Questions tagged [fx]

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no unified or centrally cleared market.

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Implied cost of borrowing USD via an FX swap

EURUSD is quoted at 1.0879/84. Lets say O/N forward points are quoted at +0.032/+0.332. Lets say based on these quotes I want to derive my implied funding cost (USD interest rate) if I wanted to ...
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27 views

Effect of lowering benchmark interest rates

On recent days, Yen appreciated 30 bps towards USD "after the Central Bank lowered its interest rates by 50 bps". Can someone explain me the economic rationale of the appreciation after a central bank ...
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48 views

ATM volatility for FX options

I am quite familiar with equity implied volatility and smiles. However, I find it quite confusing and unclear when it comes to FX. I read many materials but could not get a grasp of the notion of ATM ...
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1answer
56 views

Alternative strategies for hedging customer FX positions in spot market

Generally, if an FX broker decides to hedge a customers' position, it automatically hedges the customer's trade to Liquidity Providers when the trade occurs in the spot market. Let's say, the customer ...
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3answers
70 views

Where can I retreive the end of day fx prices?

I'm developing a reporting tool and I need a data source for end of day price data. For example, it should give me the XAUUSD price at a specific date, say 2019-12-05. Do you know such a data source? ...
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1answer
49 views

Link between spot and forward rates in no-arbitrage world

With reference to the forward exchange rate definition, let be: $S$: the spot rate $F$: the forward rate $r_d$ and $r_f$: respectively the domestic and foreign interest rates $DF_d$ and $DF_f$: ...
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34 views

What trading granularity has the strongest self-influence on Forex market?

As I understand, the effects that influence the Forex prices (for the major pairs) can be described as: inside effects - short term speculations by humans/robots real world events - larger scale ...
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3answers
174 views

Why is the hedging cost using forwards $\frac{F-S}{S}$ and how is this related to Carry?

I'm a bit confused about hedging a foreign exposure and how this is related to carry. I've read that the hedging cost $h$ is $$h=\frac{F-S}{S}$$ where $F$ is the forward and $S$ is the spot price. ...
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69 views

How do FX brokers decide to hedge or book a customer's trades?

FX brokers try to be more profitable by, - booking(b-book) the traders that are predicted to be losing money according to the trader profile or trading history. so, if the customer loses money, the ...
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1answer
117 views

Calculating FX Swap Points from various interest rate curves (and vice versa)

I have tried extensively to find the answer to this both on this website and externally. My question is 'how are FX swap points determined?' but would like to lay out my own understanding first (also ...
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Payment Gateways' market risk: where does it come from?

Companies like Square and Adyen and Paypal are flourishing. They facilitate payments between people and business in various currencies and provide small loans. However as they are not banks they are ...
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3answers
286 views

Why are some currency pairs more volatile than others?

Why for example GBP/JPY is twice volatile as USD/JPY ? ... and many more cases involving other major forex pairs here: full list. thanks in advance!
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1answer
89 views

How much to hedge if borrow in EUR to buy USD assets?

Suppose an investor borrows EUR1m to buy USD stocks. He wants to hedge away the currency risk through EURUSD futures. He should go long EURUSD to hedge this risk. The question is how much of EURUSD ...
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What is the actual instrument traded with retail FX brokers

This question may seem inappropriate for this StackExchange but it's the pricing and actual return dynamics that define the instrument so you guys seem the most knowledgeable on this topic. I was ...
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2answers
162 views

How would a FX price probability distibution function look?

