Questions tagged [fx]

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no unified or centrally cleared market.

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Markov-Switching Multifractal and FX Rates

Is there a better model than Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM) for detecting regime shifts in FX rates across multiple time horizons? I am especially interested in the different aspects of the ...
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648 views

compute time from FX forward, how use DEPO rates?

assume I have following delta-term vol data from broker: ...
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313 views

EUR/PLN and EUR/USD delta-term-vol surface quoting convension

does anyone know for sure what is the FX market convension to quote delta-term pairs for EUR/PLN, for EUR/USD. I know that for EUR/PLN it should be delta p.a forward, for EUR/USD it should be delta ...
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2k views

Carry Trade vs synthetic Carry Trade using forward contracts

When it comes to foreign exchange carry trade strategy, the definition is straightforward: an investor borrows 1 US-\$ in the US (low interest country) and invests that \$1 to AU (high interest ...
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99 views

What is the actual instrument traded with retail FX brokers

This question may seem inappropriate for this StackExchange but it's the pricing and actual return dynamics that define the instrument so you guys seem the most knowledgeable on this topic. I was ...
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386 views

How to balance two Forex crosses correctly to do a linear regression?

I have two cross and an account in EUR: EUR/USD GBP/USD I would like to do a balanced linear regression using R. With "balanced" I mean that I would like to normalize it by calculating the ...
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46 views

How to optimise Fixed Income portfolio (Yieldbook) based on YTM, duration, rating and exchange rate

I have a fixed income portfolio built up in the Yieldbook and BBG Port. However due to some bad performance of my portfolio compared to the benchmark I would like to build up an optimisation which ...
2
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96 views

what numeraire is used to price an FX forward contract

By non-arbitrage, it is easy to show the relationship between fx forward and fx spot via the domestic and foreign currency interest rates. I am wondering how we can express this in terms of the ...
2
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173 views

Smile Strangle and Market Strangle

What is the difference between Smile Strangle margin and Market Strangle Margin in fx derivative market? Is it just variation in convention or is there any mathematical relationship between the two?
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382 views

Why does change in Sight Deposits reflect Swiss National Bank FX action

I am confused of how the Swiss National Bank's famous FX interventions are reflected in the change in Sight Deposits. Against the backdrop of the ECB meeting, it is said that the SNB has taken ...
2
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2answers
1k views

Calculating Fx Swap from Cross Currency Swap

I am trying to calculate Fx Swap points of a currency pair from the corresponding Cross Currency Swap rate on the same maturity. I.e if I know that my USD/TRY 5Y rate is 16% and my USD/TRY spot rate ...
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0answers
909 views

Conversion of a premium-adjusted delta to a strike

I am trying to compute the calibration of an FX market volatility surface, and especially I want to retrieve the strikes from the deltas quoted. I don't have any trouble reverse-engineering the ...
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0answers
317 views

is there a limit on how many times i can access fxcm xml feed

i'm writing an python application that uses fxcm's xml feed. here is the link http://rates.fxcm.com/RatesXML does anyone know if there are limits on how many times you can access this data? right now ...
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141 views

Scale of Market Quakes Computation

I would like to reproduce the results in the paper "The scale of market quakes", from T. Bisig, But I am getting stuck at the computation of the Fourier Coefficients in equation (4). They are defined ...
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74 views

Why does graphic of log first difference of renminbi look similar to hkd?

This is CNY to US$: This is HKD to US$: Below are the log of the first difference of both graphs above: You can see that apparent similarity on the middle of graph. I thought that they were managed ...
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4k views

Models for simulating FX movements

My goal is to develop a model to simulate long term FX movements. (I am not sure if long term makes any difference, but if it does I am more interested in long term fx movements) These Monte Carlo ...
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0answers
100 views

How to measure if variance is greater at a certain time of day?

I'm not very fluent in the quant vernacular, so perhaps the nature of my question will be better illustrated as a hypothesis. One market has closed and another market elsewhere on Spaceship Earth is ...
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0answers
203 views

How is a quanto priced?

How would one price a derivative denominated in EUR that pays in USD?
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57 views

Forex trailing stops - better alternatives?

I've been pursuing the holy grail of trading, short term FX trading, using machine learning. I've experimented with a ton of strategies but mainly those revolving around holding each trade for a ...
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0answers
79 views

Is there a scientific significance to Fibonacci numbers in economics?

I am new to the field and have read popular articles on Fibonacci numbers, but I did not find it grounded in academic research and would love to know if there is a research basis for this and whether ...
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0answers
21 views

Reliable weekend forex source that can act as credible data for Monday APAC morning forex trade

In general most of the forex market closes by 10:00 pm london time on Friday and opens back on Monday morning APAC time , somewhere around Sunday evening London time. I am interested in knowing if ...
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0answers
51 views

How do we compute FX volatility for any given FX strike and time to maturity?

I want to implement a function which is passed two inputs: a strike and a time to maturity (which can be arbitrary within a specified range) and returns an FX volatility for this strike and maturity ...
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33 views

LIBOR OIS equation - Discount factor

I've seen this equation floating around : XCCY = FX OIS + USD LIBOR/OIS - EUR LIBOR/OIS. This equation is intuitive however there's a mention that discount factors between the two need to be taken ...
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38 views

What are CloseoutBid and CloseoutAsk Prices?

Using Oanda's streaming API I get typical output as shown below: ...
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0answers
75 views

How do FX brokers decide to hedge or book a customer's trades?

