Questions tagged [forward-rate]

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980 views

FX hedging: forward rate and implied forward rate

In this paper (box 1 page 24): https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/ReserveBank/Files/Publications/Bulletins/2000/2000mar63-1brookeshargreaveslucaswhite.pdf It is argued that the forward rate that a ...
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1answer
2k views

Pricing Uneven FX Swaps

I'm trying to figure out how to price uneven FX swaps. I just started on a FX trading desk and have been told that the all-in rate for a 2-legged FX swap is equal to: 1) Quote for market side of net ...
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0answers
39 views

Deriving instantaneous forward rate from spot rates/ zero rates

i have the following problem. I have a set of spot rates /zero rates $\{(t,r_t)\}_{t=1}^n$ where $t$ is the time and $r_t$ is the zero rate. How can i calculate with this data the instantaneous ...
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2answers
127 views

Can you perform covered interest arbitrage when the forward rate is too low?

In covered interest arbitrage, if the forward rate is too high, you can (i) exchange domestic for foreign currency today (ii) invest at the foreign deposit rate (iii) exchange back to the domestic ...
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What does instantaneous forward mean?

Could you please help me to understand meaning of instantaneous forward rate? I mean economic interpretation at basic level. What is it used for? How can i derive it from zero rate/price? Thanks
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1answer
97 views

Interpolation of Zero rate curve

I have the zero rates at certain time nodes, say 3-month, 5-month, 8-month,...,2-yr,... Now I want to interpolate the curve so that the implied one-month forward rates are piecewise linear. That is, ...
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1answer
68 views

India's FX foward market

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-04/india-asks-state-banks-to-protect-dollar-assets-on-cairn-concern Based on this article USDINR forward premium has spiked as there is abundant USD ...
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2answers
2k views

STIR topics: Implied FX-OIS Basis and FX Forward/Swap Pricing

if someone could provide some clarity on the below: What is meant by 'Implied FX-OIS Basis'? For example: "ON JPY trading at parity, 1W implied OIS basis moved 70BP" and "3M Implied OIS basis moved ...
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2answers
834 views

Half of the bid-ask spread as transaction cost

I am currently reading "Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity" by Du et al. When establishing deviations from CIRP they consider transaction costs as follows. "We assume that the transaction ...
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1answer
4k views

How to compute for basis adjusted forward rate?

To give you a brief background, I'm valuing a fixed-for-float Interest Rate Swap (IRS) using Bloomberg. I put in a notional amount in (USD) and a assigned 6MO USD LIBOR as the reference index for the ...
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3answers
1k views

Change of measure between T-forward and T*-forward contract?

I am trying to prove the need of a convexity adjustment to a forward rate by calculating the next expectation: \begin{align*} P(t_0, T_s)E^{T_s}\big(L(T_s, T_s, T_e) \mid \mathcal{F}_{t_0}\big). \end{...
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1answer
53 views

Money market yield question

Assuming the 92-day and 274 day interest rate is 8% (act/360, money market yield) compute the 182- day forward rate starting in 92 days (act/360, money market yield). 1)7.80% 2)8.00% 3)8.20% 4)8.40% ...
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1answer
72 views

Black (1976) model growth rate input for futures price

When using the Black 76 model for pricing European index options I've often seen people use 2 different rates: the typical risk free rate used to get the discount factor, and a growth rate used to get ...
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2answers
196 views

Getting quarterly forward rates with QuantLib

I am trying to build a quarterly forward curve with 3 month USD Libor swap rates from 1Y to 50Y as inputs. From other posts I have looked at, I have managed to come up with this code so far: ...
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3answers
171 views

How does the term premium of the 10y20y Treasury forward rate relate to the 30y rate?

I'm reading recent research on Treasuries and to paraphrase, it says that long term 10y20y Treasury forward rates now have a positive term premium over the long run nominal funds rate (neutral rate). ...
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0answers
42 views

how to get 3 month Forward rates from Hull white model simulation?

I implemented the Hull White one factor model in Monte Carlo simulation, and got the short rate on each node (time step =1month). my question is how to get the forward rate from the short rate? I am ...
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0answers
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How to calculate the Net Present Value (Market-to-Market Value) of a plain vanilla FX forward?

