Questions tagged [equities]

Shares of stock traded in a stock market. Equities represent the residual claim or interest of the most junior class of investors in assets, after all liabilities are paid.

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1k views

Testing Valuation, Size and Momentum (proprietary factors) from 1988-2013: No evidence of driving cross-sectional returns

I am currently testing whether three proprietary factors - Valuation, Size and Momentum - explain cross-sectional returns. A sample of 3000 securities was tested using Fama-MacBeth two-pass ...
7
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0answers
354 views

Why are my GARCH forecasts biased?

I've run an ARMA(1, 1)-GARCH(1, 1) model with normal density on log returns for twelve stocks. I computed the one-step-ahead out of sample forecast for daily volatility on a rolling windows for 500 ...
6
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0answers
309 views

How are quants able to verify whether their calculated prices are any good

This question is related to the discussion on Model Validation Criteria However it appeard to be very high level to me and I would like to go more into detail. Not working at a pricing desk the ...
4
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0answers
488 views

Newey-West standard errors in Fama-MacBeth regressions

I noticed that during the recent decade most of papers, which use Fama-MacBeth regressions compute Newey-West standard errors. I tried to find detailed description of this procedure in the books on ...
4
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0answers
1k views

Meaning of cross sectional rank

This paper mentions the concept of rank which is defined as cross sectional rank. For e.g. one of the alphas (#3) is (-1 * correlation(rank(open), rank(volume), 10)) 10 is just the number of days ...
4
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0answers
68 views

Is there any index calculation methodology that is suitable when constituents change frequently?

Trying to create a custom stock sector index, however adding/dropping of the constituents will be frequent. Which kind of index calculation methodology (e.g. Price Weighted, Equal Weighted, Cap ...
4
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0answers
234 views

ERP and FF 3-factor model

In a more conservative estimate than a simple historical average, Fama & French estimate (US) equity risk premium at 3-4% (e.g., Equity Risk Premium, JF, 2002). This suggests that in an APT-like ...
4
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0answers
162 views

Risk factors for derivatives on dividends

I consider pricing and risk analysis of derivatives on dividends of the members of equity indices (such as Dow Jones EuroStoxx). There are options but I focus on futures. What are the main risk ...
3
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0answers
91 views

Detecting leading stocks using lag correlation

I am working on a project to find leading stocks in a stock market by using lag correlation. Say I want to compare 2 stocks, X and Y, and I have the time series of stock prices. Assume that the ...
3
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0answers
101 views

Regarding the post-facto predictability of stock market returns

Almost all of the research on equity factor investing deals with a priori predictability of the cross-section of stock market returns (i.e., models which use variables and data that would've have been ...
3
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0answers
71 views

American CRR implied vols

Given I have all other parameters lined up with the market (borrow rate, dividends...), if I imply volatility using CRR tree from american call and put with the same strike and expiry, will I always ...
3
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0answers
60 views

What study has shown that “about two thirds of acquisitions end up destroying shareholder value”?

The Best of Value Investing - Part 1 says: Study show [sic] that about two thirds of acquisitions end up destroying shareholder value. What study has shown that?
3
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0answers
99 views

Estimating factor returns with linearly dependent loadings

Given an $n\times 1$ vector of asset returns $r$, and a $n\times k$ matrix of factor loadings $X$, we can express the asset returns in terms of as-yet-unknown factors $f$ using $$ r = Xf + \epsilon $$...
3
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0answers
253 views

The Public Market Equivalent measure in private equity

What are the advantages and disadvantages of the Public Market Equivalent measure in private equity? Why is it that the volatility of the cash flows do not matter? This topic has been discussed in a ...
3
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0answers
233 views

How to properly take averages to reduce data in regression/panel data analysis

I'm trying to do a regression on my panel data. Say I have T=3500 days of data and N=125 firms. Since Matlab get's major memory issues (which I try to prevent by the usual solutions as seen on the ...
3
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0answers
231 views

Forecasting Equity returns using state-space models

I have data for 3 yrs of 5 min prices of various equities. I can construct a linear regression model and try to see the in-sample model performance. But I was wondering whether fitting a state-space ...
3
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0answers
106 views

Individual/casual investors and the bias towards blue-chip stocks?

