Questions tagged [brownian-motion]

In mathematics, Brownian motion is described by the Wiener process; a continuous-time stochastic process named in honor of Norbert Wiener.

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1answer
917 views

Geometric Brownian Motion: percentage returns vs log-returns

In classical calculus, we know that the limit of percentage return (ie $dS/S$) equals that of the log return (ie. $dln(S)$ ). With uncertainty, we rely on Ito Lemma to draw a relationship between the ...
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1answer
2k views

Given $S$ is a Geometric Brownian Motion, how to show that $S^n$ is also a Geometric Brownian Motion?

Suppose that a stock price $S$ follows Geometric Brownian Motion with expected return $\mu$ and volatility $\sigma:$ $$dS = \mu S dt +\sigma S dz$$ How to find out the process followed by variable $...
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4answers
240 views

Correlation of Asynchronous Brownian Motion

I am trying to use the closing prices of the S&P 500 and the Nikkei Index to see how they are correlated (assuming they are exactly 12 hours apart). In order to test my method, I have generated ...
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6answers
3k views

Consensus on Cauchy distribution for stock prices

What is the general consensus for using a Cauchy distribution to model stock prices? I can't find much after researching online and wonder if it has been tried and discarded. My motivation is to find ...
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1answer
105 views

Pricing Secured Barrier Call

A European barrier call with barrier $B = 50$, expiration $T = 31$, and strike $K = 33$ costs $12$. The investor is interested in a product that, unlike this barrier call, offers some protection for ...
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0answers
72 views

Pricing defaultable asset with finite maturity

Assume a stochastic process $X_0 = 0$ and $X_t = \nu t + \sigma W_t$ where $W_t$ is standard Brownian motion and $\nu$ is a drift (can have $\nu \leq 0$ if necessary, but prefer it to be general), ...
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1answer
2k views

Can I always use quadratic variation to calculate variance?

Suppose we have a Brownian Motion $BM(\mu,\sigma)$ defined as $X_t=X_0 + \mu ds + \sigma dW_t$ The quadratic variation of $X_t$ can be calculated as $dX_t dX_t = \sigma^2 dW_tdW_t = \sigma^2 dt$ ...
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1answer
184 views

Determine the conditions for Brownian motion to be a Martingale

Let $W_T$ denote normalised univariate Brownian motion and let $X_t = W_t^2 + \alpha W_t + \beta t + \gamma$ where $\alpha, \beta$ and $\gamma$ are constants. Determine conditions on these constants ...
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1answer
242 views

How to show that $E\left[ \int_0^t \sigma(s) e^{iuX(s)} dW(s)\right] = 0$?

Let $\sigma(t)$ be a given deterministic function of time and define the process $X_t$ by $$X(t) = \int_0^t \sigma(s)dW(s)$$ I want to show $$E\left[ \int_0^t \sigma(s) e^{iuX(s)} dW(s)\right] = 0$$...
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1answer
541 views

Matlab implementation for modelling stock price process

I am trying to model the stock's price process. Let's assume volatility and risk-free rate is given. I've come up with the code below to try and model the price process with the geometrical Brownian ...
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2answers
1k views

Black Scholes in Practice: Delta Hedging

From the Wikipedia page, we know call option as an example is price through delta hedging. $$\Pi=-V+V_SS$$ and over $[t,t+\triangle t]$ $$\triangle\Pi=-\triangle V+V_S\triangle S$$ My questions ...
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1answer
561 views

Bond price and its process

Suppose that x is the yield to maturity with continuous compounding on a discount bond that pays off $1 at time T. Assume that the x follows the process $dx=a(x_0-x)dt + sxdz$ where $a, x_0$ and $s$ ...
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2answers
164 views

Moment Ito's Process Proof

I have a following stochastic integral - related problem that I have difficulty to solve: Given \begin{equation} dX_t = -\alpha X_tdt+\sigma\sqrt{X_t}dW_t \end{equation} and the second moment of $...
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1answer
82 views

Soft: Interpretation Fractional BM in finance

Suppose we are in the BS framework. If we replace the Brownian Motion with a more general fractional Brownian motion therein, how can it be interpreted? That is what is a financial interpretation of ...
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1answer
246 views

How to prove we have a $\mathbb{Q}$-Brownian motion?

