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Questions tagged [binomial-tree]

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1answer
275 views

Real Options: Calculating the “option to switch use” using binomial lattices

I'm currently looking into calculating the "option to switch use" to determine the benefit of the ability to switch between two technologies at any point in time (american option). This is also called ...
2
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1answer
421 views

Deriving $u$ and $d$ coefficients using binomial tree approach

From Hull's book when deriving coefficients of up and down movements, $u$ and $d$, of a stock price using binomial tree approach, at some point we get the following equation: $$e^{\mu\Delta t}(u+d) - ...
2
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1answer
3k views

Option pricing: Risk neutral probability calculation

Let $u=1.3$ $d=0.9$ $r=.05$ $S(0)=50, X = \text{strike} = 60$. Assume binomial model Why isn't the risk neutral probability found by solving the following for $p$: $$E[S(T)]=p65+(1-p)45=S(0)(1+r)^T=...
2
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1answer
995 views

What is the difference between the methods (listed in content) in pricing convertible bond?

To price the convertible bond, one of the models is the bond plus equity option method. That is, the value of convertible bonds is evaluated by finding the value of the straight bond and the value of ...
2
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1answer
956 views

Risk neutral probability in binomial short rate model assumed to be 0.5?

This should be a basic question but I have not been able to find a satisfying explanation. In the simplest binomial model, the risk neutral probability is computed using the up/down magnitude and the ...
2
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0answers
177 views

Binomial Model Implementation Trouble - American and European options come out equal

I'm Trying to implement the binomial option price model in python and get reasonable performance by using memoization. I checked the output against a black and scholes model and for European options ...
2
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0answers
53 views

Interest model calibration and binomial trees

Are there any good books for beginners on calibrating interest rate models and creating binomial trees based on these interest rate models and using them in pricing
2
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0answers
105 views

Second order convergence for the Leisen-Reimer tree

I have a question about this paper "Achieving higher order convergence for the prices of European options in binomial trees" by Mark Joshi, (Link: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=...
2
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0answers
122 views

Efficient construction of binomial tree

The goal is to build a $n$ step binomial tree knowing the end nodal probabibilities $p_1, \dots, p_m$, which correspond to the time $T$ states $S_1, \dots, S_m$. We assume that all paths ending in the ...
2
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0answers
147 views

How to simulate a Geometric Binomial Process with state/tie dependent increments?

I want to simulate a geometric binomial process with state/time dependent increments. So the model is given by \begin{align}R_t=\frac{X_t}{X_{t-1}}\end{align} \begin{align}P(R_t=u)=p(X_{t-1},t) \...
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2answers
132 views

Risk-neutral pricing and statistical arbitrages

I'm studying the martingale approach to asset pricing. Dealing with the concept of risk-neutral probability, I came up with a question about the possibility of "arbitrages in expectation". I'll be ...
1
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2answers
106 views

Counting random paths

Assume the path of a certain stock can be modeled using a binomial tree. The initial price of the stock at time $t=0$ is 1024. The upstage factor of the stock price is $x=1.25$ and downstage factor of ...
1
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1answer
372 views

Binomial pricing model: When the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein assumption is not arbitrage-free

I understand that in an arbitrage-free Binomial model, we assume that $S_{t+1} = S_t \cdot u$ in the event of an up-jump and $S_{t+1} = S_t \cdot d$ in the event of a down-jump. We call $u$ and $d$ ...
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1answer
351 views

Arbitrage strategies in Rubinstein's binomial tree one-step

Suppose that the current stock price is $S_0=20$ and the call option price with no arbitrage is $c=0.633$. Knowing that the expiry stock price can be $S_T=22$ with call option price $1$ or $S_T=18$ ...
1
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1answer
103 views

Calculating the price of a call and put using multinomial trees and risk-neutral probabilities

I am self-studying for an actuarial exam and I encountered this example. The books shows one method of solving using a replicating portfolio, and then shows this solution involving risk-neutral ...
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1answer
185 views

Binomial tree notation

Can someone clarify for me the notation of the nodes in a binomial tree with more than 1 step? Is this notation correct?
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1answer
82 views

