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Questions tagged [expected-return]

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Is it possible to calculate the equity required (or expected) return using Black-Scholes option pricing model?

I know the method of calculating the equity value as a European call option (using Black-scholes formula). My question is: Is it possible to calculate the expected (or required) return of equity when ...
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38 views

Polynomial interpolation of corrected lognormal distribution

Can anyone provide a formula for a polynomial interpolation of the corrected lognormal distribution used to model returns traditionally resulting from the wrong Brownian motion generated model? ...
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45 views

Characterizing relation “ has no less information than” between information systems represented by Markovian matrices

I crossposted this question on math.stackexchange. Background: Suppose that an investor's utility is both determined by the state and her action taken. A fact of life is that she can't observe the ...
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0answers
321 views

Correlation between idiosyncratic residuals and forward returns

The classic mean-reversion strategy is to calculate an "expected return" (alpha) by computing the raw return for each security and then remove the part which you think is market driven. Statistically ...
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0answers
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Black Litterman - numerical instability

I am trying to work out the formula for the posterior mean in Black Litterman's model assuming 100% confidence : Ref: https://corporate.morningstar.com/ib/documents/MethodologyDocuments/IBBAssociates/...
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Cross-sectional Regression: Using calculated coefficient of first regression for a second regression as dependent variable

Hello stackexchange community! I am new to R and econometrics and and stuck in a step of the fama-macbeth (1973) regression, in which risk premia of stocks are estimated with a two-step regression ...
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30 views

Investment evaluation benchmarks

I am writing software to aid in the evaluation of investment projects. Specifically, property based as a first step. I know about NPV and IRR and IRR feels like the best measure. So it gives me a ...
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Are the explanatory factors for a firm's expected returns and its expected earnings/valuation multiples the same?

For example, the 3 factor Fama French model explains much of the cross-sectional variation in equity returns. Would these same 3 factors also explain the cross sectional variation in earnings/EV to ...
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Variance Equations is missing definition

here: https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML1208/ML12088A329.pdf Campbell, Lo, Mackinlay: The Econometrics of Financial Markets on page 159 i am looking at equation 4.4.9 in the last line, = $I\sigma_{\...
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626 views

what is a reasonable beta in CAPM?

I want to predict expected returns for assets using a CAPM, to calculate unexpected (unpredictable, idiosyncratic, non-systemic) returns in portfolios. My CAPM estimated on monthly total gross ...