I would like to see how the currency price levels are distributed in a probability function. But I don't even know if there is such a thing or if perhaps its just common knowledge and readily ...
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0answers
50 views

Extreme AUDJPY FX vols

I'm seeing levels of -12% of market strangle vol at 25 delta for AUDJPY at 20Y onward that is causing havoc with my pricing routines, the 10 delta market strangle is trading around -6% which is again ...
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3answers
282 views

Intuitive explanation for the smile in FX

What is the intuitive reason for the smile in FX? For equities this usually down to crash risk.
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1answer
64 views

What are “local” and “foreign” interest rate in this formula? [closed]

I found this formula to find fair value of a forex pair: FV = Spot × e(local interest rate−foreign interest rate) × T Taken for example AUDUSD, Spot is AUD per USD. T is the time to maturity of ...
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0answers
58 views

FX Volatility surface bid/ask

I have bid/ask vols (straddles, risk-reversals and market strangles) for FX pairs, I want to create a mid/bid/ask volatility surface in strike/maturity space after a consistent smile calibration ...
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1answer
37 views

How currency swap works for big companies bond and cash management

Suppose a big company A holds 10 Million USD at T+0, and A knows that it will pay 9.9 Million CHF to buy a bond at T+1, why would company A be willing to enter a currency swap to buy CHF and sell USD ...
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2answers
175 views

Why do big financial groups use fx swaps to manage cash?

Can someone help me with the logic that big companies' treasury department uses fx swap to manage their cash? An example would be much appreciated!
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0answers
75 views

what numeraire is used to price an FX forward contract

By non-arbitrage, it is easy to show the relationship between fx forward and fx spot via the domestic and foreign currency interest rates. I am wondering how we can express this in terms of the ...
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1answer
47 views

Example of an ATMF trade in FX market [closed]

Pls give an example of ATMF and how is it different from a regular ATM trade?
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1answer
82 views

Which currency to hedge a position in FX options?

Let's assume a bank sells to a client a put of \$1,000,000 dollars on USDJPY at 110 in 6 months. The delta of this put is -0.6, spot is 112. So to hedge its position the bank has to short \$600,000 ...
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1answer
133 views

Calculation cross-currency basis

I am trying to calculate cross-currency basis on the 3-month horizon for a certain set of currencies. The formula should be $ccb = F/S (1+y_{foreign currency}) - (1+y_{USD})$ where $y_{USD}$ is Libor ...
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1answer
119 views

FX option trading questions

Are all FX trades ( RR, BF, ATM)quoted in implied vol term delta neutral trades? If trades are not delta neutral at the initiation does that mean it is speculative trading? Why/ why not?
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52 views

FX option trading [duplicate]

Are all trades quoted in implied vol terms delta neutral trades? If trades are not delta neutral at the initiation does that mean it is speculative trading? Why/ why not?
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1answer
71 views

What is the difference between Cost of Currency Hedging and the Price of a Currency Pair Forward?

I am looking at Reuters Datastream and all they seem to provide is the settlement price of the CME EURGBP contract (which more or less equals current spot). But what does it actually cost me to ...
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62 views

About Dual Delta of FX option in the paper: FX volatility smile construction by Dimitri Reiswich & Uwe Wystup

In the paper: FX volatility smile construction by Dimitri Reiswich & Uwe Wystup. It mentions the computation of premium-adjusted spot delta as follows (Page 6): As a beginner of FX option, I ...
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0answers
52 views

FX Smile Curve Extrapolation

How a smooth smile curve is generated from 5 smile points : 10D RR, 25D RR, 10D SM, 25D SM and ATM? What are the commonly used extrapolation and interpolation techniques? I have seen people ...
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1answer
107 views

What does **Long Call EURUSD** mean?

What does Long Call EURUSD mean? Does it mean Long Call EUR and Short Put USD? When we draw payoff do we consider only w.r.t. to CCY1 i.e. EUR in this case?
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0answers
102 views

Smile Strangle and Market Strangle

What is the difference between Smile Strangle margin and Market Strangle Margin in fx derivative market? Is it just variation in convention or is there any mathematical relationship between the two?
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1answer
85 views

Relation between ATM, RR and BF

In FX derivative market, why does vol spread of ATM > RR > BF? ATM is the most liquid and intuitively it should have the lowest spread. Please help me in understanding the rational behind the above ...
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2answers
38 views

Should the targeted rate of return stay the same regardless of the currency?

