Questions tagged [geometric-brownian]

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On Geometric Brownian motion and Itô's formula

Let $S_t$ be a geometric brownian motion such as $$d S(t) = rS(t)dt +\sigma S(t)dW(t),$$ where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion. With Itô's lemma and formulas $(dt)^2=dtdW_t=dW_tdt=0$ and $(dW_t)^2=...
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46 views

Convert drift and diffusion term in terms of time in the Geometric Brownian Motion framework

Assume that we have daily prices covering the period of 10 years. For calibrating the drift and diffusion parameters of the GBM model $$S_{t+1} = S_{t}e^{[(\mu-\sigma^2/2)]\Delta t + \sigma \sqrt{\...
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74 views

Why do I get this difference when simulating geometric Brownian motion?

I tried simulating GBM using both the SDE definition and the closed form solution. The paths I get through these methods are very different. Can someone help me figure my mistake? ...
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80 views

Covariance of logarithms of geometric Brownian motion

Suppose I have a Geometric Brownian Motion process, $$dX_t=\mu X_t dt + \sigma X_t dW_t$$ I'd like to find the covariance of $\log(X_t)$ and $\log(X_s)$ where $s<t$. We can write $\log(X_t)$ in ...
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30 views

How to mathematically calculate the probability of GBM generating difference of less than some value

I have a custom index that follows Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) with volatility v. I started this index at 10k with 4 decimal places i.e the starting price of ...
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1answer
102 views

How To Understand the Drift of ln(S) if S Follows Geometric Brownian Motion

As we know, if an asset S follows geometric Brownian motion, under risk neutral measure, it can be expressed as $\frac{dS}{S}=rdt+\sigma dW$, by applying Ito's lemma, $d(lnS)=(r-0.5*σ^2)dt+σdW(t)$, ...
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63 views

GBM probability of hitting non constant barrier

I know there is a formula for probability of hitting a constant barrier for GBM/BM (See page 651 in Martinagle Methods in Financial Modelling). Is there a formula for non-constant barrier? The ...
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2answers
106 views

How to Understand Lognormal Distribution in the Following Case

I got a question and corresponding solution, but have some difficulties in understand the lognormal distribution part of it, so I really appreciate your advice: Question: assume zero interest rate ...
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1answer
44 views

Drawing values from a lognormal distribution of a GBM

I'm looking at a GBM with parameters $$ r=0.05 \\ \sigma=0.2 \\ K=130\\ T=0.25\\ S_0 = 100 $$ This is a process that is lognormally distributed with mean and variance given by $ \mu = S_0e^{r T+0.5\...
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62 views

Boundaries for Call Spread

I'm reading an interview book called A Practical Guide to Quantitative Finance Interview and I have some doubts regarding part of its solution and highlighted them in bold: Question: What are the ...
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1answer
167 views

Simulation of Geometric Brownian Motion in R

Using R, I would like to simulate a sample path of a geometric Brownian motion using \begin{equation*} S(t) = S(0) \exp\left(\left(\mu - \frac{\sigma^{2}}{2}\right)t + \sigma B_{t}\right), \end{...
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112 views

What the expectation of S^2 is from GBM? [closed]

I was at an interview and was asked to write down the SDE for GBM. $$ dS = S\mu dt + S\sigma dX $$ Then I was asked how I would compute the expectation of S^2. I didn't know where to start. Any ...
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149 views

What is the stock price expectation?

The Hull textbook (and accompanying technical note) says that the expected stock price $\mathbb{E}[S_T]=S_0 \exp(\mu T)$. However, the answers to a British actuarial examination (Q4 for September 2018)...