Replication of the portfolio in single step binomial model

I would be grateful if anyone would comment how to construct this: Assume $S_{i}^k$ is a stock price at time level $i$ and at price level $k$. Assume option is written on $S$ with a a payoff $f_{T}^{...
1
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2answers
170 views

Standard Deviation as listed in Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation: Binomial Replication 2.3.4 Worked-Out Example

I am reading Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation (2nd Edition) and I think it's a great book. I'm having difficulty trying to derive a formula he used that he described as the expression for ...
1
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1answer
78 views

Binomial model in Björk's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time

I am having some trouble with variable $Z$ introduced in chapter $2$ in Björk's text. In the beginning, it is the random variable that attains $u$ resp. $d$ with probabilities $p_{1}$ and $p_{2}$, i.e....
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1answer
65 views

stochastic interest rate in binomial pricing model and in continuous models

Is the interest rate allowed to be truly stochastic in the binomial pricing model and in continuous models so that we are still able to switch to the risk-neutral measure? Shreve mentions multiple ...
1
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1answer
73 views

Is this the correct shape of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein's recombining binomial tree?

Most texts display the binomial tree like this: However when I run my calculation the tree in reality looks like this: Does this look correct to you? I am using these standard formulas: $$u=e^{\...
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2answers
459 views

Risk neutral probabilities for foreign currency exchange rate

Suppose that there are two currencies INR(domestic) and USD(foreign). Let the for exchange rate be S_inr. Using historical data, one can find out the volatility. For example, assume that, S_inr=60,σ=0....
1
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1answer
193 views

Clarification on the Black-Derman-Toy model regarding measuring time and notation

I'm self-studying BDT and I'm having some difficulty with what is meant by the "short-rate volatility parameter for the first year" and "the short-rate volatility parameter for the second year," as in ...
1
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1answer
327 views

Is Asian option in binomial asset pricing model a martingale?

Since it does not have a closed form solution for the price, it's unlikely to be a martingale. However, on the other hand, if we represent the price as a function of the current stock price and the ...
1
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1answer
85 views

Reference for option pricing, binomial multi-period model using martingales and conditional expectations

The title basically says it all. I am looking for a reference text on the pricing of options in a binomial multi-period model. It should be mathemathically rigorous using martingales and conditional ...
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3answers
187 views

What does a negative stock amount mean in a single-period, binomial market model?

Consider a single-period, binomial market model with a $r > 0$ interest rate (in USD per period) and a portfolio $(x, y)$ consisting of two assets: a savings/lendings account and a stock, both ...
1
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1answer
338 views

Put-on-call option confusion

So the question asks: Given a 3-steps Binomial Tree model with $S(0) = 50$, $U = 20%,D = 􀀀20%$, and $R = 5%$. A European call option has the strike price $X = 40$ and maturity time $T = 3$. Also, a ...
1
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1answer
45 views

binomial - parameters at which american option hits early exercise possibility

I am looking for a set of parameters (d,u,r,So,K, N=?) for pricing an american call using binomial where the call hits the early exercise possibility. Do you have any exemplary set?
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2answers
6k views

How to price an option on a dividend-paying stock using the binomial model?

This is actually an exercise from a course. But I don't completely understand the wording of the question. A stock is now trading at 100 dollars. Its price over the next 6 months evolves as a two ...
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3answers
2k views

Arbitrage free implies complete market?

In Tomas Björk's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this proposition It seems that to show that the model is complete, we must show that the claims are reachable. That is, we ...
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1answer
387 views

How to construct the binomial model for European option?

The annual interest rate is 5.3% and the annualized volatility of a non-dividend paying stock over the next six months will be 12.5% (annualized). i) Construct binomial trees of 5, 10 and 30 periods ...
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0answers
49 views

One Period Binomial Option Valuation Model [closed]

My question here is how is the probability of an up move calculated by $(1+Rf-D)\over(U-D)$ derived where Rf is the risk free rate, D is the down move factor and U represents the up move factor. ...
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0answers
39 views

How does LR binomial Tree Model handle input values which would cause NA result?

