We’re rewarding the question askers & reputations are being recalculated! Read more.

Questions tagged [credit]

Fixed-income instruments whose price depends in large part upon judgments of the creditworthiness of a corporation or government.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
3
votes
2answers
758 views

Why would Basel III prevent price discovery at credit markets?

I'm referring to this interview with Michael Burry. He says: Central banks and Basel III have more or less removed price discovery from the credit markets. Why would Basel III cause this effect?
2
votes
3answers
80 views

Systematic credit “liquidity provider” strategy

I was reading a piece published by Bloomberg today, where it says the following: “A systematic process lends itself to providing liquidity rather than taking it because our models have views on ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

Borrowing at a gain (negative rates on bank mortgages, Bloomberg news) [closed]

I have been very curious when I first read the Bloomberg news attached here that the Bundesbank considers such mortgages with negative rates conceivable and would not intervene against them What ...
3
votes
2answers
93 views

Correct Discount Curve for Exchange Traded (Centrally Cleared) Products

What's the correct discount curve to use for exchange traded products? Would these be discounted at the OIS rate (because of the central clearing house)? E.g. the E-Mini S&P500 Future @ CME: I'm ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

Price moneyness vs spread moneyness for credit index options (CDX HY)

Is spread moneyness equivalent to price moneyness for volatility surfaces of CDX HY? In other words, is the ISDA converter a linear transformation? I have market data that I need to convert to input ...
2
votes
1answer
64 views

What are the best relative value frameworks for Corporate Credit?

Fixed Income (Credit) fair value models in the literature tend to be variations on cross-sectional regressions. For a recent example in a factor-model setting, see here. My understanding is that this ...
2
votes
0answers
40 views

CDS pricing using intensity models incorporating liquidity

I want to price a CDS using an intensity based model, but I want to account for liquidity as well. General model: The default time $\tau$ is the first jump time of a cox process, and the survival ...
0
votes
1answer
79 views

How do Repo traders use OIS and Fed fund rates

I would like to know how do Repo traders use FED Fund rates and OIS to cover themselves. For example assuming the repo trader bought paper(borrwed paper/lent cash) in the 1 year. How do they cover ...
0
votes
0answers
55 views

Developing Markov Transition Matrix

I’m working with historical credit performance data and would like to build a transition matrix to predict defaults and delinquencies. I can model the transition between states (ie current - ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

Calculate the implied loss rate on a loan, given the interest charged

My bank has a retail credit portfolio of 100 million in loans. I know the payment history,balance history of all these loans since inception. Are there any tools to calculate an expected loss, a loss ...
1
vote
0answers
96 views

Need to solve the stochastic differential equation of Vasicek Model

How to solve the stochastic differential equation of the Vasicek model for the analysis of credit risk? I search in the article "The Distribution of loan portfolio value" (Vasicek) but he doesn't ...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

Flattening a Credit Loss Curve

I have a credit loss curve for 36 months and I want to transform that curve into a 20 months curve without changing its final loss. My credit loss vector is a % of unpaid principal balance in a ...
2
votes
2answers
43 views

Are Credit Default Swaps used by B2B Service providers or Vendors?

I understand CDS's are often employed in trading strategies between institutions - That is well publicized. What isn't as publicized is how other customers might look to use a CDS. I work in an ...
4
votes
2answers
258 views

“Where is my money”: CDS Sensitivities, Spreads and PnL Calculations

Trading CDS I experienced something unexpected: A half year ago I sold protection on a single name at a spread of 190bp The coupon was 5% and the contract had a maturity of five years. Using ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Collateral Mortgage Obligation Z-Tranches

I would like to inquire about a specific type of Z-Tranches used in CMOs As part of the different collateral mortgage obligation (CMO) structures, we see a specific type of tranches named "Z-Tranche"....
2
votes
1answer
443 views

Hedging Ratios for Fixed Income Instruments

If you buy a corporate bond and you want to hedge the interest rate risk, how would you know how many interest rate futures/swaps to hedge the bond with? The same with an MBS security, if you want to ...
7
votes
2answers
259 views

