Questions tagged [fixed-income]

Securities which obligate the borrower/issuer to make payments on a fixed schedule. Fixed income securities include sovereign, corporate and municipal bonds, corporate loans, and securitized lending (e.g., ABS). "Fixed" refers only to the schedule of obligatory payments, not the amount, and may include inflation linked bonds, variable-interest rate notes, and the like.

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1answer
710 views

Issue with OLS Regression for Nelson Siegel Svensson parameters

I have been working on getting input parameters to the Non-Linear Optimization which gives the Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters and am carrying out the OLS regression as described in this ...
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83 views

Predicting bond auction result. Should I train separate models for different maturity in face of Data deficiency?

Problem Statement Trying to predict how bond auction result ( in terms of yield ) is different from its forecast (the when-issued yield ). More info:http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/...
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490 views

Callable bond price sensitivity to Hull-White volatility changes

I'm using classic Hull-White model for short term interest rate dynamic: $$dr(t)=[\theta(t)-\alpha(t)r(t)]dt+\sigma(t)dW(t)$$ (Notation is quite intuitive, anyway I am using the same as Wikipedia ...
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314 views

How are quants able to verify whether their calculated prices are any good

This question is related to the discussion on Model Validation Criteria However it appeard to be very high level to me and I would like to go more into detail. Not working at a pricing desk the ...
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0answers
430 views

is there a mapping from Altman Z-score for private companies to bond ratings or probability of default?

On wikipedia, there is a formula to calculate the Altman Z-score for private companies: Z-score estimated for private firms: T1 = (Current Assets − Current Liabilities) / Total Assets T2 = Retained ...
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2answers
533 views

Question about using binomial interest rate tree to value callable bonds

When we use a binomial interest rate tree to value callable bond, we work backward, right? If any computed bond value is larger than the call price, the bond will be called. The call price will ...
5
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1answer
110 views

What type of interpolation should be used in key rate perturbation models?

When perturbing a key rate in order to assess sensitivity of portfolio value, what sort of interpolation is standard? A book I am looking at says linear, but this seems pretty unrealistic to me--and ...
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53 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
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261 views

RQuantLib: any difference between FixedRateBond() and FixedRateBondPriceByYield() with flat term structure?

Please, consider the following functions from RQuantLib package: FixedRateBond() ...
3
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96 views

Bond spreads - SQASW

I posted this question in the finance/economics arm but someone suggested this would be a more relevant place. I have attached a photo of a list of bond issuance's in Australia. Could someone please ...
3
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62 views

Fixed Income portfolio type

Could someone kindly point me toward a primer that would cover the various type of fixed income portfolio strategies under modern portfolio theory ? In a nutshell, I would like to know what kind of ...
3
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1answer
113 views

Creating yield curve from exchange-listed products only?

For use in subset of my thesis, I’ve been given some exchange market data for several exchange-listed products, including Eurodollar rate futures as well US treasury futures and Fed Funds futures. I ...
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78 views

How is the integral relationship between current yield curve and forward yield curve derived?

$$y(\tau) = \frac{1}{\tau} \int_{0}^{\tau} du \Big(f(u)\Big)$$ As far as I understand the forward rate is the future rate based on the expectation hypothesis. But it is unclear how many years into the ...
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109 views

Pricing Options on Fixed Income ETFs

The market for trading options on fixed income ETFs like HYG has become increasingly prominent in the past couple years, but I've been unable to find any discussion related to the pricing methodology ...
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1k views

Jamshidian's trick for Swaptions

Following Brigo$^1$ p.77, we can decompose the price of a swaption as a sum of Zero-Coupon bond options (Jamshidian's Trick). To do so, the authors suggest to find $r^*$ the value of the spot rate at ...
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478 views

How to price Swaptions with short rate models?

I have specified a (Lognormal) short-rate model (non-affine) under the Risk-Neutral measure $Q$ as a shifted exponential vasicek: $ r(t) = e^{y(t)} + \phi(t)\\ \text{with} \quad dy(t) = \kappa(\...
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131 views

Correct form for State Space Equation for Kalman Filter for DNS

In this paper: http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper55/DRAfinal.pdf in eqns 3,5 the state eqn has the mean removed. $(z_t-\mu)=A(z_{t-1}-\mu) + \epsilon_t$ $y_t=C z_t + \delta_t$ ...
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126 views

Fed Funds Rate: longer maturities

FFR published by Fed Bank of NY is the average rate US banks charge each other for the overnight loans of their reserves required by the Fed regulations. Since Fed acts similar to a clearing house ...
3
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0answers
472 views

Calculating Net Annualized Return on LendingClub historical data

I am interested in the formula LendingClub provides as their measure of "Net Annualized Return": $\big(1 + \frac{\sum_{i=1}^N{((I_i + L_i - S_i - C_i + R_i) / P_i) P_i}}{\sum_{i=1}^N{P_i}}\big)^{12}-...
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0answers
141 views

Pre- Versus post-2008 Crisis Rates Modeling

Modeling for interest rate derivatives (such as bermudan swaptions) is said to have undergone significant changes since the crisis. Prior to the crisis, counterparty default risk was often ignored, ...
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965 views

Yield Curve Volatility

Let you have several issuers, and let each issuer have its yield curve built up with liquid plain vanilla fixed rate bonds. Each yield curve has its slope and its curvature, and they obviously change ...
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186 views

Opimization on a Bond Portfolio

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42 views

Pricing bond backed by collateral

I'm new to quantitative finance, and trying to derive an interest rate for a collateralized bond. Imagine there are two parties, Alice and Bob. Alice wants to lend $X$ units of an asset to Bob. The ...
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0answers
37 views

bond yield forecasting

About the problem of interest rate forecasting I find various paper that address the problem from the perspective of risk premia and affine term structure model. For example Cochrane and Piazzesi (...
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85 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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73 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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23 views

Importing a zero coupon curve to RQuantLib

I am trying to use a zero coupon curve constructed elsewhere to price treasury bonds in RQuantLib. The issue is that DiscountCurve does not take zero coupon yields as inputs, but rather swap rates. I ...
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0answers
98 views

How should I interpret a forward rate?

