Questions tagged [dividends]

A dividend is a payment made by a corporation to its shareholders, usually as a distribution of profits.

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17
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4answers
26k views

Difference between S&P 500 index and S&P 500 Total Return index?

There's the standard S&P 500 index (SPX) and the rarer used S&P 500 Total Return index (SPTR). If you compare graphs, you'll find that the latter grows faster. Supposedly, SPTR assumes ...
15
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1answer
813 views

Stochastic modelling of derivatives on dividends

I consider pricing and risk analysis of derivatives on dividends of the members of equity indices (such as Dow Jones EuroStoxx). There are options but I focus on futures. What are common stochastic ...
10
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1answer
6k views

Implied dividend estimation

I am looking at two different ways of estimating the expected / implied dividends from market data. 1. Dividend futures I know that this asset class is not very liquid and might not be ...
7
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2answers
351 views

Cochrane on Return Predictability

Being a lover of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle's work, I picked up a copy of Cochrane’s 2008 paper, The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability and read: If returns are not predictable, ...
5
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0answers
79 views

How to price lookback american option when its payment is distributed during its life

I would like to price a floating strike american lookback with a particular feature: I don't want to charge upfront the client, rather I would like to insert a "running fee", some sort of a dividend. ...
5
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0answers
158 views

Dividend Index Futures

My question is dealing with the proportionality between Dividend Index Futures prices and Index prices. Indeed, we in the past we used to do a simple regression between these variables and use the ...
4
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3answers
1k views

Black Scholes and high dividend paying stocks

I understood there were 3 alternative methods of dealing with dividends in BS: 1) using a continuous dividend yield as an input; or 2) setting dividends to zero and subtracting the PV of divs from the ...
4
votes
5answers
5k views

Option pricing ? Where to get the dividend yield from?

I'm trying to apply Black & Scholes formula for a real example to price a vanilla equity option but I'm strugling a little bit whith the dividend yield. Let's assume I have a stock that trades at ...
4
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0answers
163 views

Risk factors for derivatives on dividends

I consider pricing and risk analysis of derivatives on dividends of the members of equity indices (such as Dow Jones EuroStoxx). There are options but I focus on futures. What are the main risk ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Implied Dividend from American Options (in practice)

I just tried to price the implied dividend for a few active, liquid options markets using current prices and I am not convinced my results are accurate. I am using American options, and using the put-...
3
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1answer
353 views

Total Returns From Adjusted Close Prices

I'm trying to understand why the total return (return including dividends) that I get from calculating return using adjusted close price, does not equal the total return calculated in another manner. ...
3
votes
1answer
461 views

Why is the dividend risk of an option equal to its delta?

In this document, https://www.eurexgroup.com/blob/2435406/f1b0086a8c6d05954c58a8dc24308c81/data/20160304_Colin-Bennent-Trading-Volatility-.pdf, it states that "This is because the dividend risk of ...
3
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1answer
212 views

Discounting dividends and terminal value in valuation

I am new to finance and valuation in particular. I have a query regarding discounting dividends and terminal value for valuation using dividend discount model. I have created an illustration to help ...
3
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0answers
44 views

Why not discount the dividend in the european put lower bound condition?

According to the european put lower bound condition: $ p \geq max(D + K \cdot e^{-r(t_2-t_0)} - S_0, 0)$ where $t_0$ is now and $t_2$ is maturity. Say $t_1$ is the dividend release time where $t_0&...
2
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3answers
141 views

Structured product sellers and div swaps

From a Barclays primer on dividend swaps: We note that for shorter periods of time, implied dividends can be more volatile than spot as dividends often trade away from ...
2
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1answer
90 views

European put options

Why is it that for European Puts on Non-Dividend-Paying Stocks, the lower-bound for price is $$p=Ke^{-rT}-S_0?$$
2
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1answer
86 views

Getting rate from a share's given futures price, with known dividend information

Question was answered by @Ezy - thanks! This seems to be a basic question, but mysteriously unsolvable as far as I can see. It concerns calculating the interest rate from a given stock futures ...
2
votes
1answer
260 views