Relationship between BBB credit spreads and rising interest rates

A stylized fact in markets seems to be that there is a negative correlation between interest rates and corporate spreads - as interest rates rise, spreads tend to tighten and vice versa. I'm ...
0
votes
1answer
93 views

different Z-spreads for a same company

A same company has two different bonds. I expected the Z-spread to be close for both bonds (since my representation of the Z-spread is the spread due to credit-risk proper to the company). Here is an ...
1
vote
2answers
84 views

credit spread ajustment considering currency

I would like to understand what is credit spread basis currency ajustment. credit spread implied by a usd bond won't be the same as one implied by a chf bond, isn't it ? Do you have any elements (...
3
votes
4answers
173 views

Intuitively, why does liquidity premium contribute to bond yield?

According to the Wikipedia, "The upwards-curving component of the interest yield can be explained by the liquidity premium... Liquidity risk premiums are recommended to be used with longer term ...
0
votes
2answers
390 views

Bond recovery rate with coupon

Suppose a bond has annual coupon of \$1 and face value of \$100 and matures in two years. If recovery rate is $50\%$ and the bond defaults before the first coupon payment. How should we receive the ...
0
votes
1answer
77 views

Libor Swap Rates

In a 5 year Libor Swap, say fixed vs. 3 months Libor, what is the credit risk reflected by the fixed leg ? (I'm ignoring counterparty credit risk). Would the fixed leg reflect 3 month Libor quoting ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

where can i get historical daily price data of counties (especially for turkey) CDS prices? [duplicate]

i need countries historical CDS prices (especially for Turkey) but i am failed to find. can anyone suggest me a website please?
1
vote
1answer
846 views

Mark to Market of a CDS Contract and Risky Annuities

From JP Morgan's Trading Credit Curves 1 and we have that: The MTM of a CDS contract is (for a sell of protection) therefore: $$\text{MTM} = (S_{\text{Initial}}-S_{\text{Current}}).\text{...
2
votes
2answers
858 views

Accrual in Default Derivation of Credit CDS Curve

In Trading Credit Curves Part I by JP Morgan we have that each point on a credit (CDS) curve represents: $$PV(\text{Fee Leg}) = PV(\text{Contingent Leg})$$ which is $$S_n \sum_{i=1}^{n}\Delta_i ...
0
votes
2answers
144 views

CDS Indices Query

I'm just getting into Credit derivatives at the moment but I'm having a bit of trouble with the technicalities of CDS Indices(CDX etc.) My question is. Given that CDS indices have fixed lifetime, is ...
3
votes
1answer
110 views

Simplifying an expectation function of default time and rates

I have the following expectation to calculate : $$ \mathbf{E}\left[ e^{\int_{t_0}^{\tau} r_s ds} \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau < T\}}\right] $$ More precisely, I want to show that : $$ \mathbf{E}\left[ e^{\...
2
votes
1answer
444 views

Markit recovery rates : assumed vs real

I often see two different recovery rates in Markit : real recovery rate and assumed recovery rate. What is the difference between them ?
0
votes
2answers
802 views

Why do we swap the bond value and par value at the beginning in the Asset Swap

I may asked this question before, but I still don't understand. We know that in a asset swap, A pays the fixed coupon on the bond B pays LIBOR + Spread The exchanges take place regardless of ...
1
vote
0answers
246 views

Negative correlation between interest rates and credit spreads - Why?

In fixed income markets a stylized fact seems to be that there is a negative correlation between interest rates and credit spreads: Spreads tend to widen as rates fall. Why is that?
1
vote
2answers
443 views

Importance of z-spread in CDS-Bond Basis trading

Consider the following: A bond with a 9% coupon and a price of $98. Let's say the zero swap curve is flat at around 7% (e.g. the zero swap curve is high because we're at the end of a business cycle). ...
0
votes
1answer
47 views

YTM of a Fixed-Income Loan?

I'm quite confused regarding the computation of a YTM. I got a Portfolio of Single Loans 30Y(like a MBS) which are not traded and hence do not have a market price. Now I want to compute the YTM in ...
1
vote
1answer
94 views

Literature on credit risk premia

I am looking for a comprehensive ressource describing known strategies of credit risk premia. Is there such kind of articles/books/websites?
1
vote
0answers
139 views

Credit quotations with which ISDA models?

