Questions tagged [fx]

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no unified or centrally cleared market.

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Why are exotic options most popular in FX?

I was reading Derman's latest blog post on Vanna Volga pricing, which, according to the linked Wikipedia article, is used mostly for pricing exotic options on foreign exchange (FX). This Willmott ...
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FX option trading questions

Are all FX trades ( RR, BF, ATM)quoted in implied vol term delta neutral trades? If trades are not delta neutral at the initiation does that mean it is speculative trading? Why/ why not?
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Black model: Delta - strike relationship regardless of expiry?

While wandering through some QuantLib experimental classes for FX trading, I've found this Black Delta Calculator. By reading its .cpp, it seems that no use of ...
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161 views

Hedging EURUSD with negative rates

I was reading an article and i saw this : Fund managers based outside the eurozone can profit from buying Europe’s negative-yielding government debt thanks to an uplift from hedging the currency. ...
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643 views

Volatility and Counterparty risk for FX Forward

How does the change in FX volatility affect the counterparty risk of an FX-forward? Should it not be riskless since the forward itself is "protecting" the exchange rate fluctuations?
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U.S. Rate Hike Prediction

In a recent ft.com video an analyst mentioned that markets postponed their Fed rate hike expectation from September to around November 2015 due to the CNY devaluation, based on the "shift" of some "...
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How to use the Black-Scholes formula with LIBOR rates?

I want to price an FX option using the Black-Scholes model, but I don't know the risk free rate, nor the volatility. I only know the LIBOR rates, the strike, and that the expiration day is 87 days ...
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524 views

How to most optimally perform currency conversions when backtesting on portfolio level?

I am currently expanding my own strategy profiling and testing platform which partly consists of a portfolio backtesting module. The backtest engine processes tick based data (quotes for currencies, ...
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Multi asset option portfolio risk management (greeks and FX exposure)

I am running an options book containing listed options across multiple products. I trade mostly equity and index related options - with a preference for European expiration products. I trade products ...
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Existential question about currency exchange Risk Factor

Ciao All, I'm working to a problem about sensitivities for products with several ccy and this questions came out. For simplicity consider a linear product (a simple cash flow) w.r.t. the ccy ...
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129 views

Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
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Modelling currency exchange rates timeseries data across re-denomation dates

I am working with data for an exotic currency, that has been re-denominated a couple of times during the twenty years of data that I have. What is the best way of 'normalising' the data, so that I ...
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Equivalency of FX forwards and FX basis swaps for risk-management purposes

Can one deem an FX float-to-float swap and a FX forward equivalent on dates immediately after repricing? The reason I am asking, I am hedging something that can be modeled via an FX forward, I was ...
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How to check if relationship between two variable changes over time?

I am working on a commodity-exchange rate model as part of my thesis. My dependent variable is log of first difference of exchange rate of Colombia and my independent variable is log of first ...
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695 views

Changing timezones with historic forex data (Interactive Brokers API IBPy)

I would like to be able to change the timezone for my requests to the IB API, how can I do this? I am writing in Python, and thus use the IBPy wrapper found here. How to reproduce the problem: ...
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282 views

Simple question about FX carry trade

I have been reading online about the FX carry trade and how this can be profitable (in general). From my understanding, the idea is to be long (lend) the currency with higher interest rate and short (...
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Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
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330 views

Markov chain Monte Carlo Analysis of FX Options

I recently stumbled upon a paper titled "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis of Option Pricing Models" thanks to another post on this site (see: link). I have the ultimate goal of implementing a MCMC ...
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804 views

How trading in currency pair works, underlying techniques and mechanisms

I am somewhat experienced in Forex trading, but I have a question which has bothered me for quite some time. If we for instance go back in time four months, to before the beginning of value loss the ...
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Carry Trade vs synthetic Carry Trade using forward contracts

When it comes to foreign exchange carry trade strategy, the definition is straightforward: an investor borrows 1 US-\$ in the US (low interest country) and invests that \$1 to AU (high interest ...
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Why do FX Swaps have Interest Rate Risk?

I know that FX Swaps have FX Risk, but why do FX Swaps have Interest Rate Risk as well? Need some guidance on this.
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Does Yahoo/Google no longer support web-scraping of FOREX data?

I use Python 3.6 to develop quantitative FOREX trading strategies. I used to use Yahoo or Google in conjunction with pandas.datareader in order to collect forex ...
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where can i get data for foreign exchange order flow

I need data for my thesis research on liquidity of foriegn exchange for order flow (aggregated daily) per currency traded for a period over the last 10-15 years. help!!
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Cross Currency Swap

1) What is the difference between Cross Currency Swap and Cross Currency Basis Swap? Appreciate if this can be explained in layman's terms. 2) Could you advise me which swap rate to be used for the ...
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How do the following aspects lead to U.S. Repo shortfalls

A major theme in the markets this past week has been the repo rate hikes and the sudden disappearance of liquidity. Although most are confused as to the main reason, there seems to be a consensus on ...
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Expected currency depreciation given sovereign default

A country may default on its government debt (in any sense, e.g. miss a payment) within the next year. How would one estimate the expected (under the risk-neutral measure) currency depreciation by ...
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Place to get free live Forex quotes via API?