I work for a european company which invests mostly in the euro zone but also in the UK. I'm in charge with calculating the hurdle rate targeted for these investments. The internal guidelines are for ...
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276 views

FX TARF hedging (target redemption forward)

Lets say client is buying from you eurusd tarf strike 1,16 sell eur buy usd notional per fixing 500k usd leverage 2 first expiry 1 month from now, 12 fixings in total (monthly) full final payout ...
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1answer
98 views

What is FX theta in linear products?

While I understand theta (time decay) in options, I often see theta being computed for linear products as well (outright FX forwards). What is theta in this case then? And how is it different from the ...
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2answers
79 views

How do the following aspects lead to U.S. Repo shortfalls

A major theme in the markets this past week has been the repo rate hikes and the sudden disappearance of liquidity. Although most are confused as to the main reason, there seems to be a consensus on ...
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47 views

Currency exchange rate

I'm working with monthly data and I need to use FX rate in my model. I have daily data for exchange rate and not sure how to average it over the month. Should I compute simple arithmetic average over ...
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1answer
191 views

Hedging EURUSD with negative rates

I was reading an article and i saw this : Fund managers based outside the eurozone can profit from buying Europe’s negative-yielding government debt thanks to an uplift from hedging the currency. ...
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0answers
163 views

Why does change in Sight Deposits reflect Swiss National Bank FX action

I am confused of how the Swiss National Bank's famous FX interventions are reflected in the change in Sight Deposits. Against the backdrop of the ECB meeting, it is said that the SNB has taken ...
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0answers
40 views

How to backtest a sample of trades to optimize stop loss on losing trades and profit targets on winning trades?

I have a history of hundreds of executed trades. Given those trades, I want to know if there's a tool or framework that can help me figuring out: What would have been the most cost efficient stop ...
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1answer
72 views

USDEUR instead of EURUSD futures for euros owner

If you own euros and you want to be long on EURUSD, wouldn't it be more logical and with less fees to open a position on USDEUR and do a margin deposit directly in euros instead of convert the euros ...
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1answer
83 views

real time tick data source

Hello i am looking for a free real time tick by tick data for training and analyzing and plotting forex charts but i am searching a lot and i couldn't find any good data feed provider why there is no ...
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2answers
108 views

Expected currency depreciation given sovereign default

A country may default on its government debt (in any sense, e.g. miss a payment) within the next year. How would one estimate the expected (under the risk-neutral measure) currency depreciation by ...
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0answers
70 views

FX Spot Delta market standard calculation (Trader View)

I am just writing my thesis about FX instrument and hedging and one question popped up which I can't solve. Maybe it is silly but cant find anything about it how the delta of a fx spot is defined and ...
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2answers
129 views

FX Correlation Risk from cross ccy pairs

Suppose you are long a TRYJPY call option. And lets say you can delta hedge using USDTRY, AUDJPY, and AUDUSD. In this case I would delta hedge by buying USDTRY, selling AUDJPY, and buying AUDUSD. If ...
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2answers
983 views

Calculating Cross Currency basis swaps

I am trying to calculate cross currency basis swaps for personal use. I generally understand what they are (essentially swapping one currency for another currency on a floating interest rate basis) ...
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1answer
133 views

How to understand interest rate bid/ask and apply client mark-up in Tom/Next Rollover Swap Point Calculation

When I am reading materials in swap point calculation for FX Tom/Next Rollover, I am confused with the market interest rate bid/ask. Using an example: I traded on ...
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67 views

Cancelable Forward

How I could modeling a break forward or cancelable forward? Could I use Swaption model or only by montecarlo simulation? I have (X-F) for 2Y but I have option to cancel in 0,5Y by a premium price
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1answer
191 views

FX Futures pricing formula

I'm reading Paul Wilmott's Introduces Quantitative Finance and stuck a bit with formula $F = S(t)e^{(r-r_f)(T-t)}$ for FX futures pricing. I don't get how to incorporate $r_f$ into the formula, could ...

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