Questions tagged [equities]

Shares of stock traded in a stock market. Equities represent the residual claim or interest of the most junior class of investors in assets, after all liabilities are paid.

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2answers
308 views

Why does the Weak Form of Market Efficiency and Markov Property hold?

This question is to do with a paragraph in Hull (Options and other Derivatives) He explains that Stock Prices usually follow a Markov Property, where the current price of the stock contains all the ...
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3answers
1k views

Black Scholes and high dividend paying stocks

I understood there were 3 alternative methods of dealing with dividends in BS: 1) using a continuous dividend yield as an input; or 2) setting dividends to zero and subtracting the PV of divs from the ...
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1answer
298 views

Interpret predictions weekly and monthly stock price returns [closed]

I have built a model in R that predicts weekly and monthly returns of stock prices using regression trees, roughly based on https://www.r-bloggers.com/using-cart-for-stock-market-forecasting/. In my ...
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0answers
471 views

How does this return decomposition work?

http://image-src.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Value-Creators-2017-Appendix-July-2017_tcm9-166061.pdf The paper here decomposes total shareholder return into different components. Here is my derivation of the ...
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2answers
564 views

Clever ways of “summarising” the equity fund universe

I am trying to get some advice or direction (brainstorm) as to the best way to summarise/cluster/etc. the equity fund universe (which for my purposes consists of about 150 funds). Some of my ideas at ...
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1answer
125 views

Risk Management methods for Stock portfolio with ~30 stocks

What is ideal Risk Management method/methods s for stock portfolios with 25-30 stocks and around 50.000 USD invested in those stocks. Every stock bought will be kept in the portfolio for 1 to 12 ...
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1answer
114 views

Is it possible to generate time&sales(tape) off of the tick data for a stock?

I want to build my own stock trading simulator with the ability to play it faster. ThinkorSwim has onDemand. But it's not fast enough to accumulate more experience. To code up my own market replay ...
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1answer
108 views

Dividend Yield Goyal and Welch (2008)

Following the Goyal and Welch (2008) stock return predictability data, does anyone know how they calculate the dividend yield from the dataset that they provide on Amit Goyals website http://www.hec....
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2answers
182 views

SPX Trading Capital: What happened on December 5, 2016?

(I am not certain if this is the correct Stack to post this question.) What structural changes, legislative or otherwise, took place in 2016, such that on Dec 5, 2016, the Trading Capital (Price*...
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2answers
26k views

How to calculate equally weighted market portfolio

There's two studies that test the same thing in different markets (i.e. they apply the identical methodology). They state: 1) "$R_{mt}$ is the equally weighted average stock return in the dual-listed ...
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1answer
56 views

What are the reasons that make stock return - bond yield correlation a meaningful one?

I have come across interesting charts that show the changing correlation between stock returns and government bond yields. My gut instinct tells me that such relationship would be expected to be ...
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5answers
687 views

Modeling Long-Term Mean Reversion in Asset Returns

Fortunately, for obvious reasons, few applications require simulating asset returns over horizons in excess of 30 years. Nevertheless, simulations over long horizons are sometimes conducted as part ...
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7answers
2k views

Why do some anomalies persist while others fade away?

In their 1990 book, A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street, Andrew Lo and Craig MacKinlay document a number of persistent predictable patterns in stock prices. One of these "anomalies" is variously known ...
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0answers
242 views

Long term equity repo

Let's assume I have various European stocks and would like to somehow estimate their long-term (5y+) forward prices. As for repo rate for each individual stock, is it reasonable to assume that its ...
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3answers
125 views

Does longer time horizon necessarily imply reduced risk?

