# Questions tagged [expected-value]

The tag has no usage guidance.

40 questions
Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
0answers
29 views

### Calculating E^2[σ^2] where σ is a GARCH(1,1) Proces

Given that α =0,113079 β = 0,873884 ω = 0,0000081 Need the calculate a call price using garch volatility I alsa calculated the kurtosis = 235 enter image description here: https://www.researchgate.net/...
2answers
143 views

1answer
105 views

### Proof that we can price any derivative as the discounted value of its expected return under the risk neutral measure

I am reading a paper which tries to convey the intuition behind the Black-Scholes pricing formula. In that paper, the author states the following two things without proof, and I would like to know why ...
1answer
124 views

### How to calculate the expected stock returns for an individual stock?

I know about CAPM. My question is if this method is also viable: Calculate monthly logReturns ...
1answer
59 views

### Condition expectation calculation examples and theory [closed]

I want to ask you an advice about reading theory and examples of conditional expectation and conditional variance. I want to have my understanding deeper, because sometimes I can't understand ...
1answer
105 views

### Expected value of stochastic optimization

I have a optimization problem where the SDE is: $$dX(t) = [X(t)(u(t)-\beta(t))+\theta(t)]dt+X(t)u(t)\sigma dW(t), t \in [0,T], X(0) = X_0$$ where $\beta(t)$ and $\theta(t)$ are deterministic ...
1answer
137 views

### change of measure expectation

How to find expectation of this stochastic process? Also, to show that the expectation of a stochastic process expression [Xt - St] in one measure is equal to expectation of another expression (of the ...
1answer
345 views

### Reference material (EV/ betting game questions) for Quant Hedge Funds Interviews [closed]

I need material to practice EV games questions.But I lack practice in betting questions where a set-up of a game is given and one has to respond to the best strategy or best bet to take. A good book ...
1answer
107 views

### Expectation and variance of standard brownian motion

Assuming that the price of the stock follows the model $S(t) = S(0) exp ( mt − (σ^2/ 2) t + σW(t) ) ,$ where W(t) is a standard Brownian motion; σ > 0, S(0) > 0, m are some ...
1answer
410 views

### Can the value of a swaption at any time become more negative than the swaption premium?

I am interpolating swaption values as a function of parallel shifts in interest rate and have come across some peculiar shaped options among the data I have at hand. Here is an example of a simple ...
1answer
90 views

2answers
519 views

### Why is logarithmic mean equal to the arithmetic expectation less one-half its variance?

I've taken it as gospel that the following equality is true: $$\mathbb{E}[\mu_x] = m_x - \frac{1}{2}\sigma_x^2$$ where: $\mathbb{E}[\mu_x]$ is the expected value of the logarithmic mean of some ...