Are any free Forex data APIs available? There are a ton of historical data repositories that are freely available but what about a live, streaming data API? 1 minute updates or tick data would be ...
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FX forward curve building

Can someone explain which curves are used to calculate FX forward rates? I have the idea that it involves using the local OIS curves for both currencies, but my calculation shows that it is not the ...
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Risk-neutral density from spot prices?

I am currently working on a university project and I hope someone can help me out with a rather silly question :-) I want to analyse the change in the shape of risk-neutral density functions of spot ...
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Spot/Next and Tom/Next FX forward swaps

could somebody please tell me what is the main difference between Spot/Next and Tom/Next FX forward swaps? I know that both are used to roll spot FX position settlement to 1 day forward but I really ...
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Forex ECN for Algorithmic Trading

I'm looking for a forex brokerage that allows me to: add limit orders to the order book and trade against other clients However, when I look at the looks of fxcm, alpari, robofx, ... it appears all ...
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Why isn't a quanto adjustment needed in this case?

Suppose we have a contract with payoff $P_Y$ in currency $Y$, where $P_Y$ on a variable in currency $Y$. To calculate the value in $X$, we take the expected payout under $Y$-numeraire $E_Y(P_Y)$, ...
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167 views

What are recommended recovery techniques in arbitrage when one order doesn't fill?

Let's say you are running an arbitrage strategy in the Forex market. You see an opportunity to buy USD/JPY at 100 on exchange A, and sell USD/JPY at 105 on exchange B. You submit the buy and sell ...
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134 views

Why is spot FX standard if overnight forwards are available?

A spot FX transaction means agreeing to an FX rate to settle on a T+2 basis. Though there are transactions that deliver/settle overnight/T+1. Why is spot, therefore, the standard benchmark trade, and ...
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Change of numeraire in options with currency exchange features

FV of an EUR denominated option under "COP" risk measure is given by: $$V_t^{COP} = D^{COP} \mathbb{E}_t^{COP} \left[X_T(S_T -K)^+\right]$$ where $X_T$ is the exchange rate COP/EUR. Pricing the ...
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Papers and books related to “Forex” market microstructure

There are lots of papers and books on this topics but haven't seen much specific to forex markets nowadays. Any recommendation on recent papers or books?
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Garman-Kohlhagen (Black-Scholes) Formula vs. Bloomberg OVML Calculator

I'm trying to price a European call option on USDJPY. We have that $S = 112.79, K = 112.24, \sigma = 6.887\%, r_d = 1.422\%, r_f = -0.519\%, T = 0.25$. My model, based on Black-Scholes, returns the ...
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Where and how can I get FX intraday data for use it in R?

I need FX data (the most accurate possible) for use in R. Right now I have developed a script in Java to download the CSV file (from Oanda) and use this file to read it in R, but I think that is a ...
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232 views

Is there an efficient method or technique to find an arbitrage between two FX dealers?

I was able to solve the following problem and find the arbitrage but only after spending a long time on it and trying out different possibilites. Is there a method or technique that can help me find ...
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648 views

Test .mql4 (meta trader 4 editor) when the fx market offline

I am coding some simple .mql4 program, you know, the fx market is offline on weekend, and the market will be not shown in Meta trader 4 platform. I wanna test my program in meta trader 4 on weekend. ...
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Are there any software libraries for backtesting FX algorithms against tick data?

I've read question, however it doesn't appear as if any of those libraries work for FX data. A Google search for python forex backtesting turns up this project, ...
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FX Option strikes from ATM, RR, BF quotes

I am trying to replicate the results in Consistent Pricing of FX Options, A. Castagna and F. Mercurio. However, when I calculate the strike prices for 25-delta put and call and ATM I cannot get the ...
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285 views

FX options pricing exchange rate regimes

how can we estimate the impact of a exchange rate regime switch ( from fixed to float) on the options prices i'm talking about the moroccan case (EUR/MAD USD/MAD) options OTC , is there any stochastic ...
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235 views

Using Market Gamma to Predict FX Trading Environments

I want to test a hypothesis about using gamma to predict FX movements. Suppose that market makers will seek to be delta neutral given their portfolio of FX options. At any given time, market makers ...
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347 views

Is that a good way to work with the ARMA model?

I would like to share with you what I am doing to get your point of view, and to make a better trading system in collaboration. I am working on EURUSD forex, and I am trying to find a way to place ...
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4k views

Historical Data on $/yen forward exchange rates

Would anyone happen to know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between the yen and dollar?
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What Forex Services support the ForexConnect API?

I need API access to get ForEx tickers and order books for currency pairs. From what I can tell there is a .Net API called ForexConnect which I can use to get this data. Now where can I get this data ...
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764 views

Does DOM trading using broker data make any sense?

Can I use DOM information from Interactive Brokers? Does it make sense? I assume that it makes sense to apply some volume based algorithms only then when you know this order book, that you can get ...
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283 views

what is a typical way forex brokerages can provide cheap leverage for their customers?

I'm not very well read in the area of high finance but I'm curious how forex brokerages are able to provide the backing for leverage that they can provide to customers. Is it possible to do this ...
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What is the actual instrument traded with retail FX brokers

This question may seem inappropriate for this StackExchange but it's the pricing and actual return dynamics that define the instrument so you guys seem the most knowledgeable on this topic. I was ...