Questions tagged [futures]

Questions about futures contracts

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11
votes
4answers
5k views

What continous adjustment methods are firms using for futures backtesting?

There are several methods available between data vendors and associated software programs to adjust futures contract data for historical simulations. Some of the methods are: 1) Back or forward ...
1
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2answers
132 views

What do you call a group consisting of stocks, etfs, and futures?

In the command line interface to my program, the user can create a basket of stocks, etfs, or futures by saying: basket = stocks basket = etfs basket = futures basket = options But I ...
1
vote
1answer
85 views

Equivalents of E-minis in markets outside the US

E-minis include some high-liquidity lower margin market index future contracts with round-the-clock trading. However, volumes outside regular trading hours are much smaller. Are there equivalent ...
4
votes
2answers
313 views

A proof that the final payoff on a futures contract is twice that on a forward contract

Following is an argument demonstrating that the final payoff on a futures contract is twice that on a forward contract, contrary to what I believe is the accepted truth that the two payoffs are the ...
2
votes
1answer
1k views

How to trade interest rate futures calendar spread?

This has always been difficult to understand for me. How is the second futures contract valued in relation to the front month contract? My understanding is there are carry considerations (3 more ...
2
votes
0answers
713 views

How to construct a continuous price time series out of futures raw data in Excel?

My object of research is corn futures: It is well known that corn futures expire 5 times per year: March, May, July, September and December. Due to their finite life that is limited by their maturity,...
7
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0answers
764 views

Python Backtesting Framework Similar to Quantstrat

I use Quantstrat heavily for strategy research and optimisation. I have two Python developers about to join my team and would like to use it as an opportunity to diversify our research tools so we are ...
0
votes
1answer
109 views

Futures contracts [closed]

In a Text book the following is giving as an example. Can someone plz explain the process?
1
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1answer
51 views

Measuring the surprise element of policy actions

Dear fellow community members, Here is the excerpt from Bernanke and Kuttner (2005) that I need to apply to gather my data. "A measure of the surprise element of any specific change in the Federal ...
3
votes
2answers
756 views

Where to get historical daily settlement price of each VSTOXX futures contract

I'm doing some analysis on VIX and VSTOXX futures and require historical prices of each contract as a result. VIX info is free to download on CBOE website: http://cfe.cboe.com/products/historicalvix....
2
votes
1answer
47 views

Is there a relation between total futures and the amount of production?

I have a multipart question about futures and production. Lets take corn as an example. We add up the total 1 year futures of corn, call this weight $A$ kg. Next, we can get a reasonable estimate of ...
0
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2answers
2k views

Calculating the interest rate from a EuroDollar Futues contract

I would like to calculate the interest rate from a EuroDollar Future Contract(say the Sep-16 Futures Contract is trading at 99.2575). From the interest rate, I would like to calculate the zero coupon ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

Large trend-followers: why use futures rather than ETFs?

There are a number of large trend-following CTAs that have been successfully running for 10+ years. Their main instrument is diversified futures. Why not ETFs (is it due to liquidity / scaling, costs, ...
0
votes
1answer
128 views

Trying to understand T-Bond futures settlement. What am I missing?

Here's a puzzle I encountered when trying to understand how treasury bond futures (/ZB) are settled. Supposed I am short 1 September ZB contract at \$170, and on its last trading day the contract ...
0
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1answer
59 views

Need a reliable source of futures expiration dates

I am trying to determine (programmatically) what the current front month contract for a given futures symbol is. I would guess that all futures contracts expire on a standard time relative to their ...
2
votes
1answer
47 views

Is futures contracts data only reported for business days?

After digging around a few sources of futures data (in particular Quandl and EOD Data), I noticed the data only reports for business days (i.e. Monday-Friday excluding national holidays). The NYMEX ...
1
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1answer
147 views

How does this statement about the price of a prepaid forward on a stock follow?

