Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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118 views

How is Emanuel Derman's implied tree model implied volatility skew derived?

I am reading Emanuel Derman's paper Patterns of Volatility Change. The section, Implied Volatility In The Sticky Implied Tree Model has the linear skew approximation near the old underlying $S_0$ $$\...
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Local volatilty models for fixed maturity curves with sparse equity data

I'm implementing an options analytics platform - with sparse market data going out a few months. Mostly equities and fx options. Building a fixed maturity curve like the one on quikstrike by bantix is ...
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273 views

VXX Put pricing

Last week at Friday's close, the Dec 14 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.68 with VXX at \$40.29. This week at Friday's close, the Dec 21 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.38 with VXX at \$40.50....
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230 views

Vol, Gamma, Vega -- essentially all the same?

When talking to traders I hear this sentence a lot I am a buyer/seller of X where X = {vol, gamma, vega} Is X basically all the same -- they are just saying -- I think implied volatility is cheap or ...
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1answer
155 views

Put-call parity on SPY

I'm currently trying to model the IV curve for calls and puts on SPY using the Black-Scholes model with dividends. I'm able to calibrate the risk-free rate and dividends so that both ATM IVs match, ...
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56 views

Best way to measure time to expiration for options?

From my reading it seems that only trading days should be accounted for when calculating time to expiration. On the other hand, I see that VIX is calculated using every day until expiration without ...
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1answer
72 views

How to build a volatility surface for caps from the SABR model?

My end goal is to build a volatility surface for caps. It's well known that SABR model has Hagan approximation formulas for log-normal and normal implied volatilities of options, e.g. caplets, ...
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1answer
109 views

Predict option IV volatility when I have stock price and previous and next day price [closed]

If I have data for IV for the previous day the next da and the stock price in intraday format , can i calculate the option price in intrday format?
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1answer
83 views

IV on FOP (futures options) being higher than IV on equivalent ETF

I've been observing that options on /es has a higher IV than the options on SPY even though they're both tracking the S&P 500. What causes this? Doesn't this mean that the options on /es is more ...
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2answers
112 views

Swaption ATM Vol Quotes and Interpretation: Normal Vol to Black

How do you interpret the time-series of 1m10y black vol vs normal vol? Normal vol would have you believe, that rate vol has since 2000 been low whereas black vol would show you a different picture. ...
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111 views

Theoretical and practical drawbacks of using Deep Learning for calibration and pricing

I am investigating the suitability of using deep learning for pricing and calibration for the full implied volatility surface. Such examples of their application are in papers here and here. During ...
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1answer
76 views

Method to retrieve implied density for a mixture of local volatility model

Given a mixture model of two local volatility models, the price for an option is given by: $$V(K,T) = p V_{loc1}(K,T) + (1-p) V_{loc2}(K,T)$$ where $V_{loc}(K,T)$ is the price of the option given a ...
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49 views

Calibrate 1-factor Gaussian HJM model on forward rates and ATM caps prices

I'm trying to solve the following problem as a part of the Interest Rate Models course The algorithm that I'm following is derive simple rates from the given forward rates via $L(0, T_i) = \frac{(1+\...
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2answers
93 views

Early expiry option implied volatility

I’m new to this forum so first of all I wanna welcome everyone here. I am a commodity trader, mostly covering option books (vanilla and structured one) and I would ask more expert people how they can ...
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1answer
50 views

Inverting the Black formula for Cap price to find Black implied volatility

I'm solving the following problem as a part of Interest Rate Models class on Coursera I'm having a hard time using nonlinear root solver to invert the Black formula for Cap price in order to obtain a ...
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Spot-Vol Correlation ITM Receiver Swaption

I am new to the term Spot-Vol Correlation. As far as I understand it describes the "relationship" between the spot rate and the implied volatility. So I heard when we are ATM it means that ...
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Variance swap volatility - ATMF vol, Skew and Curvature