Is there a mathematical/statistical basis for the commonly-held belief that the longer certain assets (particularly equities) are held, the less risk the investor is exposed to? Alternatively, is ...
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2answers
96 views

Basic question re: Fed interest rate tightening and rising interest rates

February 2/8/2018 - context in case the question is still around beyond today: the stock market has been falling for almost a couple of weeks in the midst of fears of overheating of the economy (...
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2answers
379 views

Identify stock split from historical price data

I have price series data with open, high, low, close and adjusted close for different companies. I am not sure whether this data is adjusted for stock splits or not and would like to know how to check ...
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1answer
67 views

World Stock Markets that went up in 2008

We all know that the US stock market(s) collapsed in price in 2008, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_bear_market_of_2007%E2%80%9309. I was wondering what countries' stock markets went ...
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4answers
12k views

How to get list of all CUSIPS/ISIN?

I want a list of all CUSIPs/ISINs. It would be nice if they were also categorized (e.g. Bonds/Funds etc). Where can I get such a data?
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2answers
350 views

What is the intrinsic value of a stock that doesn't give dividends?

From a philosophical standpoint, I'm trying to figure out where the intrinsic value of stock derives from, in the case of a stock that doesn't pay out dividends. That is, what is the value just in ...
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2answers
369 views

What is meant by innovations in volatility?

I am currently reading about stocks with "high sensitivity to innovations in aggregate volatility". I am not a native speaker so this might be a trivial question, but I truly cannot find an answer ...
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5answers
514 views

How would you try to predict the future behaviour of a stock price?

How does one answer this potential interview question? It's not a very clear question since there are clearly many factors. My first guess would be to talk about looking at the expected (mean) return ...
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1answer
248 views

Dollar Index vs Hang Seng Index: Negative correlation, but what's driving it?

I recently read an article which highlighted that a weaker dollar tends to coincide with rallies in Hong Kong stocks. I did some quick analysis: I calculated monthly returns on the Dollar Index and ...
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2answers
105 views

EuroStoxx50: long index and short futures

If you look at a cumulative return of a very simple portfolio, consisting of long EuroStoxx50 total return index and short EuroStoxx50 futures, you can see that over the last 10 years this portfolio ...
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0answers
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Testing Valuation, Size and Momentum (proprietary factors) from 1988-2013: No evidence of driving cross-sectional returns

I am currently testing whether three proprietary factors - Valuation, Size and Momentum - explain cross-sectional returns. A sample of 3000 securities was tested using Fama-MacBeth two-pass ...
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1answer
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How to find best-performing portfolios from an universe of stocks

I am a newbie in R. From an investment universe of around 150 international stocks, I want to find the five best-performing portfolios (each containing 20 stocks) in terms of return for the period ...
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1answer
102 views

Is the Fama-French website data free of the serious selection bias pre-1962 where it's tilted toward big historically successful firms?

Fama and French use data starting in 1963 in both 1) "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds" (1993) and 2) "The cross-section of expected stock returns" (1992) and mention in (2) ...
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2answers
716 views

How to compare different volatility measures?

I read the Euan Sinclair's book (Volatility trading) in which he suggests different volatility estimators (Close-to-close, Parkinson, Garman-Klass, ...). I am inquiring about what is the best stock ...
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2answers
163 views

Price of a Stock: What is it?

My limited understanding of stock prices is that according to theoretical arguments, the price of an asset is generally given as:$$P_{A}=E_{0}\,\sum_{t=0}^{\infty}\frac{C_{t}}{(1+r)^{t}}$$ whereby $...
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1answer
2k views

How do I reproduce the cross-sectional regression in “Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns”?

Recently I was trying to reproduce the results of "Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns" (published in the Journal of Finance 2010). The authors used cross-sectional regression to ...
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0answers
156 views

Interpretation of drift parameter $\mu$ in GBM

Currently studying Ito's calculus. Looking on the GBM model: $ \frac{d S_t}{S_t} = μ dt + \sigma d B_t$ we end up on the expected stock price at time t: $E[S_t]=s_0 e^{\mu t}$.What does actually $\mu$ ...
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1answer
309 views

Understanding how market making helps investors

I'm reading about high frequency trading and market making. I'm trying to understand the following example from my book: Here is an example of how market making helps investors. Suppose that the best ...
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0answers
83 views

