# Questions tagged [binomial]

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1answer
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### Backshifting Price Timeseries with Memory Preservation

In Advances in Financial Machine Learning the author makes a case for fractionally differentiated price returns in chapter 5. The reason is to both maintain memory and to generate a stationary time ...
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### Breakdown of Wilmott's Binomial Tree derivation of Black-Scholes equation

Hi guys, I tried to follow the chapter of PWIQF on binomial model and got stuck when it derived the Black-Scholes (please see image). I tried to backtrack the said equations but couldn't trace back ...
0answers
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### american option confusion

I've coded up a binomial tree version of the "Known Dollar Dividend" part of section 21.3 of Hull 10th Edition. I reproduce the answer in the book's example and also reproduce correctly a ...
2answers
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### Failing to replicate Wilmott's results for binomial option pricing

I am working through Paul Wilmott introduces Quantitative Finance, 2nd ed. I am failing to reproduce one of his numerical examples and I would like to understand why. I chapter 3, Wilmott introduces ...
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### Option pricing models relation between theoretical and actual price

I have trying to figure out the relationship between theoretical option price and actual market price spotted from market which is determined by supply and demand. I yet cannot understand how to ...
3answers
1k views

### The State-Price Deflator in a Binomial pricing model

This question comes from a Financial Economics exam and I'm very confused about a state-price deflator which doesn't seem to exist. I've included the whole question for completeness, but my actual ...
2answers
1k views

### Does the Binomial Pricing Model require a no-arbitrage assumption?

In a binomial option model, if we take the uptick as 6%, downtick as 5% (assume equally probable), and RFR of 6% (continuous compounding), then we have a violation of $0 < d < 1 + r < u$. ...
1answer
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### Error on Paul Wilmott Section 5.2?

I gave this a long and hard thought because Paul Wilmott is a respected quant and I don't want to criticize his book, but am I correct in concluding that this section contains lots of errors? These ...
1answer
426 views

### Replicating an option

When we replicate a portfolio of cash and stock for a call option, shouldn't the replicating portfolio's greeks be equal to options greeks? Is that true? If it is, how is it that a portfolio of cash ...
0answers
244 views

### American put option in binomial model - arbitrage opportunity?

I'm sorry this must be an elementary question. I spent a good deal of time searching through webs including this site for the problem but I got none. Here's the problem: Say we have a binomial tree ...
0answers
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### Question about Paul Kupiec's “concentrated Bond loss rate distribution”

I wonder if anyone here has read the following paper by Paul Kupiec in which he approximates a loss rate distribution for a portfolio composed of (possibly) concentrated bond positions. https://www....
1answer
480 views

### Number of Time Steps in Binomial Option Pricing - Problem?

I am trying to price a digital option and the final price under different number of time steps are as follows: Is it possible to have a graph like this?
1answer
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### Real Options: Calculating the “option to switch use” using binomial lattices

I'm currently looking into calculating the "option to switch use" to determine the benefit of the ability to switch between two technologies at any point in time (american option). This is also called ...
2answers
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### Black Scholes vs Binomial Model

I'm trying to confirm my understanding of the 2 models. It is my understanding that the black-scholes is a special case of a binomial model with infinite steps. Does this mean that if I were to start ...
1answer
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### Why does arbitrage free imply complete market?

Proposition 2.10 of Tomas Bjork's "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time" states that if the general binomial model is free of arbitrage then it is also complete i.e. every contingent claim has a ...
3answers
278 views

### Proof of optimal exercise time theorem for American derivative security in N-period binomial asset-pricing model

At least two textbooks (Shreve's Stochastic Calculus for Finance - I, theorem 4.4.5 or Campolieti & Makarov's Financial Mathematics, proposition 7.8) prove the optimal exercise theorem that says ...
1answer
131 views

### Looback Put Option - finding the number of paths that reach each level

In a 4 period binomial model, I have a lookback put option that pays $\left [M_{4}-4 \right ]^{+}$, where $M_{4}$ is the maximum price reached during the sequence of 4 trials. Lets say the starting ...
4answers
773 views

### Volatility smile risk (negative effect) on dynamically hedged portfolio?

About last week you can see MSFT call & put option appears to be resembling volatility smile. And then I open trade positions on a 4 MSFT long call option contract (all 4 contract with fixed/...
1answer
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### Calculating expected shortfall

I'm trying to calculate the expected shortfall for the below scenario. I don't understand why the 1.04% probability of 0 bonds defaulting is used as a weight when calculating ES, since the binomial ...
2answers
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0answers
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### Two-period binomial model for American option

Consider a two-period binomial model for a risk asset with each period equal to a year and take $S_0 = 1$, $u = 1.5$, and $l = 0.6$. The interest rate for both periods is $R = .1$. a.) Price an ...
2answers
2k views

### Discrepancy between binomial model, Black-Scholes and Monte-Carlo Simulation

I try to use Monte-Carlo Simulation to price a 10-year call option. Based on below parameter, S = 1, X = 1, volatility = 80%, T = 10, risk-free rate = 0.22% The option value based on Monte-Carlo ...
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1answer
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### Pricing of a call option in one period binomial model

You are given a $5\%$ call option worth $\$2.66$. The strike price$k$is$\$41.00$. $S(0)=40$, $Sd=35$ (i.e the lower price of the stock at $t=1$) find $Su$ (i.e the high price of the stock at $t=1$)....
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### Prove that the binomial algorithm implies the arbitrage free price at t=0 of a T-claim

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ these propositions How does the first formula follow from from the algorithm? I get that $\Pi(0;X) = V_0(0)$, but I don't ...
3answers
503 views

### Divergence between binomial pricing and monte carlo simulation for vanilla european call?

I notice a divergence in my own code, but it's evident even in public code: http://www.thalesians.com/finance/index.php/Knowledge_Base/Finance/Option_Pricing_in_Python_and_Simple_English Pricing a ...
0answers
218 views

### How to price an option with a “step up” feature using binomial tree?

I have a call option with expiry in two years. In my case the option is bermudan style with first 9 months w/o ability to exercise (i.e. European) and after exercise at any time (i.e. American), but I ...