# Questions tagged [expected-return]

The tag has no usage guidance.

63 questions
Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
63 views

### What should happen to the equity risk premium as rates change?

Suppose I set forward-looking expected returns for capital markets using a dividend discount model framework, under which expected return for equities is the sum of dividend yield, expected trend ...
38 views

### Should the targeted rate of return stay the same regardless of the currency?

I work for a european company which invests mostly in the euro zone but also in the UK. I'm in charge with calculating the hurdle rate targeted for these investments. The internal guidelines are for ...
46 views

### Options trade - statistically expected return calculation?

I am calculating expected return for composite option strategies based on event probabilities provided by the broker. For example, consider the following spread On the left hand side we see: maximal ...
108 views

### How to calculate the expected stock returns for an individual stock?

I know about CAPM. My question is if this method is also viable: Calculate monthly logReturns ...
248 views

123 views

### How can risk-neutral pricing find the right price for securities if it doesn't account for risk premia?

I'm confused as to how a method that values securities purely on their expected return works in the real world if it doesn't take into account the fact that investors demand a higher return for ...
103 views

661 views

### Is it OK to consider the expected return is zero for stocks when calculating VaR over a short horizon?

I want to implement the approach described in the following recipe for calculating VaR: Is there a step-by-step guide for calculating portfolio VaR using monte carlo simulations I was told that I can ...
31 views

### Distress firms and cross section returns

In George and Hwang's 2010 JFE paper, they are trying to resolve the so called distress risk and leverage puzzles. This is their explanation: This is a puzzle because high distress intensity or ...
2k views

### How to model the daily return using intraday data?

Say, I have hourly returns $r_1,r_2,...,r_T$, where $r_t$ = $ln(p_t)$ - $ln(p_0)$ for $t = 1...T$. So what is the value of $E[r_t]$? Would $r_T$ be the $\prod{(r_t)}$? Basically $r_t$s are the ...
374 views

### Delta derivation from the expectation

I'm trying to understand the following transformation leading to Delta \$\frac{dC}{dx} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[ \frac{\partial}{\partial x}\text{max}(xY-K,0)] = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[Y \textbf{1}(xY&...
2k views

### How to estimate market integration parameter in Singer-Terhaar model for E(r)?

Singer-Terhaar is part of CFA II and III curriculum. It estimates risk premium for some asset, traded at some local market, as weighted average of expected premiums for the case of (1) local market, ...
241 views

### Has automated trading produced profits at IEX?

Is there evidence that automated trading is profitable on the latency-enforced portion of the exchange? On the one hand, if automated trading was profitable when these limits existed naturally, it ...