I would like to understand the math/economics behind the calculation of plain vanilla FX forwards. Let's assume the following example: ...
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1answer
145 views

Forward interest rate

I have some confusion regarding forward interest rate. It seems that there are two notions of forward interest rate: The interest rate $f$ agreed at time $t$ for investment over a future time period ...
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0answers
73 views

How to price a forward-rate agreement?

I don't understand how the formula on page 24 of Joshi: Concepts and Practice of MF is derived. Here is the paragraph I don't understand: A forward-rate agreement is simply an agreement to take some ...
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2answers
313 views

Difference between settlement of Eurodollars and FRA

I am going through J.C. Hull's chapter on FRA and EuroDollar Futures. Taking the case of FRA. I assume $T_0$ is the time when two parties entered into a FRA to fix interest rates they get on a ...
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1answer
229 views

PCA on a portfolio of spot and forward contracts

I have a portfolio of spot and FX forwards on various currencies all based to AUD. I need to able to quantify how the changes in amount, tilt and curvature of the AUD curve would impact my p/l. ...
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1answer
262 views

Getting a daily forward OIS rate curve with QuantLib in Python

I am trying to build a 1-day EONIA forward curve with QuantLib giving OIS yields from 1mo to 50yr as input. My current approach consists on (i) obtaining the yield curve with ...
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2answers
105 views

How would you use FRAs to find out how much Central Banks would cut/hike by?

Let's say you have The FRAs 1x4F, 2x5F, 3x6F, 4x7F, 5x8F... (meaning 3 months rate today, 3 months rate in 1 month, etc..) at 5.5, 5.5, 5.6, 5.55, 5.55. Assume today's date is 20/09/2019. You also ...
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4answers
3k views

Calculating bond forward rate/price

What's the difference these two methods on calculating the bond forward rate/price. First of all I'm assuming forward rate is the same as forward price in this context, if this assumption is false, ...
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1answer
246 views

Forward Swap Rate calculation using Quantlib

Here, we have an example for the calculation of Forward Swap Rate - How to compute forward swap rates? Below is my Forward Swap - ...
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0answers
76 views

Expectation hypothesis, expectation under which measure?

As I understand the expectation hypothesis says that the implied forward rate, can be used to predict future spot rates? If $r_{0,2}$ is the rate for a zero coupon bond maturing in two years, and the ...
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1answer
107 views

Deriving forward rate

I want to price a 1 year future under the condition of no arbitrage and based on LOOP. At time T, I sell currency Z and buy currency L. At time $t$, we define the exchange rate as $ZL_t$. The 1 year ...
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3answers
454 views

Which measure is used to price a swap?

When we value the floating leg of a standard vanilla swap, we replace the expectation of the future floating rates by the forward rates known today. However my understanding is that the forward rate ...
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3answers
1k views

How to prove martingality of forward rate under T-forward measure

Let $P(t,T)=\mathbb{E}_{Q_{R}}[e^{\int^{T}_{t}r(u)du}|\mathcal{F}_{t}]$ be the price of a 1-euro zero-coupon bond with maturity $T$ and $r(u)$ the interest rate process. Consider the the forward rate $...
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1answer
409 views

FX Forward rate agreement valuation in quantlib

I am trying to value an FRA in quantlib Python using the below code: ...
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0answers
56 views

Intuition behind local volatility curve shapes in interest rate environments

I have some questions regarding the intuition behind shapes for the local volatility (LV) curve as seen in quite popular models. Let's say we have the following generalized stochastic-local volatility ...
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1answer
116 views

Implication of forward-rate dynamics when the short-rate follows a normal process

In the section 3.2.3 of the second edition of "Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice" by Brigo and Mercurio, the forward-rate dynamics implied by the CIR model is derived as follow: The ...
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1answer
5k views

Dual Curve Bootstrapping - When to OIS discount?

I am a new quant and I am trying to understand some of the specifics of dual curve bootstrapping. For concreteness, suppose I want to build a Libor forward curve. From what I understand OIS ...
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1answer
74 views

Hedging With Zero Coupon Bonds from The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance by Mark Joshi

In section 2.5 he describes an example of arbitrage-free pricing (attached below). I have a pretty solid understanding of how we arrived at $K' = K\frac{1+d}{1+r}$, but I got a little lost when he ...
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1answer
235 views

Why is overnight more expensive than spot in an increasing forward swap values table?