There's quite a bit of research (example, [1]) teasing out the fact that home/casual/individual investors prefer stocks with large positive skewness. It surprised me, as I was reading a bunch of these ...
2
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0answers
86 views

Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability?

McLean/Pontiff (2016) give evidence that portfolio returns are 26% lower out-of-sample and 58% lower after publishing an academic paper on variables, which are likely to predict cross-sectional ...
2
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0answers
59 views

volatility for multiple time series

I have time series data for a total of 4 stocks and want to analyze the volatility of those. Moreover I want to demonstrate that they have the same volatility. As a response variable I would use log ...
2
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0answers
40 views

z-score of an active return with a no-volatility benchmark

I don't know how to approach the problem I am having. Basically, the statement I am trying to make is: the fund's return is X standard distribution away from the mean. Normally, for a single fund, ...
2
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0answers
61 views

Financing of an equity forward

How reasonable it is to assume that the forwards (implied through call-put parity from European options) on easy-to-borrow European stocks will "grow" at Euribor/Eonia rate? In other words, is it ...
2
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0answers
220 views

Long term equity repo

Let's assume I have various European stocks and would like to somehow estimate their long-term (5y+) forward prices. As for repo rate for each individual stock, is it reasonable to assume that its ...
2
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0answers
434 views

How does this return decomposition work?

http://image-src.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Value-Creators-2017-Appendix-July-2017_tcm9-166061.pdf The paper here decomposes total shareholder return into different components. Here is my derivation of the ...
2
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0answers
87 views

FTSE 350 sector index historical data

Does anyone know where I can find (at least 10 years worth of) end of day historical (op, hi, lo, cl) data for the FTSE 350 Sector Indices?. I need the data for ...
2
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0answers
113 views

Why is limit price order been executed with a worse price?

recently I was trying to analysis the message data from NASDAQ ITCH data, but I find a problem with a type of message called "Executed With Price Message". For example, first there is an Add Order ...
2
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0answers
704 views

Netfonds.no: Continuing to understand how to get high frequency data

I first found out about netfonds about a year ago but I hadn't ever really gotten around to actually pulling data from there. I spent a little time today figuring out a way to pull data and here is ...
2
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0answers
412 views

Backtesting Long/Short Market Neutral Z-Score Strategy with Custom Factors and Custom Stock Universe

So I've managed to backtest simple strategies, like MA, RSI and some fundamental ones (P/E ratios etc) but Im stuck at my last strategy. Here is some information: Tools: Excel and Python (also a ...
2
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0answers
78 views

Capital increase: which stock price to use as input to Black-Scholes formula?

For an exercise we have to calculate the theoretical value of a scrip / preferential right on its issue day (23 April) in the context of a capital increase. The scrips are issued on 23 April. The ...
2
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0answers
56 views

What is a standard model of convergence when looking at negative stub values?

I am trying to understand whether or not there is a standard model of convergence in the arbitrage scenario of negative stub models, i.e. when the market value of a company is valued less than its ...
2
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0answers
118 views

Equity Index Announcement Data

Does anyone know of a data source that provides announcements of future index events (adds/drops/re-balances), specifically for equity indexes? I know these are mostly available somewhere on each ...
2
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0answers
174 views

Liquidity Adjusted Asset Pricing Model

I have a data set with 4000 companies and I have calculated a liquidity measure of each of the company in the dataset as Where, Turnover is the monthly average ratio of daily volume to shares ...
2
votes
0answers
441 views

Daily Hurst Exponent

I am trying to estimate daily Hurst exponent values of a stock returns (e.g. for each day to have also Hurst exponent - something like that: https://www.quandl.com/data/PE/CKEC_HURST-Hurst-Exponent-of-...
2
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0answers
37 views

Helpful references for fully understanding the mechanics of NASDAQ's auction system?

