Questions tagged [brownian-motion]

In mathematics, Brownian motion is described by the Wiener process; a continuous-time stochastic process named in honor of Norbert Wiener.

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Standard definition of multidimensional Brownian Motion with correlations

I was wondering was the standard definition of a multi-dimensional Brownian motion is. For one-dimension, I consider the following the standard definiton. Brownian motion (or a Wiener process) is a ...
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477 views

Vector of differences of Brownian motion integrals is multivariate normal

Given a 2-dimensional Wiener process $(W_{1},W_{2})$ with correlation $\rho$. Let \begin{equation*} X(t):= F(t) + \int_{0}^{t} f(s) dW_{1}(s) + \int_{0}^{t} g(s) dW_{2}(s)\end{equation*} for some ...
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866 views

Instantaneous Volatility Estimator

Suppose a Stock follows an Itô process with instantaneous volatility $\sigma(S(t),t)$. Precisely $$dS(t)=\mu S(t)dt+\sigma(S(t),t)S(t)dW(t)$$ I have a historical data for the values of $S(t)$.How ...
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Geometric Brownian Motion: Why is the Wiener process multiplied by volatility?

Below is the stochastic differential equation of the Geometric Brownian Motion: $$dS_t = S_t \mu dt + S_t\sigma dW_t$$ My understanding of the Wiener process is that the volatility component of an ...
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2answers
217 views

Questions on continuously compounded return vs long term expected return

I have reading a paper from Oliver Grandville on long term expected return. I am trying to reconcile what I am reading in that paper vs what I see under "Application to Stock Market" in Kelly ...
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Testing whether a process is a Wiener process [closed]

Ideally I would like links to code implementations (eg. Matlab ) or book/paper references, but I would appreciate suggestions on various methods. Update: I was hoping to attract people who test the ...
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1answer
651 views

Should I adjust historical data for dividends when estimating drift?

I'm building a Geometric Brownian Motion model which incorporates future dividends which vary over time. Since these should reduce stock price when paid, I can incorporate that into the model, however,...
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920 views

Risk neutrality correction for Monte Carlo Bootstrapping according to PRIIP regulation for products of category III

The PRIIP (packaged products) regulation prescribes Monte Carlo bootstrapping simulation for calculation of VaR for products of category III (non-linearly leveraged products). The idea is based on ...
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61 views

Solving for roots of a stochastic pay-off function

I have a pay-off function for a derivative which is defined by the Heaviside difference between $G$ and $B$ shifted by $-F$. To find the value of $V_{t=0}$, I need to find $\tau$ when $\frac{dV}{dt} = ...
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483 views

Modelling returns in the real world measure with or without drift

What I would like to discuss is the following. I don't think that this is a pure duplicate, so I would be happy about comments: On one hand it is reasonable to model log-returns as Gaussian: $$ \log(...
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1answer
373 views

Perform scipy Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test for lognormal distribution in GBM

I am simulating asset prices for n days using GMB with Euler scheme, calculate returns and then perform Kolmogorov-Smirnov test on simulated returns. Code for simulating GBM : ...
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Why changing measure is necessary? [closed]

I want to understand the logic for why this is: We have our model for the stock price behaviour: $$d{S_t} = \mu {S_t}dt + \sigma {S_t}d{\tilde W_t}$$ It describes the development of a stock price ...
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1answer
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Simulation of the geometric Brownian motion under risk-neutral measure

I hope you can help me again. It is clear how to simulate the GBM: $S_{t_{k}}=S_{t_{k}}exp[(\mu-\frac{\sigma^2}{2})\Delta t_{k+1}+\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t_{k+1}}Z]$, where Z is a stand. norm. dis. RV. ...
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1answer
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Girsanov Theorem application to Geometric Brownian Motion

I recently read this from a book on mathematical finance The important example for finance the (unique) EMM for the geometric Brownian. Let $S_{t}$ be the price of an asset, $${{d{S_t}} \over {{...
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1answer
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On the application of Itos lemma to Geometric Brownian motion [closed]

I recently read this from a book: The canonical SDE in financial math, the geometric Brownian motion, ${{d{S_t}} \over {{S_t}}} = \mu dt + \sigma d{W_t}$ has solution $${S_t} = {S_0}{e^{(\mu -...
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1answer
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Explanation on the application of CLT in bionomial tree model

We have a stock price binomial tree model of $n$ steps, with step length $\Delta t=T/n$, stock price volatility $\sigma$ s.t. $u_n=e^{\sigma\Delta t}$ and $d_n=1/u_n$, and the risk neutral probability ...
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Will volatility smoothing effects exist for returns driven by geometric brownian motion?