I am self-studying for an actuarial exam on financial economics. This statement in the following problem/solution seems to imply that the prepaid forward price on a stock is the same as the prepaid ...
2
votes
1answer
210 views

Calculating required funds on Futures trades

I'm coding in python a backtester for trading the Futures markets (equity futures, precious metals, bond futures, etc..). When I open a position long or short, I need to deduct an appropriate amount ...
4
votes
2answers
4k views

Options pricing exercise - American call option on a futures contract

I am confused by a particular exercise I am doing right now, I am hopeful that someone can walk me through as to how to solve it. I further hope the question is not considered too basic for this forum....
0
votes
1answer
623 views

long fra and a short ed future with same fixing dates, is convexivity negative or positive?

If you are long a FRA (forward rate agreement) and short a ED (Eurodollars) future with the same fixing dates, do you have positive convexity or negative convexity? Why? According to the following ...
1
vote
1answer
334 views

30 Day Federal Funds Futures settlement price

A question regarding this futures: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/stir/30-day-federal-fund.html It says that settlement price = 100 - [average of effective federal fund rate for ...
6
votes
2answers
1k views

How can index futures trade 24/7 when the index doesn't change?

I have read that the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures trade 24/7, how is that possible? I mean the underlying stocks which form the index are traded from 9:30am-4pm - so outside of these hours the S&P ...
1
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1answer
424 views

Calculation of Bond Carry from Synthetic future prices

I have only government bond yields with different maturities. How can I obtain sythetic future prices on bonds? After obtained the future prices, I am supposed to compute the return and carry returns.
1
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0answers
67 views

Forward Exchange Rate Data: Germany x US

Would anyone know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between germany and US, yen and US to download? In Bank of England website i already found. Thanks
1
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1answer
962 views

Calculating PCA hedge ratio for 3-leg spread

I'm wondering how can I find PCA hedge ratio for a 3-leg spread? I've taken the simple steps laid out in here. I've taken some treasury futures data for 2yr,5yr,10yr and ran the PCA. The first ...
3
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2answers
388 views

Understanding Quandl Futures Data

I'm interested in learning how to adjust my own futures contracts for analysis. Unfortunately my quantitative classes didn't really go into this, and I would like to learn it on my own. The methods ...
12
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2answers
452 views

Why are futures valueless?

I understand that futures exchanges are set up in such a way that traders don't pay cash in order to assume a long position on a futures contract; they simply "enter into" the contract, essentially ...
33
votes
5answers
12k views

What is a good broker for HFT?

Currently I trade trough IB. I run my HFT strategies (100 roundtrips per hour) but I think that latency is killing me and my profits are shrinking. I need the fastest possible brokers out there which ...
2
votes
1answer
66 views

What exactly do I sell when I sell a futures contract I have previously bought?

Suppose I buy a futures contract and later, before expiry date, I sell it out. Is something physically exchanged between myself and the buyer, e.g. a paper certificate specifying the contract's ...
1
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1answer
181 views

Definition of Financial Futures: The value of a futures contract

According to the opening paragraph of the Wikipedia article for "Futures contract" In finance, a futures contract (more colloquially, futures) is a standardized forward contract which can be easily ...
1
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1answer
57 views

Definition of Financial Futures: The price to pay for the underlying asset on delivery date

According to the opening paragraph of the Wikipedia article for "Futures contract", the parties to a futures contract initially agree to buy and sell an asset for a price agreed upon today (the ...
0
votes
2answers
96 views

How to interpret the movement of stock index futures, in regards to regular market movements

In the hours before the stock exchanges open for the day, financial news reporters often discuss the latest developments in stock index futures. I'm curious how to interpret the developments they ...
5
votes
1answer
621 views

VXV vs. VIX futures: arbitrage opportunities?

At a first glance, VXV and VIX futures should not be compared at all: VXV is an underlying index, whilst VIX futures are derivatives written on a different underlying index, that is, VIX. As instance,...
4
votes
1answer
98 views

Where to find E-mini S&P options price data or chart?