I've read about this before on their website directly and via this ITG paper. nasdaq site itg paper But I was wondering if there are any other good references I can supplement my understanding ...
2
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0answers
184 views

How to Handle Error in SEC Filings

Sometimes I see obvious errors in the 10-K or 10-Q filings that appear to go uncorrected in subsequent filings for the same period. For example, on June 9, 2014 Apple, Inc. did a 7-to-1 stock split. ...
2
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0answers
169 views

Finding relative price strength as defined in CANSLIM stock picking methodology

I am wondering if there is any website that provides relative price strength as is defined in CAN SLIM stock picking methodology. For the CAN SLIM difinition I am looking at this article: http://www....
2
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0answers
128 views

Non-Negative Matrix Factorization - Estimating the Mean

How do you estimate the mean in a Non-Negative Matrix Factorization framework? It is obvious and well known how to estimate the covariance matrix, how ever I also need the estimated mean. I'm ...
2
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0answers
34 views

Non-overlapping ranges of HCNN' observables and of state transition function

In the artcicle Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks HCNN is used for forecasting of nine time-series, namely: returns of the lows returns of the highs ...
2
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0answers
134 views

seasonality and generalized additive model

I am reading a report which talks about seasonality. There is a chart showing the average returns for each month of the year. In the chart it appears the last 3 months of the year tend to be negative. ...
2
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0answers
371 views

Fluid dynamics for order book depth modelling

Would someone be able to give me an idea what type of fluid dynamics I could look at for modelling the order book? My background is more signals-related maths (correlation, covariance, fourier etc). ...
2
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0answers
118 views

Insignificant or significant explanatory power over risk adjusted returns?

Currently iam working on my master thesis which is about risk adjusted returns in the Asia Pacific REIT market. The goal of the paper is to determine/find variables that conceive explanatory power ...
2
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0answers
309 views

Modelling long run relationship between dividend and earnings

I am working on a paper where I have to model the long run relationship between earnings and dividends. I have downloaded the raw data from shillers website. I have converted the series to log(...
1
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0answers
42 views

Hedge ratio: hedging a portfolio of global equities with futures

A bank decides to use $100 million of its capital to launch an investment strategy (seed money). The portfolio which is launched is made of global equities (say ~ 500 equities of different markets). ...
1
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0answers
44 views

Analyse correlation between LIBOR (quote in yield) and MSCI AC World (in dollars)

How would you analyse the correlation between LIBOR and MXWD? My initial intention was to get the log return of MXWD and take the opposite of the log return of the LIBOR yield (because when yield ...
1
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0answers
36 views

Theoretical justification for why estimating intrinsic value of a stock price can be different under FCFF and FCFE approaches?

what is the theoretical justification for why estimating intrinsic value of a stock price can be different under FCFF (Free Cash Flow to the Firm) and FCFE (Free Cash Flow to the equity) approaches? ...
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0answers
25 views

CRSP VW index price data (not return data) - where?

I am trying to find index price levels for the CRSP value weighted index (excl. distributions), not pre-calculated returns. I have access to WRDS, where I can download the returns on the index and ...
1
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0answers
68 views

Replicating the EIOPA equity index for the symmetric adjustment of the equity capital charge in Solvency 2

My question is rather specific but I'm wondering if someone might be able to help. In the Solvency 2 framework, the equity capital charge requires to compute a symmetric adjustment which is itself ...
1
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0answers
48 views

Preferred Stock pricing model

I am trying to build a model to price a preferred stock. I want to model the dividends as random payments. I can't find any papers online on the subject. Does anyone have a reference for me?
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0answers
31 views

General to specific approach to modelling

I am trying to find the relationship of stock indices across the world. This has been done by the literature, however, I am wondering about the methods chosen. I have decided to go with what I think ...
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0answers
27 views

Stocks listing inside a Google SpreadSheet

I would be interested to have all the stocks inside a Google Spreadsheet. The features would be the Symbol, Name, Country, Sector, Industry. An example would be ABC, AmerisourceBergen Corporation (...
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0answers
73 views

Derivative of the stock price and volume at time t

According to Forecasting of Jump Arrivals in Stock Prices: New Attention-based Network Architecture using Limit Order Book Data at page 9, I would be interested in deriving the the price (ask and bid ...