# Questions tagged [brownian-motion]

In mathematics, Brownian motion is described by the Wiener process; a continuous-time stochastic process named in honor of Norbert Wiener.

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### Probability that the price of stock following a brownian motion goes under a certain value

The price of the stock XYZ follows a brownian motion pattern with starting price = 10, μ = 0 and σ = 20 (on annual basis). What's the probability that in 6 months the price is less or equal to 8? ...
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### Valuation of Cash-Or-Nothing option

Studying options pricing, I'm stuck with the following problem: The price of a stock is described by the dynamic: $$dS_t = \mu\, dt + \sigma\,dW_t$$ Compute the fair price of a Cash or Nothing ...
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### Predicting the price of bitcoin over the next 365 days [closed]

I am trying to develop a model to predict the price of bitcoin over the next 365 days using Geometric Brownian motion. But I am incredibly new to the quantitative field and I am slightly confused as ...
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### Integral of Brownian motion w.r.t. time

Let $$X_t = \int_0^t W_s \,\mathrm d s$$ where $W_s$ is our usual Brownian motion. My questions are the following: Expectation? Variance? Is it a martingale? Is it an Ito process or a Riemann ...
A GBM $\frac{dx}{x} = \mu dx + \sigma dW$ solves to $x_t = x_o e^{(\mu - \sigma^2)t + \sigma W_t}$ From the solution, it is clear that $x_t$ cannot become negative. However, it is not so clear ...