Background Information: This question comes from the book Financial Calculus by Baxter and Rennie. WE start with looking at the marginal of $W_T$ under $\mathbb{Q}$. We need to find the likelihood ...
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1answer
74 views

Do we have a Brownian motion

Background Information: The process $W = (W_t:t\geq 0)$ is a $\mathbb{P}$-Brownian motion if and only if i) $W_t$ is continuous, and $W_0 = 0$ ii) the value of $W_t$ is distributed, under $\mathbb{...
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2answers
990 views

Brownian Bridge's first passage time distribution

Let's say we have a Brownian Bridge $Y_{b,T}(t)$ such that $Y_{b,T}(0)=0$, $Y_{b,T}(T)=b$. Let's say we are interested in the first passage time of $Y_{b,T}(t)$ at level $b$: $\tau_b = \{\min \tau; ...
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1answer
300 views

Stochastic differential equation of a Brownian Motion

I have two questions about Ito's Lemma with respect to calculating SDEs. The examples are simple enough, but I haven't found an answer yet. Take $W_t$ as a standard Brownian motion and $g(s)$ as some ...
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0answers
108 views

Brownian bridge density and risk neutral density for derivative pricing

The book The Volatility Surface by Gatheral (2006) introduces the Brownian bridge like density $q(x_t,t;x_T,T)$ of $x_t$ conditional on $x_T = log(K)$. Can we use $q(x_t,t;x_T,T)$ as the risk neutral ...
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0answers
106 views

Smooth ornstein uhlenbeck process

I want to simulate paths for a commodity price. I use the historic data in the following way: $X_t$ is the price. $\ln\left(\frac{X_t}{X_{t-1}}\right)$ is the daily return. I calculate the slope of ...
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1answer
1k views

Partial derivative of an integral

Suppose I have a model for the short rate $r$ as ($W(t)$ is standard Brownian motion) $r(t) = c+ \int_0^t \sigma (s) ^2 (t-s) ds+ \int_0^t \sigma (s) dW(s)$ I then want to find the dynamics of $r$, ...
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2answers
94 views

How to show the equality of these two events?

For $X_t$ a brownian motion defined for $t\in[0,T]$, How to show the equality of following events: $$ \{ \displaystyle \max_{[\tau,T]}(X_t)\ge 2u-d, \tau\leq T \}=\{\displaystyle \max_{[0,T]}(X_t)\ge ...
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1answer
50 views

$P(S_T > S_u \mid S_v = s_*)$

Let $u < v < T$ and assume $S_t$ follows a lognormal $((\mu - \sigma^2/2)t, \sigma^2 t)$ process. I'm interested in computing the conditional probability $$ P(S_T > S_u \mid S_v = s_*) $$ ...
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1answer
142 views

Integral with respect of $(dW_s)^n$

I know $$\int _0^t dW_s=W_t-W_0=W_t$$ Since $ dW_s dW_s=ds$ , so $$\int _0^t( dW_s)^2=\int_0^t ds=t-0=t$$ I Want to know why for $n\ge 3$ we have $$\int _0^t (dW_s)^n=0$$ My try $$(dW_s)^2 dW_s (...
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1answer
172 views

Discrete Time to Continuous Time and Summation of Two Geometric Brownian Motions

Could someone please suggest with detailed steps and/or a reference, 1) How to convert the below discrete time summation to continuous time form and write it as an integral? 2) Any methods to ...
4
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1answer
183 views

On the reflection of a stochastic integral

Let ${(I_t)}_{t\geq 0}$ be a stochastic integral defined by $$ I_t=\int_{0}^{t}\theta_sdW_t, $$ where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion defined on $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},{(\mathcal{F}_t)}_{t\geq 0},\...
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1answer
654 views

What is the distribution of Brownian Bridge over a given time interval?