Say I randomly simulate a one-year pathway of 252 prices, where the underlying price model is driven by geometric brownian motion. where $t = (1 / 252)$, $mu = 5$% and annual $st.dev = 10%$%. My ...
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2answers
259 views

Stochastic process and brownian motion

I just read the following and i am having some difficulty to interpret it: We begin our analysis in the standard Black-Scholes world consisting of a bank account process of price denoted by $B_t$, ...
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1answer
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How to find the transition distribution functions of these two processes?

This question was asked by another user, but was deleted. As it may be useful for others, I re-post it here. What are the transition distribution (or density) functions of two processes defined by \...
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How to find the transition distribution functions of these two processes?

What are the transition distribution (or density) functions of processes defined by $dX_t=\mu dt +\sigma dW_t$ and $dX_t= \theta(\mu-X_t) dt +\sigma dW_t,$ where $\theta>0$, $\mu$ is a real ...
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Geometric Brownian Motion: percentage returns vs log-returns

In classical calculus, we know that the limit of percentage return (ie $dS/S$) equals that of the log return (ie. $dln(S)$ ). With uncertainty, we rely on Ito Lemma to draw a relationship between the ...
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Given $S$ is a Geometric Brownian Motion, how to show that $S^n$ is also a Geometric Brownian Motion?

Suppose that a stock price $S$ follows Geometric Brownian Motion with expected return $\mu$ and volatility $\sigma:$ $$dS = \mu S dt +\sigma S dz$$ How to find out the process followed by variable $...
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Can I always use quadratic variation to calculate variance?

Suppose we have a Brownian Motion $BM(\mu,\sigma)$ defined as $X_t=X_0 + \mu ds + \sigma dW_t$ The quadratic variation of $X_t$ can be calculated as $dX_t dX_t = \sigma^2 dW_tdW_t = \sigma^2 dt$ ...
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Pricing defaultable asset with finite maturity

Assume a stochastic process $X_0 = 0$ and $X_t = \nu t + \sigma W_t$ where $W_t$ is standard Brownian motion and $\nu$ is a drift (can have $\nu \leq 0$ if necessary, but prefer it to be general), ...
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1answer
219 views

Determine the conditions for Brownian motion to be a Martingale

Let $W_T$ denote normalised univariate Brownian motion and let $X_t = W_t^2 + \alpha W_t + \beta t + \gamma$ where $\alpha, \beta$ and $\gamma$ are constants. Determine conditions on these constants ...
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1answer
264 views

How to show that $E\left[ \int_0^t \sigma(s) e^{iuX(s)} dW(s)\right] = 0$?

Let $\sigma(t)$ be a given deterministic function of time and define the process $X_t$ by $$X(t) = \int_0^t \sigma(s)dW(s)$$ I want to show $$E\left[ \int_0^t \sigma(s) e^{iuX(s)} dW(s)\right] = 0$$...
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1answer
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Bond price and its process

Suppose that x is the yield to maturity with continuous compounding on a discount bond that pays off $1 at time T. Assume that the x follows the process $dx=a(x_0-x)dt + sxdz$ where $a, x_0$ and $s$ ...
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2answers
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Black Scholes in Practice: Delta Hedging

From the Wikipedia page, we know call option as an example is price through delta hedging. $$\Pi=-V+V_SS$$ and over $[t,t+\triangle t]$ $$\triangle\Pi=-\triangle V+V_S\triangle S$$ My questions ...
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1answer
761 views

Matlab implementation for modelling stock price process

I am trying to model the stock's price process. Let's assume volatility and risk-free rate is given. I've come up with the code below to try and model the price process with the geometrical Brownian ...
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2answers
241 views

Moment Ito's Process Proof

I have a following stochastic integral - related problem that I have difficulty to solve: Given \begin{equation} dX_t = -\alpha X_tdt+\sigma\sqrt{X_t}dW_t \end{equation} and the second moment of $...
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1answer
131 views

Pricing Secured Barrier Call

A European barrier call with barrier $B = 50$, expiration $T = 31$, and strike $K = 33$ costs $12$. The investor is interested in a product that, unlike this barrier call, offers some protection for ...
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3answers
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What's the correct choice for modeling correlated stock prices?

Let's assume we're happy with simulating $n$ stocks as geometric Brownian motion (GBM). But say we also want the prices to be correlated. When I searched around for how to construct correlated paths, ...
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1answer
434 views

How to prove we have a $\mathbb{Q}$-Brownian motion?

