $0$

Consider a binomial model. Suppose we know that the price of a stock will become a certain value at the next timestep. That is, one of the two outcomes has $0$ real-world probability. Then it should ...
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0answers
194 views

How to perform Shanken (1992) correction for errors-in-variables issue?

I have two questions pertaining to the Shanken correction: The formula of Shanken correction shown in the Cochrane (2001) Asset Pricing book is as follow: $$\sigma^2(\hat{\lambda}_{OLS})=1/T[(\beta^{...
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30 views

Statistical procedures on comparing the four Asset pricing models [closed]

I'm a business student and currently writing my thesis on comparing asset pricing models on industry portfolio returns. Being a business student, I lack the knowledge for statistical analysis ; so I ...
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1answer
164 views

Bond discounting conventions

during the preparation for my thesis, I've come across some strange discrepancies between literature and the information I've been taught. It comes down to the proper way of discounting cash-flows of ...
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3answers
450 views

Most significant research articles for practical investors with research perspectives

I am an applied mathematician and recently I have decided to study the portfolio management theory. As a final objective, I want to manage my own portfolio and to try make some money on it using my ...
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0answers
71 views

Asset pricing and dividend discount model

I want to derive the dividend discount model from the asset pricing formula described in "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work" by Eugene Fama 1970. The formula that I am ...
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1answer
46 views

Is there a robust way to calculate stock beta or factor exposure that's specific to crashes?

Commonly known factors like market, value, momentum etc. have positive expected returns because they draw-down unexpectedly and investors require a risk premium for holding them. This idea is extended ...
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1answer
151 views

How to perform cross-sectional asset pricing regression?

I'm wondering is that possible to get insignificant beta estimates in the time-series context, but highly significant risk premium associated with that beta in the cross-sectional regression? Any ...
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0answers
61 views

Creating a hedge portfolio out of 10 assets

Suppose I have historical return data on 10 assets. How can I create a hedge portfolio that prices all these assets in a factor model? I have chosen 3 factors: excess market return, SMB and HML from ...
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1answer
63 views

How to modify binomial tree to incorporate one more asset?

I wonder, what would happen if we use the binomial tree to price exchange option, an option to exchange one asset for another at the expiry date. Payoff is $\max(S_1-S_2,0)$ For instance, I have two ...
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1answer
519 views

Which proxy is the best to calculate daily risk free rate for a capital asset pricing model?

I need to get daily risk free rate to measure my capital asset pricing model. However, I am still confused on which proxy to use for that (my sample comprises German stocks). Some empirical studies ...
2
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1answer
71 views

Continuous Time Asset Model in Higham

I read Higham's derivation of the Black-Scholes equation in "An Introduction to Financial Option Valuation". The issue I am having is that it relies on some assumptions related to a continuous time ...