In a pure diffusion setting, it is a well known result that the volatility $\sigma_T$ of a fresh-start variance swap of maturity $T$ as seen of $t=0$ verifies \begin{align} \sigma_T^2 &= \Bbb{E}_0^...
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Computing the Variance Risk Premium

The Variance Risk Premium (VRP) is defined as: $$VRP(t,t+\Delta t) \equiv RV(t,t+\Delta t)^2 - IV_t(t,t+\Delta t)^2$$ where $RV^2$ is the realized variance between $t$ and $t + \Delta t$ and $IV_t^2$ ...
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1k views

Daily Return to Approximate Annualized Realized Volatility 16 or 20?

Sometimes traders approximate realized volatility to compare it to the annualized implied volatilities in options by multiplying the 1-day daily return (as a substitute for the daily volatility since ...
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2answers
353 views

Effect of Implied volatility on option delta

I am currently hedging a short put option where strike is 6027 and expiry is 30th Mar 2023. As per my understanding when option is ITM increase in volatility will decrease the delta and decrease in ...
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498 views

Implied Volatility - Historical data

I'm wondering if there's a place where I can find free or very cheap historical implied volatility data. Specifically, I'm looking to get at least a few years' worth of daily IV data for maybe a few ...
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54 views

change in implied volatility with respect to change in spot

It's clear that IV increases as spot decreases, and vice-versa. In pricing an option, is there any model that is useful in estimating the change in IV with change in spot price? For example, if the ...
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1answer
136 views

Expected stock price range using implied volatility calculated by Black-Scholes

What's the correct way to calculate the expected stock price range using implied volatility, without the simplifying assumption that the stock price follows a normal distribution?
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54 views

Compare rich / cheap options on 2 underlyings

this question can turn out to be very basic but its something that has been bugging me. Say I want to buy/sell an option on A vs sell/buy an option on B. Facts I know A and B are different ...
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1answer
176 views

Why does volatility increase the expense of delta-hedging?

Consider someone that writes a call, and wishes to delta-hedge against it to remain delta neutral. For this to be profitable, the price they sell this option for should be greater than or equal to the ...
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1k views

What is "implied skew" and "spot/vol beta"?

I saw a chart which showed implied skew and spot/vol covariance (I assume) and I was wondering what these terms actually mean and how to "back them out" of Option prices or vols? Here is the ...
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38 views

Filtering options for IV surface and construction for cryptocurrencies

I'm new to quant finance and currently working on my first project.I'm trying to construct the Implied volatility surface for cryptocurrencies from deribit ( as options from deribit are the most ...
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4answers
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Value of Call Option as Volatility goes to Infinity

Why would the value of a call option go infinity as volatility goes to infinity? I understand how you could solve this question by taking $\sigma \rightarrow \infty$ in the solution to the black ...
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2answers
242 views

Black-Scholes: Volatility Smile "sharpens" with time to expiry

I have tried to calculate IV and log-moneyness (=log(S/K)) for different times to expiry (M = less than 1 month, Q = less than 1 quarter, S = less than 1/2 of an year, Y = less than 1 year, Y (+) = ...
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Overestimation of the implied vol of a delta hedge option

Considering the following example : A bank sells a 1y european option with a 20% implied vol. The option is delta hedged until maturity and it turns out the realized vol on this period was actually 12%...
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1answer
52 views

Fitting parameters given an inverse function. (Orosi, 2015)

In trying to replicate Orosi's (2015) 5-parameter implied volatility model, but I can't wrap my head around the parameter fitting procedure Orosi proposes. My main goal is to calibrate the model to my ...
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1answer
63 views

Do single name stock option volatility surfaces exhibit steeper volatility smiles after stock price crash episodes?

