Questions tagged [binary]

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7 votes
3 answers
8k views

Greeks for binary option?

How to derive an analytic formula of greeks for binary option? We know a vanilla option can be constructed by an asset-or-nothing call and a cash-or-nothing call, does that help us? Wikipedia states ...
1 vote
1 answer
264 views

The shape of the volatility smile for bimodal outcome

Let's say that we have a biotech company that awaits FDA approval. In the case of approval the company gets a cash injection and in the case of denial it is pretty much bankrupt. Clearly, this is a ...
11 votes
2 answers
1k views

Can someone explain rigorously Taleb's criticism of Nate Silver's election forecasting?

Taleb makes the claim in this paper (and others) that there exists some sort of bound on the variance of a binary forecast such that if a forecaster's binary predictions exceed the bounds on variance ...
1 vote
1 answer
172 views

Hedging/Arbitrage with multiple period binomial tree

Plenty of material is written on how to hedge/arbitrage option price in one period binomial model, but I cannot find anything about hedging in multiple periods. If one to use multiple periods binomial ...
3 votes
1 answer
121 views

Why is the value of the Brownian motion bounded by the maximum value of this square difference?

This comes from Taleb and Madeka's paper (https://www.academia.edu/39998351/All_Roads_Lead_to_Quantitative_Finance_Response_to_Clayton_?auto=download) regarding arbitrage restrictions on binary ...
2 votes
2 answers
122 views

Why do we only need to buy or sell stock to hedge when the underlying is close to the strike?

Delta mesure the slope of the digital option.It also provides hedging information. Why do we only need to buy or sell stock to hedge when the underlying is close to the strike?
0 votes
2 answers
2k views

Is the delta of a binary option the same as the delta for a regular European option?

Assume both options have strike of 100, same time to expo, no dividend, same interest rate, same vol and lets say underlying is trading 95. Do both have the same deltas? I read this and still don't ...
4 votes
1 answer
2k views

Hedging a binary option close to expiry

I have been asked to prove mathematically that a binary option close to maturity should be hedged using a call spread with the same maturity. I understand that far from maturity, one would use delta ...
11 votes
2 answers
5k views

How to derive the price of a square-or-nothing call option?

At maturity $T$, the holder of a "square-or-nothing" call option written on an underlying $S_t$ receives a payoff of the form $$ \phi(S_T) = \frac{S_T^2}{K} \pmb{1}_{\{S_T \geq K\}} = \begin{cases}\...
0 votes
1 answer
81 views

Is the price of a binary call not monotonous with vol for OTM

Is this true and how would you prove it
3 votes
1 answer
304 views

Binary option expression

Given r=0, σ(K)=const Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K,σ(K))-C(K+ε,σ(K+ε))))/ε〗 What is the analytical expression for the binary option value? σ(K)=const Therefore, Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K)-C(K+ε)))/ε〗 ...
2 votes
0 answers
119 views

Tick Data Poisson Process

I am trying to generate a custom tick index using two indices (Let's say australian index ASX 200 and Japenese Index NKY). Japan index ticks every 10 seconds...and australia ticks every 30/35 seconds. ...