I am using C++ to implement a LR binomial Tree algorithm to price American options, but I find it would constantly generate invalid output, which is "nan" value in C++, although the input value seems ...
1
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1answer
221 views

Convertible Bond in Foreign Currency - Quanto Adjustment

I need to value the following convertible bond: The bond notional and interest is denoted in USD, but is convertible into Euro denominated equity. Normally, I would value such a bond with a ...
1
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0answers
111 views

Binomial Option Pricing - Hedging

I'm working on a project which is requiring me to test Binomial option pricing on real data. So far I have just been working with test data and my option pricing method works fine. The issue I'm ...
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0answers
251 views

Building implied binomial tree with American input options

i want to build an implied volatility binomial tree with American input options, so the setup is the following: 1) We know the market Price P of the American Put $P_{am}(t_i,K)$, where $t_i$ is the ...
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0answers
105 views

Quantlib binomial tree

I was trying to price options with the extendedBinomialTree class of quantlib. I actually tried at some point to modify this class in order to optimize it. Normally the drift and diffusion of the ...
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0answers
138 views

negative transition probability in trinomial trees

I was pricing a option with big dividend in the underlying. However, I got negative transition probability in a trinomial tree. Will it cause arbitrage? Does anyone have reference paper or book ...
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0answers
62 views

Jabbour-Kramin-Young ABMC Binomial Parameterization

The JKY ABMC Model (taken from Jabbour, et al. 2001) parameterizes the binomial model (in a risk-neutral world) such that, $u = e^{r\Delta t} + e^{r\Delta t}\sqrt{e^{\sigma^2\Delta t} - 1}$ $d = e^{...
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0answers
3k views

Calculating Greeks using BinomialTree in Matlab [closed]

section 1. Calculating sensitivity of the price of derivatives American or European option using binomial tree model section 2. Calculating first order greeks the code compiles till this point ...
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2answers
181 views

Is stock price priced in the uncertainty?

Consider a one step binomial tree model for stock price. The classical setup is as below: At time $t=0$, the stock price is $S_0$. At time $t=1$, the stock has probability $p$ to jump up to price $...
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1answer
73 views

American Put Option Pricing

I am trying to solve a question of American Put Option pricing as below. Build a 15-period binomial model whose parameters should be calibrated to a Black-Scholes geometric Brownian motion model with:...
0
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3answers
67 views

Binomial model arbitrage

I've recently started studying math finance from Shreve's Stochastic calculus text. In the binomial model, there is no arbitrage $\iff d<1+r<u$. To show that no arbitrage implies $1+r<u$, ...
0
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1answer
68 views

Binomial Option Pricing Model

This isn't homework. I'm going through sample questions for an exam. They include the answer, but no explanation. I've studied this model, but I don't know how to setup this tree to get any of the ...
0
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1answer
232 views

Put-Call Parity on Currency and Binomial Trees

I tried solving the below problem without knowing the shortcut of thinking about this in terms of a put versus a call. I can't seem to arrive at the correct answer using my method and I'm wondering ...
0
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2answers
117 views

Is American option price lower than European option price?

I used to think under the same condition, the American option is always more expensive than the European option, because American option can be exercised at any time (has more rights than European ...
0
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1answer
391 views

Difference in formulas for u & d in Binomial trees

For a binomial tree, everywhere in Hull and other literature, we have found the formulas for $$u = \exp(\sigma \sqrt{h})$$ but for binomial trees based on forward prices, we get a different formula ...
0
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1answer
41 views

Finding distinct possible values in binomial tree

I wonder how to solve this problem. Lets say we have a binomial tree with the following parameters: $u=1.25,\ d = 1/u,\ T=15$. How many distinct possible values are there for $X_{7}$?
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1answer
200 views

Confusion in forward contract pricing on a stock using the binomial model

In the financial engineering course I am taking we are studying how to use the binomial model to price derivatives, one of which is the forward. For this question it is related to a forward contract ...
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1answer
51 views

On pricing american put options

How come we pick the highest between the discounted weighted average (with risk neutral probabilities) and the early exercise value at each node of the binomial tree? I dont understand why, I can ...