Let $L(t, S, T)$ denote the forward rate from time S to T observed at time t, assuming t < S < T. A lot of modelling work is centered around this rate, but how is this rate useful? How are we ...
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0answers
304 views

Modified duration and convexity of a bond in R

A soft question: Are there any existing packages in R that allows one to compute the modified duration and convexity of bonds in R? If there isn't, how can one go about doing so (with formulas) with ...
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76 views

How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
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0answers
371 views

Stochastic Leibniz rule

We have the following single-factor HJM model $$d_tf(t,T)=\sigma(t,T)dW_t+\alpha(t,T)dt$$ $$f(t,T)=f(0,T)+\int_0^t\sigma(s,T)dW_s+\int_0^t\alpha(s,T)ds$$ The discounted T bond is then \begin{align} Z(...
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0answers
74 views

Using Market Prices of Bonds to Model the Discount Curve with a Polynomial (Math + R)

I have a small program I'm building to interpolate the discount curve from a portfolio of benchmark bonds. If anyone has any guesses as to whether it's my process, or my code that's messed up I would ...
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44 views

Expectation of expression with two currencies under forward measure

I'm trying to calculate the expected value, at time $0$, of a cashflow paid at time $T$, resetting at time $t$. The coupon is of the form: $V_0=\mathbb{E}^{T_2}\left[\frac{A_t^y(T_1,T_2)}{B_t^x(T_1,...
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53 views

Equity protection and butterfly certificates pricing

Certificates issued by famous industry names are usually made up by a combination of a fixed income instrument and some vanilla and exotic options. I am looking for something which explains: how to ...
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0answers
118 views

Problem with Naive Bootstrapping (US Government Bonds)

I am using the formula here to determine the discount factor function and eventually the zero-coupon yields. I get the data for Coupons, Face Values and Closing Prices from Thomson Reuters, which I ...
2
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0answers
588 views

Modified duration in multi-currency portfolio

I was thinking about how to figure aut duration for portfolio of bonds denominated in different currencies… I would like to compare sensitivity of portfolio to shift of yield with competitive ...
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0answers
139 views

Is there such a thing as “sell-off risk” in bond funds?

Popular yet generally academically-grounded commentators such as Annette Thau and Larry Swedroe have claimed that there is the possibility for "sell-off risk" in bond funds. By this they apparently ...
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0answers
48 views

How does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?

I need help with understanding how does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?
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217 views

Looking for FpML best practices

We want start using FpML within our organisation; where message will be sent using FpML. What are best practices to do this ? If anyone who have used Tools as well as; i want to use FpML for ...
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1answer
23 views

impact of bond futures conversion factor on calendar spread trading

i have a quick question about conversion factor and his implication in calendar bonds roll trading. I go short on a calendar roll (short front+long back) which has the same cheapest to deliver. The ...
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32 views

Collecting historical coupon data on sovereign generic bonds in Bloomberg

In the Bloomberg terminal, a generic bond (e.g. GGR >> Australia >> 5Y bond) has a coupon rate stated in the Security Description (DES). I have daily historical yield data for the generic bonds, and ...
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0answers
67 views

Valuation of Callable Bonds

Is there any way to price American Callable Bonds (those which can be called on any date before expiration) other than basic CRR interest rate trees, since they won't be accurate enough to give ...
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0answers
26 views

Retrieve SYC from Par yields

Currently studying about fixed income and the construction of the Spot yield curve, but I do not know whether my intuition is right. Suppose we have a firm that has traded Bond for different ...
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43 views

Extracting Risk Neutral Default Probabilities using Option Adjusted Bond Prices

I am currently in a project trying to quantify default risk premia for US Corporate Bonds. The data I have consists of bond prices, and other information (i.e. YTM, OAS, Effective Duration, Maturity ...
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0answers
43 views

How to apply multiplicative price seasonality to bond prices in quantlib?

Can someone please give a brief or any link which explains how to apply multiplicative price seasonality to inflation linked bonds in Quantlib using python modules. Have gone through most of the ...
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0answers
68 views

Credit default swap replication by corporative bonds

I want to get literature or information related with the topic of CDS replication for those counterparties that do not hold. But that have traded bonds (with different degree of liquidity). What could ...
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92 views

Spread Duration weighted OAS vs. Mkt Cap Weighted?

I am curious what the differences might be in rolling up OAS spreads across a portfolio by duration weighting vs. mkt cap weighting. @Alex yes I meant S.D. weighted not Duration weighted
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67 views

How to calculate the fair value of a futures roll and what are the practical uses?

Last month, I spent some time calculating the fair value of a futures contract in preparation for the current futures roll period. I've backtested it and noticed that fair roll generally gives me an ...
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0answers
272 views

Interview question on interest rate spread trade

Consider this interview question: Tell me how you'd construct a risk neutral cross country trade on the 2 year – 10 year interest rate spread in Germany and the U.S. What does "risk neutral" mean ...
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132 views

Duration of a FRN in continuous time interest rate model

This question was inspired by my attempt to understand the duration of a floating rate note, or FRN for short. Several answers, like this, say the duration of a FRN is just time to next coupon payment....