I understand that single name liquid CDSs are (roughly speaking) quoted through either upfront+coupon, spread or price, and that for the pricing, the ISDA standard model is used : among other ...
1
vote
0answers
369 views

Altman Z-Score model for PD calculation [duplicate]

I am approaching you with one important for me question. I have a task to calculate probability of default for our clients. I used an Altman Z-Score model to calculate the Z-Scores for each client. ...
1
vote
2answers
77 views

Prepayment-Data : Open Databases?

I want to do empirical research regarding prepayment behaviour on mortgage credits. Is there any public data provided online regarding this topic? I'm especially interessted in mortgage/retail credit ...
0
votes
2answers
1k views

dataset on Credit Default Swap [duplicate]

I would like to have the CDS for the main countries. Do you know where I could find these data free to use? Thanks a lot
-1
votes
1answer
68 views

Pricing Debt/Credit/Mortgage+ Prepayment- Literature?

Does someone know some good literature(Papers or Books) regarding the topic how to Price debt/credit with prepayment? I just found literature about the general topic , like how to price callable bonds,...
2
votes
0answers
877 views

Free Data Source for Credit Spreads?

Credit spreads are a key economic indicator. They are the difference between yields on corporate and government debt. They are a measure of confidence in the private sector, they provide insight into ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

Is a CDS spread a spread in a typical sense

I have a basic question that's causing me some confusion. I see discussion of a "CDS spread," defined as the cost of protection. Are these the same as a bid-ask spread? Is there any relation between ...
1
vote
2answers
121 views

How do I interpret the credit rating history time series?

This is the best historical time series which I could find from tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/rating. It would be great if someone could answer my question. I am currently researching on the topic of ...
7
votes
6answers
14k views

What's the difference between credit risk and counterparty credit risk?

As the title reads, what is the difference between credit risk and counterparty credit risk? What are the key differences?
0
votes
3answers
250 views

Is a bondfuture an IRD or a Credit Derivative?

I need to categorize a BondFuture trade in one of the five major asset classes and I am not sure if it should put it to the interest rate asset class or the credit asset class. A quick (and dirty) ...
1
vote
1answer
1k views

What is Treasury Credit Risk?

I know that there are Treasury Credit Teams in Banks, so I would like to know what Treasury Credit is? I would also like to know the difference between Treasury Credit Risk and Credit Risk?
1
vote
1answer
123 views

Right expression for the semi-annually compounded credit spreads?

I'm familiar with the expression for a (continuously compounded) credit spread of the form $$ c(t,T) = -\frac{1}{T-t} \ln \frac{v(t,T)}{p(t,T)},$$ where $p(t,T)$ denotes the time $t$ price of a $T$-...
1
vote
2answers
260 views

How do you quantify credit risk?

I am trying to figure out how to quantify the change in price on a bond for a change in credit risk. I'm not even sure how to quantify a change in credit risk, but I'm thinking possibly something ...
2
votes
0answers
316 views

US Rule versus Actuarial Method for calculating interest

I'm trying to understand the difference between the actuarial method and the U.S. Rule for calculating interest. I think the difference is that the actuarial rule adds unpaid interest to the principal ...
1
vote
0answers
50 views

First coupon CDO tranche

I am interested in Tranches on Credit Indexes. Let $T$ be the trade date, let $t_1<T<t_2$ be the accrual dates surrounding the trade date. I would like to know which option is correct ? A) ...
3
votes
1answer
60 views

STCDO upper tranche still paying coupons even after all default

We assume : that a CDO on $n$ names, with a maturity $T$ that at a time $\tau<T$ before the maturity of the CDO, these $n$ names have defaulted, that we are the protection buyer of the 22-100 ...
12
votes
3answers
880 views

Validating a Credit Scoring Model without Data

Fellow Quants, Suppose you have a credit scoring model that is developed without the aid of statistics, because (unfortunately) there is no historical default/loss data in your portfolio. The ...