Questions tagged [fixed-income]

Securities which obligate the borrower/issuer to make payments on a fixed schedule. Fixed income securities include sovereign, corporate and municipal bonds, corporate loans, and securitized lending (e.g., ABS). "Fixed" refers only to the schedule of obligatory payments, not the amount, and may include inflation linked bonds, variable-interest rate notes, and the like.

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99 views

Predicting bond auction result. Should I train separate models for different maturity in face of Data deficiency?

Problem Statement Trying to predict how bond auction result ( in terms of yield ) is different from its forecast (the when-issued yield ). More info:http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/...
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654 views

Callable bond price sensitivity to Hull-White volatility changes

I'm using classic Hull-White model for short term interest rate dynamic: $$dr(t)=[\theta(t)-\alpha(t)r(t)]dt+\sigma(t)dW(t)$$ (Notation is quite intuitive, anyway I am using the same as Wikipedia ...
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351 views

How are quants able to verify whether their calculated prices are any good

This question is related to the discussion on Model Validation Criteria However it appeard to be very high level to me and I would like to go more into detail. Not working at a pricing desk the ...
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1answer
121 views

What type of interpolation should be used in key rate perturbation models?

When perturbing a key rate in order to assess sensitivity of portfolio value, what sort of interpolation is standard? A book I am looking at says linear, but this seems pretty unrealistic to me--and ...
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65 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
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278 views

RQuantLib: any difference between FixedRateBond() and FixedRateBondPriceByYield() with flat term structure?

Please, consider the following functions from RQuantLib package: FixedRateBond() ...
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119 views

Libor transition to SOFR - swaps after 2021

Assuming that Libor will fully transition to SOFR by the end of 2021. How are swap rates after 2021 currently priced to reflect this? For example, if I am looking at 5 year US swap rate, doesn't this ...
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264 views

Estimating Market Price of Risk

I need help with estimating market price of risk. Assume money market account and two risky assets which exposed to same two sources of risks follow process: $dM(t)=rM(t)dt$ $dS_1(t)=S_1(t)(\mu_1dt+\...
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718 views

Bond spreads - SQASW

I posted this question in the finance/economics arm but someone suggested this would be a more relevant place. I have attached a photo of a list of bond issuance's in Australia. Could someone please ...
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71 views

Fixed Income portfolio type

Could someone kindly point me toward a primer that would cover the various type of fixed income portfolio strategies under modern portfolio theory ? In a nutshell, I would like to know what kind of ...
3
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126 views

How is the integral relationship between current yield curve and forward yield curve derived?

$$y(\tau) = \frac{1}{\tau} \int_{0}^{\tau} du \Big(f(u)\Big)$$ As far as I understand the forward rate is the future rate based on the expectation hypothesis. But it is unclear how many years into the ...
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290 views

Relative order of curve for coupons for Upward Sloping Yield

Why would the forward curve be above zero and coupon bond yield be at the bottom for a sloping up yield curve.
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535 views

Modified duration and convexity of a bond in R

A soft question: Are there any existing packages in R that allows one to compute the modified duration and convexity of bonds in R? If there isn't, how can one go about doing so (with formulas) with ...
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112 views

Pricing Options on Fixed Income ETFs

The market for trading options on fixed income ETFs like HYG has become increasingly prominent in the past couple years, but I've been unable to find any discussion related to the pricing methodology ...
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2k views

Jamshidian's trick for Swaptions

Following Brigo$^1$ p.77, we can decompose the price of a swaption as a sum of Zero-Coupon bond options (Jamshidian's Trick). To do so, the authors suggest to find $r^*$ the value of the spot rate at ...
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143 views

Correct form for State Space Equation for Kalman Filter for DNS

In this paper: http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper55/DRAfinal.pdf in eqns 3,5 the state eqn has the mean removed. $(z_t-\mu)=A(z_{t-1}-\mu) + \epsilon_t$ $y_t=C z_t + \delta_t$ ...
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128 views

Fed Funds Rate: longer maturities

FFR published by Fed Bank of NY is the average rate US banks charge each other for the overnight loans of their reserves required by the Fed regulations. Since Fed acts similar to a clearing house ...
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505 views

Calculating Net Annualized Return on LendingClub historical data

I am interested in the formula LendingClub provides as their measure of "Net Annualized Return": $\big(1 + \frac{\sum_{i=1}^N{((I_i + L_i - S_i - C_i + R_i) / P_i) P_i}}{\sum_{i=1}^N{P_i}}\big)^{12}-...
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734 views

Modified duration in multi-currency portfolio

I was thinking about how to figure aut duration for portfolio of bonds denominated in different currencies… I would like to compare sensitivity of portfolio to shift of yield with competitive ...
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157 views

Pre- Versus post-2008 Crisis Rates Modeling

Modeling for interest rate derivatives (such as bermudan swaptions) is said to have undergone significant changes since the crisis. Prior to the crisis, counterparty default risk was often ignored, ...
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1k views

Yield Curve Volatility

Let you have several issuers, and let each issuer have its yield curve built up with liquid plain vanilla fixed rate bonds. Each yield curve has its slope and its curvature, and they obviously change ...
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190 views

Opimization on a Bond Portfolio

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69 views

What are some advanced methods for bond risk transformations?