Valuation of a company

Alpha Corp purchases Beta Sub. Alpha Corp finances the purchase price of € 100 million by raising € 50 million in debt and € 50 million in equity issued by Alpha. The debt is risk free and the ...
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0answers
49 views

Force Index EMA calculation for stock indicator

I am trying to smooth a 13 period EMA Elder Force Index in c++, and nobody really describes this as anything more than : ...
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2answers
112 views

Price is Log-normal distributed, yet the return is non-normal

I have a price series. The natural logarithm of the price shows good normality. As shown in the standardized normal probability plot below: However, by viewing the standardized normal probability ...
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0answers
47 views

Calculating total market price of security

Typically securities trade on a primary exchange and as such the 'price' of that security is quoted from the primary exchange. For example Exxon (XOM) stock is listed on the NYSE, even though there ...
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1answer
73 views

Why do Fama French's “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds” use data starting in 1963? Availability or convenience for results?

What is the reason Fama French's "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds" use data starting in 1963? Was it availability or convenience for results?
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Is variation in price-dividend ratios that is attributable to excess returns due to variation in returns or variation in risk free rates?

Cochrane and Fama show that "all variation in price-dividend ratios corresponds to changes in expected excess returns -risk premiums- and none corresponds to news about future dividend growth". Is ...
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1answer
260 views

Correlation between equity returns and debt spread changes

I have got two rather short questions. Statement: Theoretically, a firm's equity prices and credit spreads should be negatively correlated. This correlation tends to be stronger for riskier companies....
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1answer
121 views

Correlation between bond yields and stock returns?

I intend to regress the correlation coefficient (rolling window and/or DCC) between NIKKEI 225 adjusted close and 10yr Japanese government bonds on inflation , inflation expectations and other factor ...
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5answers
6k views

How to cluster stocks and construct an affinity matrix?

My goal is to find clusters of stocks. The "affinity" matrix will define the "closeness" of points. This article gives a bit more background. The ultimate purpose is to investigate the "cohesion" ...
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0answers
90 views

FTSE 350 sector index historical data

Does anyone know where I can find (at least 10 years worth of) end of day historical (op, hi, lo, cl) data for the FTSE 350 Sector Indices?. I need the data for ...
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0answers
93 views

Volatility of stocks

I want to build a theoretical Portfolio with markowitz optimization for a course in University. The task is to build a Portfolio with low risk. So i want to do a CPPI strategy. Now the stock part of ...
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1answer
350 views

What are necessary adjustments to returns in CRSP?

I guess this is a pretty straight forward and basic question. I am using the entire CRSP universe from 1962-2016 and my goal is to replicate a research paper. However, I realized that the average (...
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0answers
175 views

List of US Industry sector ETFs that map to ICB classification

I am in the prcess of carrying out intra-and intra sector analysis of US stocks, and am proxing sectors with sector ETFs. I therefore, need to catalog the list of US sector ETFs - but have been unable ...
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1answer
478 views

How to adjust trading volume based on stock splits?

Does anyone know how to adjust trading volume based on stock splits? Here is an example of ANA (9202.T) on 2017-09-27. A stock split happened with factor 1:10. <...
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11answers
5k views

Lévy alpha-stable distribution and modelling of stock prices.

Since Mandelbrot, Fama and others have performed seminal work on the topic, it has been suspected that stock price fluctuations can be more appropriately modeled using Lévy alpha-stable distrbutions ...
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4answers
6k views

How google finance calculates beta of a stock

How google finance calculates beta of a stock - What is the proxy for the market? - What is the time period it uses for regression?
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1answer
91 views

The right choice when the price of a stock follows a random walk

I've got the following question: Suppose the price of a stock either rises or falls by the same percentage for each day. Suppose there is no dividend and the interest rate is 0. Should I buy ...
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1answer
79 views

Role of next month's dividends in forward pricing

I'm using the equations given on this page to price forwards on an equity. It's a basic equation that discounts dividends. But my question is: What do we do about dividends that occur after the ...