In index options, there was not much of a smile (on the put-side) until the 1987 market crash. I'm wondering if the same applies to single name stocks? That is, do price crashes in individual stocks ...
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R: How do i finish the tails in the risk neutral density, obtained from option prices

Im currently working on constructing the risk neutral probability distribution of a stock, based on the option prices. In doing so, i calculate the implied volatilities from the option prices, and ...
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1answer
89 views

Martingale proof: Call-prices must be increasing in maturity

I have observed that IV is increasing with time to maturity by using market prices and plotting IV (from Black-Scholes) against log-moneyness, $\log(S_t/K)$. $S_t$ being the price of the stock at time ...
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Is $C(K,S_t)$ a (local) martingale if PCS is broken?

When put-call symmetry holds $$ P(S_t,K) = C(K,S_t) = \frac{K}{S_t} C \left( S_t, \frac{S_t^2}{K} \right) $$ where $P$ is the market price of a put option and $C$ is the market price of a call option. ...
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What is "level" and "term" in Derman figures?

Im doing my final thesis about implied volatility. In the last section I am talking (not too much deep) about volatility surface. Im using the figure below to show the differences between the real ...
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1answer
188 views

Why is implied volatility often higher for OTM/ITM european call options than ATM? [closed]

I am working on some Black-Scholes stuff and currently investigating implied volatility (IV). I understand that the typical volatility smile can be viewed as a criticism of the assumption about ...
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717 views
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How to price a call option with long maturity (5 to 10 years)

I am trying to find the industry accepted method on how to price a long term American call option (maturities 5 to 10 years) on an underlying which is an accumulation fund (so no dividend payouts) ...
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1answer
82 views

No-arbitrage bounds on Implied Volatility under Black-Scholes

Suppose the overnight (1-day) at-the-money implied volatility is X% and the two week (14-day) at-the-money implied volatility is also X%. How would I go about finding the upper and lower no-arbitrage ...
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1answer
69 views

When are parameters calibrated using one option type applicable to price other option types on the same underlying?

I am coding up some basic models to show prospective employers, but I am forced to guess "what is done in practice" since I don't yet work in the industry. I am implementing various ...
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4answers
718 views

ATM volatility for FX options

I am quite familiar with equity implied volatility and smiles. However, I find it quite confusing and unclear when it comes to FX. I read many materials but could not get a grasp of the notion of ATM ...
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1answer
224 views

MBS Market Duration & Convexity

Soft question...hopefully. I am working on a swaption hedging strategy. Part of this strategy calls for a forward looking indication of changes in implied volatility, using 1m10y implied as a proxy ...
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1answer
286 views

Realized Variance (realized volatility)

I'm confused about realized variance. I roughly know the theory around Ito Calculus and quadratic variation and integrated volatility so I understand what realized variance measures (even though as ...
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1answer
88 views

Implied volatility and realized volatility

There are many articles and posts here claiming that the implied volatility is the expectation of future realized volatility. I don't understand. To begin with, isn't implied volatility homogeneous to ...
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72 views

Bates Model on Quantlib

I am actively trying to price an option using bates model on Quantlib.However,when I input my volatility I find the same Black Prices with the basic Heston Model.I wanted to know if my code was right. ...
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41 views

CEV Model Pricing-Implied Volatility Surface

I am trying to validate a local volatility model (Dupire) and I was told to do the following in order to validate it. With a deterministic model as it is the CEV model, I have to price several options ...
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37 views

Realized volatility calculations from real dataset

I am working with a dataset from: http://web.math.ku.dk/~rolf/Svend/ named data 1. I'm currently setting up a delta hedge for periods of 3 months. So currently we are starting at the start data of the ...
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1answer
103 views

Volatility surface interpolation for Black-Scholes delta hedging

A general question for interpolation method for implied volatility between tenors. I've recently stumbled accross a dataset from http://www.math.ku.dk/rolf/Svend/, and I would like to interpolate the ...
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2answers
178 views

Does fear or greed drive option prices?

Frequently we hear that implied volatility being higher (as measured by VIX) indicates fear in the stock market. It is assumed that investors buy more puts for downside protection, driving put option ...

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