# Questions tagged [econometrics]

The use of mathematical methods, especially statistical, in order to analyze economic phenomena, understand the economic relations between them, and develop economic theories. A subset of economics.

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### Correlation coefficient without cash flows?

I'm an intern at a company and one of our tasks is to calculate the the probability of default of both participants of a Swap(a Client and a Bank), for which we first need the correlation coefficient ...
• 21
147 views

### Using cumulative returns to hedge against the overall trend

I am curious about a hypothetical strategy where you are long for a given period (like a year), and at the same time you hedge against the overall trend by going short everyday and accumulating the ...
• 131
776 views

### How to calculate Information Ratio?

In the book titled "Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior Returns and Controlling Risk" by Grinold & Kahn, the information ratio is defined as "the ratio of ...
• 263
48 views

### Cointegration between prices and dividends. How do I get the following expression?

Actually, I have two questions: 1. Let us assume that expected returns are constant. Then, we have the following expression for how the prices should be determined, provided that the operators are ...
• 171
342 views

### Gibbons, Ross, Shanken Test derivation by MLE

I Am trying to derive the expression for the GRS test of the CAPM. I am following the book: The Econometrics Of Financial Markets by Campbell, Lo, McKinley (1997). Define $Z_t$ as an $N×1$ vector of ...
• 171
1 vote
1k views

### How to normalize stock exchange indexes

I am doing an academic research in behavioral finance and I need to calculate my abnormal return based on the normalized returns of the stock exchange index being the S&P 500. In other words, I ...
• 111
96 views

### What does A(B) mean in time series

So I have been reading some papers regarding time series, mainly from Granger and Engle. I am a bachelor econometrics student, but I have never seen such notation before. For example, A(B)(1-B)x(t) = -...
• 5
640 views

### Annualization of higher-order co-moments (coskewness and cokurtosis arrays)

I'm developing a dynamic portfolio optimization procedure based on the implementation of the Modified sharpe ratio. The mentioned ratio depends, among other factors, on the skewness and kurtosis of ...
1 vote
68 views

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1k views

### Criticise GARCH relative to Realized Volatility

I would like to have your opinion about a simple question. While GARCH would be useful to calculate the conditional volatility, and the RV being in some sense the "historical" volatility, what would ...
• 61
396 views

### Quantitative features of asset price bubbles beginning

Surprisingly, I've found very little research on this topic. Research papers I've come across propose some simple models to say that asset prices might be in a bubble. Most of the models take these ...
• 2,133
1 vote
76 views

### Interest rate model with external variables

There are several well-known one-factor interest rate models: Hull-White, Ho-Lee and Black-Derman-Toy just to name a few. There are also multi-factor models such as Longstaff-Schwartz and Chen. But ...
• 13
4k views

### How to compute a Fama-Macbeth R-Squared (R2)?

I'm reaching out regarding the R-Squared of a Fama-Macbeth regression. This is often reported in econometric results but I have yet to find a good explanation of how it is computed. Specifically, if ...
• 41
9k views

### Fama Mac-Beth (1973) vs Fixed effect

Currently testing if monthly fund characteristics (size, capital flows, age, risk, persistence,...) explain funds abnormal returns. My data is set as a panel with 1000 equity mutual funds over the ...
• 498
3k views

### Choosing the right statistical test for Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation

How do you suggest I do this? I would like to perform a statistical test to check if: the aggregate alpha of all funds equals 0. the aggregate beta of all funds equals 1. Data Sample of 1000 mutual ...
• 498
1 vote
2k views

### The R-squared of the four factor model.

Why does papers such as Fama and French (2010) and Barras et al. (2010) construct equal weighted portfolio of all funds when they analyse the aggregate performance of mutual funds? They both report ...
• 498
415 views

### Fama and French (market premium) factor

Currently I am using the Fama and French 3 factor model to explain the performance of mutual funds using monthly returns from 2000 to 2017. I use two market proxies: (1) RM-RF, obtained directly ...
• 498
57 views

### Multi-Variate linear modeling: how to calculate mathematically vs brute force genetic optimization

I have a hand full of daily economic data. I am currently using a brute force approach. Genetic optimization is only used when k is very large. This method is beautiful to me, but isn't valuable ...
• 500
625 views

I am evaluating the performance of a sample of 1000 mutual funds over the period 2000 to 2017 using Carhart (1997) four factor model. As a way to test for robustness, I use two benchmarks. The CRSP ...
• 498
155 views

### R-squared increase dramatically when including "time dummy" (STATA)

Currently running a fixed effect panel using STATA. First, I declare data set as panel: Code: xtset id obs Where id = 350 firms and obs = 125 Then I run a fixed effect regression: Code: xtreg y x, ...
• 498
133 views

I am currently researching if some fund characteristics such as (fund size, fund family size, capital flows, and fund age) explains fund performance measured (monthly alpha). Therefore, I am using a ...
• 498
1 vote
674 views

### Predict the behavior of a time series (P&L trading desk)

I work at the trading desk P&L department at a large bank. The trading desk has positions in almost all sorts of derivatives (options, futures) over a long list of stocks, currencies, commodities.....
• 863
1 vote
521 views

### Granger causality with stocks and CDS

I would like to take a closer look at stock prices and CDS spreads of different entities. Because both of them are nonstationary in levels, I use log stock returns and the first difference of the CDS. ...
• 183
1k views

### Panel data - Use fixed effect or random effect in predicting stock returns

I'm currently writing a master thesis where I look at the predictive power of Google search volume in predicting the movement of the Norwegian Stock Market (Oslo Børs). I'm using Google search volume ...
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