Questions tagged [fx]

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no unified or centrally cleared market.

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1answer
414 views

How FOK or IOC order types are executed

Ok, I know what's the difference are between them but still have some question. Let's say that the exchange's limit order book looks like this: (order depth of LOB) Now, let's say I send a buy FOK ...
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3answers
146 views

What is the data quality of ask (offer) versus bid quotes in FX markets?

I'm working with high frequency FX data. Because the FX market is a decentralized market, different traders often have slightly different prices at the same moment. I can see how this would ...
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1answer
64 views

Choosing an exchange rate in a macroeconomic panel data set

I am constructing an investor sentiment index to determine the impact of investor sentiment on stock market crises. I am following the methodology in this paper, http://121.192.176.75/repec/upload/...
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0answers
102 views

The best process for foreign exchange rate

I have a simple research project and I need to explain a behavior of a foreign exchange rate. Could you propose a stochastic process without jumps so that it could be estimated with QMLE? Is GBM ...
5
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1answer
267 views

Equivalency of FX forwards and FX fixed for fixed swaps? Are they still the same under multiple curves environment?

I am encountering two approaches for valuation of FX swaps (fixed for fixed, e.g. fixed USD payments for fixed EUR payments) which seem to result into different values although in theory they should ...
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1answer
9k views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot side, ...
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0answers
430 views

Cointegration for forex using ARMA model to forecast the spread

I am working on an automatized quantitative strategy that use cointegration in Forex. I am backtesting this strategy in Python. Please see below the python file: https://drive.google.com/file/d/...
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0answers
38 views

Toxic FX Flow - how to avoid it [duplicate]

So, basically i want to debate and find out the real reason behind being flag by ECNs and venues as "toxic". How to avoid being flag? What kind of strategies are toxic and why? Below is an article ...
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1answer
114 views

Does the starting currency matter in triangle arbitrage?

Say I have an FX arbitrage opportunity by doing a transaction like: EUR -> USD -> YEN -> EUR It seems to me like the (exact) same profit can be realized by starting the transaction in USD and doing: ...
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0answers
755 views

Murex and Calypso framework

I have been working on Murex and Calypso trading system for several years , front to back , I am facing a lot of question kind of : which software is better ? I can confirm to anyone interested in ...
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3answers
1k views

Cross Currency Swap

1) What is the difference between Cross Currency Swap and Cross Currency Basis Swap? Appreciate if this can be explained in layman's terms. 2) Could you advise me which swap rate to be used for the ...
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1answer
252 views

FX Modeling references

I would like to have some sugestions of reference books on FX modeling with strong mathematical approach, preferably combined with market pratictioner quant perspective. All sugesting are welcome! ...
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1answer
95 views

What does it mean when a risk reversal is near choice?

I'm currently reading Kathy Lien's 'Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market' and I came across this phrase on risk reversals: "near choice". What does it mean when risk reversals are near ...
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0answers
67 views

Forward Exchange Rate Data: Germany x US

Would anyone know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between germany and US, yen and US to download? In Bank of England website i already found. Thanks
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2answers
128 views

hedge a USD index into EUR

Say I have the daily index levels for the S&P. It is then very simple to calculate the daily returns. I however want to calculate the hedged returns into Euros. I have the daily exchange rates ...
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2answers
178 views

What does it mean to 'receive outright'?

What does the following statement mean: "after accounting for levels of market volatility, we favor receiving outright in 6-month forward-starting 2-year swaps."? Specifically, what does "receiving ...
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2answers
193 views

Calculating floating P&L of a FIX-order [closed]

How to fetch floating p/l(current) of a "filled" FIX-Order (either buy/sell)?(by its FIX-ID/order ID) I asked my FIX provider(Integral) & they said, there's no specific tag for that/not a ...
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1answer
627 views

Getting quote stream via fix-api 4.3

I'm new to FIX api,so far i did following (on QUICKFIX) logged on to quote-session subscribed to market data sent "single-message" quote-request for an instrument (EUR/USD for example) ...
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2answers
88 views

EUR issuance using forwards to hedge FX risk

Trying to think about the right way to hedge a EUR denominated issuance from FX risk only. Say I have an annual pay 20-year EUR bond and I want to hedge the FX risk but take the interest rate risk. I ...
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0answers
370 views

FX Statistical Arbitrage Strategy [closed]

I have had experience creating stat arb strategies for equities and etfs, but haven't dabbled much into FX trading. I was wondering if anyone knew any resources online they would suggest, or could ...
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1answer
2k views

Pricing of swaps

I have a (hopefully) elementary question about forex swaps. Most feeds will have a near and a far leg (or more legs for more exotic swaps). I appreciate that "buying the swap" involves locking in ...
3
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1answer
186 views

Using Market Gamma to Predict FX Trading Environments

I want to test a hypothesis about using gamma to predict FX movements. Suppose that market makers will seek to be delta neutral given their portfolio of FX options. At any given time, market makers ...
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0answers
310 views

Latency Arbitrage in forex [closed]

(I've been downgraded on this question, and it's because most people don't understand what I mean. If you ever did hft arb, you will understand what I mean. If not, please do not answer) Everybody ...
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1answer
670 views

Processes used in quant finance

What are the main stochastic processes (and their SDE) used in quant finance? For example to model currency prices, stock prices, etc.
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0answers
178 views