Consider a portfolio of bonds within a given yield curve (e.g. Gilt curve), consisting of positions in every bond in the curve. I'm looking for ways to transform the risk of the portfolio into ...
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34 views

Simulating a square root process with jumps for mortgage defaults

I am trying to simulate the paydown of a large pool of mortgage loans. For each monthly period, I am reducing principal by the scheduled principal payment (approximated by the WAC of the underlying ...
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78 views

How to optimise Fixed Income portfolio (Yieldbook) based on YTM, duration, rating and exchange rate

I have a fixed income portfolio built up in the Yieldbook and BBG Port. However due to some bad performance of my portfolio compared to the benchmark I would like to build up an optimisation which ...
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155 views

Bond Hedging: PCA and regression based hedge ratios

This is my first question and I would very much appreciate any help. For a project I am trying to compare different hedging techniques for hedging a long portfolio of bonds. I have a history of ...
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0answers
64 views

Fed repo operations - Balance sheet constraints

There's been a lot of discussions regarding end-of-year balance sheet constraints as dealers wind down their repo activity. However, the Fed is engaged in open market repo operations in overnight and ...
2
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353 views

Using Python Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve as Evaluator of Parametric Curve - Errors

I am using Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve in Python 3.7 and setting MaxIterations to 0, and giving a guess_solution, which then turns the routine into an evaluator for the parametric form I choose,...
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39 views

To price Municipal Bonds and risks I want to know the percent of unfunded pension liabilities ($3.8T) to total state and local gov liabilities

Unfunded pension liabilities keep growing and this seems alarming to both pension holders but also Municipal Bond holders. I would like to know how large this problem is to better price Munis and ...
2
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1answer
118 views

impact of bond futures conversion factor on calendar spread trading

i have a quick question about conversion factor and his implication in calendar bonds roll trading. I go short on a calendar roll (short front+long back) which has the same cheapest to deliver. The ...
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53 views

Pricing bond backed by collateral

I'm new to quantitative finance, and trying to derive an interest rate for a collateralized bond. Imagine there are two parties, Alice and Bob. Alice wants to lend $X$ units of an asset to Bob. The ...
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45 views

bond yield forecasting

About the problem of interest rate forecasting I find various paper that address the problem from the perspective of risk premia and affine term structure model. For example Cochrane and Piazzesi (...
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127 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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85 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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44 views

Importing a zero coupon curve to RQuantLib

I am trying to use a zero coupon curve constructed elsewhere to price treasury bonds in RQuantLib. The issue is that DiscountCurve does not take zero coupon yields as inputs, but rather swap rates. I ...
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131 views

How should I interpret a forward rate?

Let $L(t, S, T)$ denote the forward rate from time S to T observed at time t, assuming t < S < T. A lot of modelling work is centered around this rate, but how is this rate useful? How are we ...
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78 views

How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
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652 views

Stochastic Leibniz rule

We have the following single-factor HJM model $$d_tf(t,T)=\sigma(t,T)dW_t+\alpha(t,T)dt$$ $$f(t,T)=f(0,T)+\int_0^t\sigma(s,T)dW_s+\int_0^t\alpha(s,T)ds$$ The discounted T bond is then \begin{align} Z(...
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123 views

Using Market Prices of Bonds to Model the Discount Curve with a Polynomial (Math + R)

I have a small program I'm building to interpolate the discount curve from a portfolio of benchmark bonds. If anyone has any guesses as to whether it's my process, or my code that's messed up I would ...
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45 views

Expectation of expression with two currencies under forward measure

I'm trying to calculate the expected value, at time $0$, of a cashflow paid at time $T$, resetting at time $t$. The coupon is of the form: $V_0=\mathbb{E}^{T_2}\left[\frac{A_t^y(T_1,T_2)}{B_t^x(T_1,...
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247 views

State of Art - Nelson Siegel Modeling

My idea is to work with dynamic Nelson Siegel models(DNS) on my master's thesis. As I am finishing undergraduation this year I started researching on the subject. I wonder what is being discussed in ...
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55 views

Equity protection and butterfly certificates pricing

Certificates issued by famous industry names are usually made up by a combination of a fixed income instrument and some vanilla and exotic options. I am looking for something which explains: how to ...
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121 views

Problem with Naive Bootstrapping (US Government Bonds)

I am using the formula here to determine the discount factor function and eventually the zero-coupon yields. I get the data for Coupons, Face Values and Closing Prices from Thomson Reuters, which I ...
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144 views

Is there such a thing as “sell-off risk” in bond funds?

Popular yet generally academically-grounded commentators such as Annette Thau and Larry Swedroe have claimed that there is the possibility for "sell-off risk" in bond funds. By this they apparently ...
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50 views

How does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?

I need help with understanding how does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?
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221 views

Looking for FpML best practices

We want start using FpML within our organisation; where message will be sent using FpML. What are best practices to do this ? If anyone who have used Tools as well as; i want to use FpML for ...
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50 views

What is “risk-hit ratio”?

In this article https://www.risk.net/awards/7741391/flow-market-maker-of-the-year-citadel-securities describing Citadel Securities the market maker, it says The firm’s electronically executed US ...
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38 views

What does a electronic dealer track in a RFQ market?

If you have mid price for rfq market in fixed income. What is the internal order book tracking at a bank? Customers dont place limit orders or do they? There arent any other market makers on your ...
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83 views

How accurate is YTM as a reference measure of non-holding-to-maturity return?

We need to offer an estimated return of a non-hold-to-maturity strategy. Essentially, we borrow money from the market and buy a bond. Instead of holding the bond to mauturity and locking in a return ...
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Cross-checking Treasury's Major Foreign Holders Report

I was looking for bad things waiting to happen on the Ides of March, and the next Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities report came up as a candidate. It is due on March 15th, 2021. The report ...