I'm looking at EUR/USD fwd prices. Currently they are the following ones: These are the swap points to be added to the spot price. It seems it increases with time. Therefore, since overnight value ...
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1answer
78 views

Splitting a spot swap into a forward swap and a 3 month libor

I read the following statement: We can construct a 5 year swap using 3 month libor combined with a 3mo-4.75yr forward swap, weighted by the dv01s of each part. I am not sure I understand how this ...
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0answers
37 views

Short position in currency forward meaning

Trying to understand what being in a short position of a currency forward means. For example, given a 60-day currency forward at 0.92154 pounds/euro where euro is ...
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1answer
556 views

How to calculate the Fx Forward Points for 3M

I'm trying to find the FX Forward Points for 3M, the same as in the table. However, in the conventional way (Forward points = Spot x (USD Rate - EUR Rate) x 90/360) I get a different result. Can ...
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0answers
64 views

90 day SOFR market rate to equivalent 3M Libor rate conversion

I am trying to convert a 90 day SOFR market rate into a fair equivalent 3 month Libor rate. I understand since SOFR is by nature an in-arrears backwards looking rate, so for SOFR instruments such as a ...
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3answers
557 views

Are forward rates for an IRS computed between reset dates or between start dates?

In order to price the floating leg of an IRS I am computing forward rates for future coupons, but I'm not sure whether I have to compute such rates between reset dates or between start dates. My ...
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1answer
157 views

Link between spot and forward rates in no-arbitrage world

With reference to the forward exchange rate definition, let be: $S$: the spot rate $F$: the forward rate $r_d$ and $r_f$: respectively the domestic and foreign interest rates $DF_d$ and $DF_f$: ...
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1answer
186 views

project curve spot risk (PV01) into forward risk (PV01)

is there a (simplistic?) formula to convert spot risk PV01 into the forward risk PV01? For example, if I have a a) PV01 spot risk : 1yr = 100k/bp, 2yr = 50k/bp, 3yr = 25k/bp b) how can I project ...
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1answer
365 views

Constant continuous forward rate interpolation

Assume that the continuously compounded forward rate is constant between two node points. What is the interpolated discount factor between these two points? So you have the two discount factors $D_{...
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1answer
184 views

Basis Swap Dual Curve Calibration

The long end of the Libor swap curve needs to be constructed from Basis Swaps because there are no other instruments traded. Can please someone explain the concept of Dual Curve Calibration?
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1answer
1k views

Implied AUD Interest Rate from USDAUD FX Swap and USD Interest Rate

Can someone help me understand how to derive the implied interest rate or spot rate in BBG FXFA? I actually get why the Forward rate, F_Ask and F_Bid are derived using the formula in the picture. ...
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2answers
125 views

Forward Rates are martingal under Forwar Measure detailled proof

So I read an other post about this : How to prove martingality of forward rate under T-forward measure But I can't see how to get from there to there : $F \left(t,T_n \right)P \left(t,T_{n+1}\...
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1answer
253 views

zero-coupon bond and forward rate

My understanding, in a discrete-time setting, the relationship between a zero-coupon bond price and forward rates is: $$p(t,T)=\frac{1}{\Pi_{j=1}^{T-1}f(t,j)}.$$ where $p(t,T)$ represents the price ...
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1answer
312 views

Pricing of compounded swaps

As far as I understand, a compounded swap rolls up individual payments into one final payment which becomes: $$ V(t_n) = N \prod_{i = 0}^{n-1}(1 + d_i L_i)-N $$ where $d_i$ is the day fraction for ...
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0answers
130 views

Calibrate an HJM model in a multicurve setup

I am a mathematician and I'm working on my thesis on Financial Mathematics. I studied this model HJM in a multicurve setup: $$ \begin{cases} df(t,T)=a(t,T)dt+\sigma(t,T)dW_t & (\mbox{rik-free})\...
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2answers
2k views

Calculating spot rates from forward rates

I am working on a problem where I am trying to calculate the forward rates from two different spot rates. I have the following: ...