Optimal approach for finding a profitable trading strategy to automate? [closed]

I am currently searching for an optimal approach for finding profitable forex trading strategies to automate. Currently, I just try to combine various indicators and build an automated trading system ...
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1answer
51 views

construct portfolio offering risk free profit

Have trouble understanding this question, seems quite open ended. Assume that $S(0)$ is the current rate of exchange for foreign currency. Assume that and $K_n$ and $K_f$ are rates of return on home ...
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1answer
269 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
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0answers
54 views

Data on interest rate differentials (lending on own vs. foreign currency)

I'm looking for data on (inner country) interest rate differentials between lending in own and foreign currency. Is there any data publicly available? If yes, where? If not, which non-free sources are ...
4
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2answers
145 views

Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
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1answer
268 views

Fx Firm market making

I've been doing market making on forex using the last look feature so far. Now we are moving to do on firm making, but I'm kind of lost. To do firm making we need to post resting orders (currenex ...
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1answer
128 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - 10....
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0answers
74 views

Why does graphic of log first difference of renminbi look similar to hkd?

This is CNY to US$: This is HKD to US$: Below are the log of the first difference of both graphs above: You can see that apparent similarity on the middle of graph. I thought that they were managed ...
4
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2answers
127 views

Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
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2answers
388 views

Volatility of EUR/USD: is this correct?

Let x be the closeBid price of EUR/USD, sampled every 5 minutes during year 2015 (historical data). This is the variation (is it ...
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2answers
430 views

what data to use to compare the interest rate among different currencies?

Very new to fixed income signals. I am a little confused about which data to use to compare interest rate among different currencies. For example, I am interested in compare interest rate in the ...
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2answers
1k views

Forex P&l Attribution on Physical Forward position

Please validate my unrealized Fx P&L calculation on the commodity forward contract e.g. consider i have bought 1 MT of wheat at 300 EURO my financial currency for company is USD. I am using below ...
3
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1answer
338 views

Is that a good way to work with the ARMA model?

I would like to share with you what I am doing to get your point of view, and to make a better trading system in collaboration. I am working on EURUSD forex, and I am trying to find a way to place ...
2
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1answer
125 views

Should a strategy backtested against three years of tick data continue to produce positive results?

Let's say we have a Binary Options 5-minute trading strategy that relies on multiple indicators and exploits price reversals in currency pairs. Now let's say there is a combination of inputs for the ...
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0answers
30 views

Are COFER unallocated resource changes meaningful?

I've been looking at the currency reserves (COFER) data on the IMF site: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4&ss=1408202647052 What caught my eye was the 5% drop in ...
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2answers
78 views

Trying to understand how to convert profit to home currency

I'm looking at example 2 here: http://fxtrade.oanda.ca/analysis/profit-calculator/how ...
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0answers
493 views

Triangular Arbitrage with CFD

I cannot understand how the triangular arbitrage fits with CFD. Assuming there is an arbitrage opportunity: EUR/USD < USD/GBP * GBP/EUR If I do this strategy: 1 Long on EUR/USD at Ask price 1 ...
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1answer
1k views

How to create a basket of currency pairs with the lowest correlation in R?

My strategy is designed to buy and sell all assets of a universe and rebalance periodically. It goes either long or short. To limit risk exposure to a single currency I would like the assets in the ...
2
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1answer
167 views

How to distinguish trending/consolidating market conditions programatically?

Can someone please suggest me a method to programatically identify trending/consolidating market condition by reading ohlc data? Currently I'm thinking of checking the current price within last n ...
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1answer
657 views

How to compute returns and daily VaR of a currency position?

I have a Forex trading account with a base currency USD. I am holding a position in EUR/JPY and would like to estimate my daily VaR. If I compute the EUR/JPY returns using the historic prices this ...
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1answer
94 views

Implied exchange rate

The EUR/JPY exchange rate increased by 20%. The USD/JPY exchange rate increased by 25%. By how much will the EUR/USD exchange rate decrease?
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3answers
87 views

What information should be delivered to the client so they have enough information to manage their exchange rate risks? [closed]

The client can be a CFO or CEO. The information can indicators, charts, graphs, statistics, ratios, etc. I know the VaR is one of them.
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1answer
398 views

can an fx forward price simply be divided into 1 to quote the inverse?

Qu 1. Say I ask for EURUSD 1 week and get prices: 1.120986 / 1.120216 Does that mean to price USDEUR 1 week I can divide 1 / 1.120216 and 1 / 1.120986 and get rates: 0.8921 / 0.8927 Or is that ...
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1answer
66 views

Lease Accounting / FX Embedded Derivatives [closed]

I have a lease agreement where the functional currency is USD, domestic currency is UAH. Lease agreement is written in EUR (rent rate) and payments are to be done in UAH in the amount of rent rate (...
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1answer
95 views

Exchange rate conversion [closed]

If the EUR/USD exchangerate fell by -0,96%, how much has the USD/EUR exchange rate increased? According to the below charts the number would be +0,97% (currently) but I cant figure out how these ...
4
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2answers
268 views

Simple question about FX carry trade

I have been reading online about the FX carry trade and how this can be profitable (in general). From my understanding, the idea is to be long (lend) the currency with higher interest rate and short (...