I know from Karatzas & Shreve (1991) that a Brownian Bridge $B(t)$ from $a$ to $b$ on time interval $[0,T]$ satisfies: $$B(t)=a(1-t/T) + b*t/T + [W(t) - W(T)*t/T]$$ where $W(t)$ is a standard ...
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1answer
842 views

What's the variance of this Ito integral?

I am reading stochastic calculus and I have understood that the process $$X=\int_{0}^{1}\sqrt{\frac{\tan^{-1}t}{t}}dW_t$$ has normal distribution with mean zero. How can I find the variance of $X$?
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1answer
3k views

Correlation coeffitiont between two stochastic processes

I want to find correlation coeffitiont between $W_t$ and $\int_{0}^{t}W_s ds$. I think that these are uncorrelated. But Why? So thanks
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1answer
226 views

Is this a poorly written example, or could volatility in fact be negative?

I'm self-studying and I encountered the following example. It seems to suggest that volatility is negative in this example. I was under the impression that volatility can never be negative, both from ...
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1answer
635 views

Given $\mathbb Q$ and $X_t$ is $\mathbb Q$-Brownian, find $\frac{d\mathbb Q}{d\mathbb P}$ / Uniqueness of Brownian or Radon-Nikodym derivative

The problem: Let $T >0$, and let $(\Omega, \mathscr F, \{ \mathscr F_t \}_{t \in [0,T]}, \mathbb P)$ be a filtered probability space where $\mathscr F_t = \mathscr F_t^W$ where $W = \{W_t\}_{t \...
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1answer
292 views

Brownian motion simulation - scaling issue

I'm trying to simulate some BM for 500 observations. I got correlated increments as I needed and they are not exactly N(0,1), so I standardize them (x-mean(x))/sd(x). But then the resulting Brownian ...
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1answer
185 views

Probability that return exceeds a certain level before a certain time (Black-Scholes)

I am self studying for an actuarial exam on financial economics. I encountered the following problem and solution. It seems to me that the author intended to mean what is the probability that the ...
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2answers
952 views

Distribution of Geometric Brownian Motion

Please let me know where I have been mistaken! Let the SDE satisfied by the GBM $S(t)$ be $$ \frac{dS(t)}{S(t)} = \mu dt + \sigma dW(t). $$ Then, the underlying BM $X(t)$ will satisfy $$ dX(t) = \...
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1answer
318 views

Probability of Brownian motion particle touching barrier given path starts at $X_0$ and ends at a known $X_t$

I have been reading Su and Rieger's paper on barriers and from there have been able to work out the unconditional probability of the process $dXt = μ dt + σ dWt$ touching a down barrier $α$ to be $\...
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1answer
106 views

Drift irrelevance on high frequency data

Let's assume that price of a certain asset follows Brownian Semimartingale process with a drift term and a Brownian-driven continuous part (no jumps for simplicity). In literature it is often stated ...
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0answers
61 views

Can trinomial trees be used to model subdiffusion?

I am modeling a sub-diffusive process where the particles follow geometric Brownian motion (GBM) with movement occurring after randomly distributed waiting times. I have set this up as a simulation ...
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1answer
220 views

Modeling the Stock Market [closed]

Hi I was wondering what is the model that best describes the price movement of the stock market? A Brownian motion Process with drift? An Ornstein Uhlenbeck_process? (where the long term mean is ...
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0answers
38 views

Polynomial interpolation of corrected lognormal distribution

Can anyone provide a formula for a polynomial interpolation of the corrected lognormal distribution used to model returns traditionally resulting from the wrong Brownian motion generated model? ...
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2answers
450 views

Conditional probability of geometric brownian motion

I created paths using GBM to implement The stochastic mesh method. But the method requires the conditional distribution, given some S(t) the probability of S(t+1). I've searched and can't find this ...
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1answer
161 views

example Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equation - clarification of $dX_t$ derivation using $\pi_t$, $\Pi_t$