ES futures price data is easy to find, e.g. on Yahoo finance or with a free NinjaTrader demo account. I'm looking for the same for options on that futures contract. The best I could find is the ...
2
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2answers
165 views

Futures Contracts, Rollover, Offsets

I was reading Trading Commodities and Financial Futures by Kleinman, I saw this excerpt: When you buy or sell a futures contract, you don’t actually sign a contract drawn up by a lawyer. Instead, ...
1
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1answer
128 views

How to convert bond options strikes to future prices

CME, 10 year Note Call Strike 1300 How to convert this strike to future price? (today's open at 131'100) For example we can take current prices EOD data for example chart on CMEgroup: http://www....
2
votes
2answers
152 views

$E[F_T] = F_0 \ \rightarrow \ \text{or} \ \leftarrow \ p = \frac{1-d}{u-d}$?

From Ch 12 in Hull's OFOD, we compute the risk-neutral probabilities for a futures contract: Later in Ch 17, futures options are valued, and we have the same result: In relation to Chapter 16 and 17,...
1
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0answers
94 views

Problem with overlapping data when testing futures market efficiency

In my case non-overlapping data would represent the scenario where futures prices (3 months) do not correspond to the futures spot prices in terms of delivery date. For example, futures settlement ...
2
votes
0answers
253 views

What is the best open source automated trading platform or options?

I would like a custom C++ Automated Trading Platform for Futures like Multicharts, or similar automated trading platform that I can put on my servers so its secure and fast. I have found this so far, ...
1
vote
0answers
710 views

How to find or calculate 30-day constant maturity price of a future?

Question, pretty much says it. Is there a reliable place where this data can be found or, if not, is there a reliable place where the underlying data needed to calculate the constant maturity price ...
7
votes
1answer
18k views

The difference between Close price and Settelment Price for future contracts

What is the difference between Close price and Settlement Price for future contracts? Is there a defined rule for evaluating the settlement price or different rules are applied for each instrument/...
4
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6answers
908 views

Data provider for daily futures settlement prices

Is there a data provider that has historical daily settlement prices for download? I'm interested in a provider that spans multiple exchanges.
2
votes
1answer
1k views

Delta of a Commodity Future

Generally the price of a future is $ F(t,T) = S(t)e^{r(T-t)}, $ and it's delta is: $ \frac{\partial F}{\partial S} = e^{r(T-t)}. $ (As opposed to the delta of a forward which is always one.) In ...
4
votes
1answer
1k views

How to get historical data for expired futures contracts in IbPy?

Does anyone know how to request historical data for futures contracts that have already expired in IbPy? There are plenty of examples for requesting historical data for example this post, however ...
2
votes
0answers
876 views

How to think about dollar volume in Eurodollar futures?

This is a very basic question: Computing the notional volume for futures contracts usually consists of something like: $$V_F = N \cdot P \cdot M \cdot FX$$ Where $V_F$ is the dollar volume of the ...
1
vote
1answer
214 views

QuantLib: New Instrument derived from VanillaOption + PricingEngine that must work for both VanillaOption and the derived class

The derived class is a Vanilla Option on a Future and I need to specify the expiry of the underlying future which is in general different (later) than the expiry of the Vanilla Option. I have ...
3
votes
2answers
180 views

Futures Parameters for Value at Risk

I am new to risk management. I am calculating the VaR for a portfolio of futures contracts, long and shorts. I calculated it using the historical, parametric, and ...
1
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1answer
61 views

nikkei 225 yen contract on the CME

This may be a silly question on futures trading, but I haven't found a clear answer on the CME website. For the Nikkei 225 Yen contract on the CME, which is denominated in Yen, the margin is also ...
1
vote
3answers
382 views

Best known performance of stock prediction algorithms

I asked this question here and was directed to answer it on this stack exchange. My question is very simple. What is the best [known] performance of a stock prediction algorithm? I've seen papers ...
1
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1answer
399 views

Broker or source of intraday futures data for a python API?

I am looking for a broker that offers a python API for downloading historical intraday data on futures. So far I have only seen Interactive Brokers and Tradestation. Are there some other brokers ...