Dividend as a function of stock

Let's say I have a stock that pays dividend once a year. I know how much did it pay in 2014, and at which level was stock trading when the dividend decision was made. I'd like to use these data to ...
2
votes
1answer
144 views

Binomial Tree Option Pricing Model. Lets talk dividends and futures

I am writing an option pricing model for production use. Its not for arb or anything so it doesn't need to be 100% as accurate as possible. Just good enough for "what happens to my book if we jump 10 ...
2
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1answer
63 views

Gordon's dividend valuation model: Ignoring optionality

Currently studying some papers on Behavioral Finance (the dividend puzzle), which employ some basic valuation models, calculating stock's fundamental value $P_t$. The most known is the discount of ...
2
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2answers
192 views

Is an options implied dividends DCF model consistent with risk neutral/arbitrage-free valuation?

We're talking about how we price every financial instrument: by discounting the payoff, that is, we take future cash flows and we discount them by a proper rate which takes into account the risk of ...
2
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0answers
69 views

Asset pricing and dividend discount model

I want to derive the dividend discount model from the asset pricing formula described in "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work" by Eugene Fama 1970. The formula that I am ...
2
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0answers
144 views

Extrapolating implied dividend yield

I have liquid option quotes for 1, 2, 3 and 4y expiries. I was able to imply the continuous dividend yield for all of those. How would you extrapolate such implied yield to 5 and 6y expiries?
2
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0answers
113 views

Why would a 9% dividend payment halve the stock price? [closed]

I am trying to understand why a stock experienced a very drastic drop in price. The only event linked to the drop seems to be payment of an unusually big dividend; however its effect on the price ...
2
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0answers
309 views

Modelling long run relationship between dividend and earnings

I am working on a paper where I have to model the long run relationship between earnings and dividends. I have downloaded the raw data from shillers website. I have converted the series to log(...
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2answers
596 views

How does income tax affect the Ex-dividend behavior of a stock?

If there are no taxes and no volatility, I would expect the the move in a stock on the Ex-dividend date to be equal to the gross value of the dividend. However, if I am taxed, I find the problem gets ...
1
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1answer
135 views

The Dog That Did Not Bark?

I've been reading Cochrane's 2006 paper "The Dog that did not bark: A Defense of Return Predictability", but i am still struggling to understand what the dog was, and why it wasn't barking? If anyone ...
1
vote
1answer
79 views

Role of next month's dividends in forward pricing

I'm using the equations given on this page to price forwards on an equity. It's a basic equation that discounts dividends. But my question is: What do we do about dividends that occur after the ...
1
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1answer
2k views

MonteCarlo simulation of stock prices using milstein scheme with dividend yield?

While performing a montecarlo simulation of stock prices using the milstein scheme is it possible to take into account the dividend yield into the simulation itself somehow, if we are given a ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

Why can only non-dividend paying assets serve as numeraire?

In Kerry Back, A Course in Derivative Securities, Sect. 1.4 (page 29), the author stated the FTAP in the following form (in boldface): If there are no arbitrage opportunities, then for each (non-...
1
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1answer
493 views

Calculation of dividend yield from index returns

For a research project, I need to find or calculate dividend yield for all the index of major countries in the world (e.g: s&p500,DAX,CAC40 and so on), and I am struggling a bit with it. I cannot ...
1
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1answer
140 views

Is this representation of the put-call parity correct? (Implied dividend estimation)

I am looking at implied dividend yields to be obtained from the put-call parity and have come across the following answer: Implied dividend estimation It states that $$ PV(div) = P - C + (S - K) + K(...
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1answer
79 views

Example Security Giving Stock Dividends?