I have a market with safe rate r and risky asset S $$ \frac{dS_t}{S_t}=(r+Y_t)dt+\sigma dW_t \quad \quad (1)$$ $$ dY_t = - \lambda Y_t +dB_t \quad \quad (2)$$ where W, B are Brownian Motions with ...
2
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2answers
294 views

Ito calculus problem

given $S^1$ satifying the SDE $\quad dS_{t}^{1}=S_{t}^{1}((r+\mu)dt + \sigma dW_t), \quad S_{0}^{1}=1 $ and the safe asset $S_{t}^{0}$ $\quad S_{t}^{0}:=e^{rt} \quad for \quad r\geq 0$ Q1. how ...
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2answers
145 views

Multivariate Ito problem $M_t=\frac{X_t}{Y_t}$

I am analyzing a problem given in the lecture slides published here (Slide 7-8 Example of Multivariate Ito’s Lemma). Can anybody explain how the $M_t$ was calculated out of the Ito formula. I ...
2
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1answer
88 views

investor terminal value of portfolio with two risky assets 1) correlated 2)not correlated $\phi_t^1=S^{2}_{t}, \ \phi_t^2=S^{1}_{t}$

I am analyzing a problem where I have two stocks described by the equations $$ \frac{dS^{1}_{t}}{S^{1}_{t}}=\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_{1} dW^{1}_{t}$$ $$ \frac{dS^{2}_{t}}{S^{2}_{t}}=\mu_{2} dt + \sigma_{2}...
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1answer
187 views

2 Ito processes - $d(X_{t} + X^{'}_{t})^2 = (Y_t + Y^{'}_{t})^2 dt$ why it is true?

Having two Ito processes $dX_{t} =z_{1} dt + Y_{t} dB_t $ $dX^{'}_{t} =z^{'}_{1} dt + Y^{'}_{t} dB_t $ I am analyzing a proof of the product rule $d(X_t X_t^{'})=X_t dX_t^{'}+ X_t^{'} dX_t + Y_t ...
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1answer
488 views

How to express the volatility of two correlated Ito processes $Wt_1, Wt_2$ expressed in terms of $W_t$?

Having two correlated Ito processes ($W_t^1$ and $W_t^2$ are correlated Brownian motions with correlation $\rho$) $dX_{t} =\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_1 dWt_1 $ $dY_{t} = \mu_{2} dt + \sigma_2 dWt_2 $ ...
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0answers
475 views

SDE for a portfolio of two correlated assets $ Y_{t} = 2 S^{1}_{t} S^{2}_{t}$

I am analysing a problem where I have two correlated stocks described by Brownian motions $$ \frac{dS^{1}_{t}}{S^{1}_{t}}=\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_{1} dW^{1}_{t} \quad \quad (1)$$ $$ \frac{dS^{2}_{t}}{S^{...
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0answers
88 views

On the construction of a Brownian motion from a Gaussian process

Let $X$ a Gaussian process defined by $$ X_t=\int_{0}^{t}\left(\frac{1}{\sigma}\left(r_s-\frac{\sigma^2}{2}\right)-\rho\sigma_P(s,T)\right)\mathrm{d}s+\sqrt{1-\rho^2}Z_2(t)+\rho Z_1(t);\;\;t\in[0,T] $...
3
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2answers
88 views

What is the name of all 1-day movements, 2-day movements etc

When looking at historical data (index or stock), one can find all 1-day differences/movements, all 2-day, all 3-day etc and graph the extremes of each of these. This gives two line graphs forming a ...
3
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1answer
237 views

Lookback option to find stock price

Consider the payoff equation for the lookback option $\psi(T)= max(S_t-S_T)$, where $t\in[0,T]$ and $S_t$ is modeled by the geometric Brownian motion with constant parameters. Find the price of stock ...