FX brokers try to be more profitable by, - booking(b-book) the traders that are predicted to be losing money according to the trader profile or trading history. so, if the customer loses money, the ...
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0answers
56 views

Extreme AUDJPY FX vols

I'm seeing levels of -12% of market strangle vol at 25 delta for AUDJPY at 20Y onward that is causing havoc with my pricing routines, the 10 delta market strangle is trading around -6% which is again ...
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68 views

FX Volatility surface bid/ask

I have bid/ask vols (straddles, risk-reversals and market strangles) for FX pairs, I want to create a mid/bid/ask volatility surface in strike/maturity space after a consistent smile calibration ...
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82 views

About Dual Delta of FX option in the paper: FX volatility smile construction by Dimitri Reiswich & Uwe Wystup

In the paper: FX volatility smile construction by Dimitri Reiswich & Uwe Wystup. It mentions the computation of premium-adjusted spot delta as follows (Page 6): As a beginner of FX option, I ...
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0answers
57 views

FX Smile Curve Extrapolation

How a smooth smile curve is generated from 5 smile points : 10D RR, 25D RR, 10D SM, 25D SM and ATM? What are the commonly used extrapolation and interpolation techniques? I have seen people ...
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0answers
111 views

FX Spot Delta market standard calculation (Trader View)

I am just writing my thesis about FX instrument and hedging and one question popped up which I can't solve. Maybe it is silly but cant find anything about it how the delta of a fx spot is defined and ...
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62 views

How would one go about pricing a FX future?

What model/equations would I require to calculate the price for a foreign exchange future? This is in an attempt to mitigate foreign exchange risk. Also, how could one measure a business's exposure to ...
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38 views

Option price with underlying growth rate distinct from discount rate

Consider a European style option. The price equation is $$\frac{\partial V}{\partial t} + \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2 S^2 \frac{\partial^2 V}{\partial S^2} + rS\frac{\partial V}{\partial S} - rV = 0 \tag1$$ ...
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27 views

Parametric Simulation of FX forwards

I need to simulate FX forwards for risk management (VaR) purposes. The problem is that the FX forwards are derived from : 1) Spot 2) int rates 3) and the basis. So the question is how do you ...
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0answers
43 views

Can you derive fx correlations given the historic correlations of base pairs

Say for USDJPY and GBPUSD, I have the historic data and calc the volatility and correlation between these pairs. Because GBPJPY = GBPUSD x USDJPY. Can I calculate the correlation for GBPJPY directly ...
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66 views

Performance Call on a Futures

I'm not a 100% on when a margin call is on a group of future contracts... The contract attributes were: ...
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0answers
165 views

How can we value NPV for a standard FX Swap?

hope you are all well! Was just wondering how we can value the NPV on the value date for a FX swap - i'm sure it's by evaluating the interest rate payable/receivable from the trade date until the ...
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0answers
81 views

Do Reuters or Eikon have intraday exchange rate data for minor currencies?

I need historical intraday exchange rate data (for a minor european currency - EURRSD) for my thesis. Not necessarily tick by tick - just prices at any interval below an hour will work. I guess there ...
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0answers
88 views

FX Average Forward Pricing

Lookin for documentation on how to price FX Arithmetic Average Rate Forwards. Couldn't find any info on textbooks. Any help is very appreciated.
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1answer
1k views

Pricing Uneven FX Swaps

I'm trying to figure out how to price uneven FX swaps. I just started on a FX trading desk and have been told that the all-in rate for a 2-legged FX swap is equal to: 1) Quote for market side of net ...
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0answers
25 views

Average monthly exchange rates causes translation error in consolidated books

I newly work for a multinational company with a corporate structure such that during consolidation, the books need to be translated multiple times and sometimes back to the original currency. I've ...
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0answers
45 views

forex backtesting spread cost modeling

For professional level forex trading, what is a reasonable estimate of roundtrip transaction costs (I am talking about major pairs, like EUR/USD).
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276 views

Quanto Factor - FX Forward

In the paper Quanto Options by Uwe Wystup the "quanto factor" $Q$ is used to describe forwards/options when quanto-ed into a different currency, e.g. $$\text{Quanto Forward Value} = Q \cdot e^{-r_Q T}...
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0answers
40 views

How does interest parity work with settlement dates?

Interest rate parity is typically proven as follows. Given one unit of a domestic currency, one can either convert it into $S$ units of the foreign currency and invest at the foreign risk free rate $...
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0answers
162 views

Dynamically adjusting the size of a Constant Range Bar (on an intraday fx chart)

Constant Range Bars (CRB) is a type of candlestick charting method that does not draw a new candle every unit of time (like every 1/5/15/30 minutes), but every time the range (high-low) of the ...
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0answers
36 views

How to delta-one hedge a IRD sensitivity on an intra-day basis (using eg, FX or bond futures)?

I'm looking to hedge an interest rate differential sensitivity (the output from a statistical model of spot FX rates) on an intraday frequency. What is the best way to do it? Important factors ...
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0answers
173 views

Net Exposure of FX Future

I'm a software developer currently working for an asset manager in their Risk department. I'm looking at Currency Futures and have a question I was hoping someone could put me right on. If I have a ...
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0answers
49 views

VaR of future foreign currency income stream

Assume I have a series of future incomes in a single foreign currency. How do I calculate the total VaR for this forex risk using the volatility method? My first thought was that I could simply add ...
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0answers
51 views

Definition of “From Currency” and “To Currency”?

I'm using a service provider to access FX data, and when requesting the ticker SWEUBOE which is the Bank of England's exchange rate for EUR and CHF, I get the ...
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0answers
48 views

Tail index estimation to prove non-stable fat tail distribution

Currently I am analysing the stylized facts for some EURO FX rates. This paper states that we can prove the fat tail distribution of the FX log returns via the computation of the tail index. For a ...
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0answers
108 views

The best process for foreign exchange rate

I have a simple research project and I need to explain a behavior of a foreign exchange rate. Could you propose a stochastic process without jumps so that it could be estimated with QMLE? Is GBM ...