I'm looking for a security that has some stock dividends. Any suggestion? There are plenty of websites explaining what is a stock dividend or plenty referencing companies with cash dividends but all ...
1
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1answer
135 views

Hedging strategy for American Option

Good day, I was asked to devise a hedging strategy for an American Option given the following claims. Note, $r=0$ and the underlying stock pays a dividend of $1$ at time $t=1.5$ \begin{...
1
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1answer
131 views

Dividend yield on ASX 200 (XJO) index options

I'm trying to understand how to calculate the price and Greeks of XJO options. XJO options are European, the underlying is an index and they don't pay a dividend. However the underlying drops when ...
1
vote
1answer
103 views

Value-at-Risk and dividend payments

How should dividends be considered when computing Value-at-Risk for a stock portfolio using Historic data. To simplify let's consider a very simple portfolio of one long position on a stock. My VaR ...
1
vote
1answer
105 views

Dividend Yield Goyal and Welch (2008)

Following the Goyal and Welch (2008) stock return predictability data, does anyone know how they calculate the dividend yield from the dataset that they provide on Amit Goyals website http://www.hec....
1
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1answer
150 views

What is the analogue used by Hull to price European calls with known cash dividends?

From The Book by Hull: And Hull's comment: This rule is analogous to the one developed in Section 14.12 for valuing a European option on a stock paying known cash dividends. (In that case we ...
1
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1answer
161 views

What is the other type of impact of dividends on the stock price in this formula?

Excerpted from Marek Musiela and Marek Rutkowski's Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling, Second Edition. I think I understand formula 3.71: paying cash dividend $\kappa_j$ at time $T_j$ will ...
1
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1answer
283 views

Backtesting and dividend adjustments

I am backtesting a number of trading strategies using a feed of unadjusted data from Factset. Before I run the backtest my routines adjust the data for splits and for special dividends. One question ...
1
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3answers
327 views

When valuing a vanilla option on an index, should we take dividend into account?

When valuing a vanilla option on an index (eg FTSE 100), should we take index dividend yield into account? $$ c=Se^{-q\tau}N\left(d_1\right)-Ke^{-r\tau}N\left(d_2\right) $$ $$ d_1=\frac{\ln\left(\...
1
vote
1answer
2k views

Black Scholes formula with continuous dividend paying stock

I am reading the part of constructing B&S price for stock paying dividends. The simplest model used continuous yield dividend. But I can not see that rigorous in term of formulations. Firstly, ...
1
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2answers
89 views

I have some historical options data, and there are duplicates of some options, how to filter them

I have some historical EOD options data for 2013, and there are duplicates listed for same strikes/expirations. I was told that by the provider that this is due to "special one-time cash payout" for ...
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0answers
21 views

Joint time series model of dividends and stock returns

Dividends on stocks are typically paid quarterly. Is there research on bivariate time series models of quarterly stock returns and dividends? Corporate management has discretion over dividends, and ...
1
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0answers
80 views

Geometric Brownian Motion with Dividends

I am working on a problem and had a quick question. I understand that for Geometric Brownian Motion we use the formula: $$X_{t_n} = X_{t_{n-1}} + \mu X_{t_{n-1}} \Delta t + \sigma X_{t_{n-1}} \...
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0answers
47 views

How to handle database updates for splits/dividends?

I'm finding it an difficult task to maintain a database of stock prices. My main problem is how to efficiently handle splits and dividends. Is it better to handle this in a database with adjusted ...
1
vote
1answer
58 views

Bond ETF Implied Dividends

What (if one exists) is the standard way for estimating future dividends on bond etfs? The major challenge in my mind is that the monthly dividend distributions of a bond etf (like HYG) don't ...
1
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0answers
472 views

Dividend yield for an index

Let's say we want to price an option and so need a dividend yield to plug into Black-Scholes. We can compute an implied dividend yield for a stock using: $$F=S_0 e^{(r-d)T}$$ and by isolating for $...
1
vote
2answers
36 views

I need a low volatility asset that gives an interest/dividen [closed]

I have some cash that needs to sit on an account for some time (less then a year, where I will withdraw an amount every month). I need them in a fixed price/low volatility asset that gives an interest ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

Disaggregating stock performance and dividend yield

I modeled the performance of several portfolios with adjusted close data and would now like to understand how much of it is driven by changes in stock price and dividend payouts. I have all the data ...