Background Information: This question comes from the book Financial Calculus by Baxter and Rennie. WE start with looking at the marginal of $W_T$ under $\mathbb{Q}$. We need to find the likelihood ...
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1answer
95 views

Do we have a Brownian motion

Background Information: The process $W = (W_t:t\geq 0)$ is a $\mathbb{P}$-Brownian motion if and only if i) $W_t$ is continuous, and $W_0 = 0$ ii) the value of $W_t$ is distributed, under $\mathbb{...
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1answer
452 views

Stochastic differential equation of a Brownian Motion

I have two questions about Ito's Lemma with respect to calculating SDEs. The examples are simple enough, but I haven't found an answer yet. Take $W_t$ as a standard Brownian motion and $g(s)$ as some ...
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137 views

Brownian bridge density and risk neutral density for derivative pricing

The book The Volatility Surface by Gatheral (2006) introduces the Brownian bridge like density $q(x_t,t;x_T,T)$ of $x_t$ conditional on $x_T = log(K)$. Can we use $q(x_t,t;x_T,T)$ as the risk neutral ...
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0answers
124 views

Smooth ornstein uhlenbeck process

I want to simulate paths for a commodity price. I use the historic data in the following way: $X_t$ is the price. $\ln\left(\frac{X_t}{X_{t-1}}\right)$ is the daily return. I calculate the slope of ...
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3answers
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Variance of time integral of squared Brownian motion

I want to calculate the variance of $$I = \int_0^t W_s^2 ds$$ I was thinking I could define the function $f(t,W_t) = tW_t^2$ and then apply Ito's lemma so I get $$f(t,W_t)-f(0,0) = \int_0^t \frac{\...
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1answer
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Partial derivative of an integral

Suppose I have a model for the short rate $r$ as ($W(t)$ is standard Brownian motion) $r(t) = c+ \int_0^t \sigma (s) ^2 (t-s) ds+ \int_0^t \sigma (s) dW(s)$ I then want to find the dynamics of $r$, ...
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2answers
97 views

How to show the equality of these two events?

For $X_t$ a brownian motion defined for $t\in[0,T]$, How to show the equality of following events: $$ \{ \displaystyle \max_{[\tau,T]}(X_t)\ge 2u-d, \tau\leq T \}=\{\displaystyle \max_{[0,T]}(X_t)\ge ...
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1answer
51 views

$P(S_T > S_u \mid S_v = s_*)$

Let $u < v < T$ and assume $S_t$ follows a lognormal $((\mu - \sigma^2/2)t, \sigma^2 t)$ process. I'm interested in computing the conditional probability $$ P(S_T > S_u \mid S_v = s_*) $$ ...
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1answer
151 views

Integral with respect of $(dW_s)^n$

I know $$\int _0^t dW_s=W_t-W_0=W_t$$ Since $ dW_s dW_s=ds$ , so $$\int _0^t( dW_s)^2=\int_0^t ds=t-0=t$$ I Want to know why for $n\ge 3$ we have $$\int _0^t (dW_s)^n=0$$ My try $$(dW_s)^2 dW_s (...
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1answer
233 views

Discrete Time to Continuous Time and Summation of Two Geometric Brownian Motions

Could someone please suggest with detailed steps and/or a reference, 1) How to convert the below discrete time summation to continuous time form and write it as an integral? 2) Any methods to ...
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1answer
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What's the variance of this Ito integral?

I am reading stochastic calculus and I have understood that the process $$X=\int_{0}^{1}\sqrt{\frac{\tan^{-1}t}{t}}dW_t$$ has normal distribution with mean zero. How can I find the variance of $X$?
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5answers
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Integral of Brownian motion w.r.t. time

Let $$X_t = \int_0^t W_s \,\mathrm d s$$ where $W_s$ is our usual Brownian motion. My questions are the following: Expectation? Variance? Is it a martingale? Is it an Ito process or a Riemann ...
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1answer
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Correlation coeffitiont between two stochastic processes

I want to find correlation coeffitiont between $W_t$ and $\int_{0}^{t}W_s ds$. I think that these are uncorrelated. But Why? So thanks
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3answers
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Variance of Brownian Motion

Can someone point me into the right direction to calculate this one: $E(B^4_t)=3t^2$ I had tried using the following property with no luck: $E(B^4_t)=E(B^2_tB^2_t)=E(\int B^2 dt )E(\int B^2 dt )=[E(\...
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1answer
496 views

Given Brownian motion $B_t,B_s$ and $t>s$, how to calculate $P(B_t>0,B_s<0)$?

As stated, this is an interview question. Given Brownian motion $B_t,B_s$ and $t>s$, how to calculate $P(B_t>0,B_s<0)$?
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1answer
709 views

What is the probability that a Brownian Bridge hits an upper barrier $U$ before a lower barrier $L$?

The probability that an arithmetic Brownian motion process $dt = \mu dt + \sigma dW$ hits an upper Barrier $U$ before it hits a lower barrier $L$ is given by $$ \mathbb{P}(\tau_U\leq \tau_L) = \frac{\...
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1answer
286 views

Is this a poorly written example, or could volatility in fact be negative?

I'm self-studying and I encountered the following example. It seems to suggest that volatility is negative in this example. I was under the impression that volatility can never be negative, both from ...

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