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Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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Bjerksund and Stensland model, reasonable minimum value for Volatility?

I am looking at an implementation of Bjerksund and Stensland (2006), and notice that it doesn't work well for very small volatilities. What is a reasonable minimum volatility to use in an algorithm ...
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41 views

Understanding the ZABR model (an extension of SABR)

http://janroman.dhis.org/finance/SABR/ZABR%20Andreasen.pdf In this acticle the SABR model is first presented in another form ( see equation 7 in the article ) and then extended to the so called ZABR ...
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60 views

Black-Scholes volatility implied by stock prices only

I was solving Problem 2.47 from T.F. Crack's "Heard on the Street". I think that the answer given in the book is not correct and I would be thankful if you tell me, where I am mistaken. Question 2....
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1answer
416 views

Interest rates forward implied volatility models

I'm trying to find out which model to use to price a pur forward volatility product named VolBond marketed by structuring desks currently. Let me introduce the products first: Example 1: You pay 100 ...
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1answer
486 views

Transforming 3M volatilities into 6M volatilities in EUR forecast curves

I have implemented a stripping algorithm to extract forward volatilities from cap/floor flat volatilities for different currencies. I am however struggling a bit when implementing a method to convert ...
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103 views

VXX Put pricing

Last week at Friday's close, the Dec 14 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.68 with VXX at \$40.29. This week at Friday's close, the Dec 21 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.38 with VXX at \$40.50....
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71 views

Volatility of a stock basket

to determine the volatility of a basket of stocks, I often use the following formula: $\sigma_{basket}=\sum_{i}\sum_{j}w_i w_j \sigma_i \sigma_j \rho_{ij}$ where the $\sigma$ are the constituents' ...
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Confusion about CEV model

Under the CEV model the stock price has the following dynamics: $dS_t=\mu S_tdt+\sigma S_t^\gamma dW_t$, where $\sigma\geq0, $ $\gamma\geq0$. According to Wikipedia, if $\gamma <1$ the ...
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64 views

Implied volatility as break-even delta hedge volatility

There have been some posts on this topic, but not what I am looking for, so a new post on an old topic.. I think some/most of us here are familiar with the following formula expressing implied ...
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0answers
38 views

Determinant of index implied vol

I find that unlike individual stocks, whose option trading and implied vol can be traced to the underlying liquidity and short-ability, the determinant of implied vol on index ETFs is quite confusing. ...
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34 views

Pricing forward start Cliquet option with implied volatility with Dupire

I have the following implied volatility matrix of a stock index downloaded the 15th February 2019, the value of the stock was 3188.44 at the time: ...
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1answer
124 views

Effect of Vol-of-Vol on VIX

What is the effect of vol-of-vol of an underlying on the VIX Index? The VIX is computed as hedging portfolio of log contracts to isolate pure volatility exposure without specifying an underlying ...
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1answer
95 views

Why isn't this IV calc correct?

I'm trying to calculate implied volatility for the following put option: Stock price = 185.55 Strike = 180 Option price = 3.00 Days to expire = 63 I've run the ...
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27 views

Negative rates, what is assumed for short caplets to derive implied volatilities on long maturities

I have been looking at Black implied volatility data for caps with the Euribor 6M underlying. With negative rates many of the shorter maturity caps have no listed volatilities, and this I completely ...
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38 views

GARCH(1,1) one-step ahead volatility forecast biased, higher than Parkinson's HL volatility

I am trying to create one-step ahead forecasts for the S&P500 using a GARCH(1,1) model. I am using the rugarch package in R. As you can see, the forecasted points are consistently higher than the ...
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1answer
102 views

Dependence of implied volatility on spot-vol correlation

I have the following general SV model: $$ dS = \sigma S dW_S $$ $$ d\sigma = a(\sigma,t) dt + b (\sigma, t) dW_\sigma $$ $$ dW_S dW_\sigma = \rho dt $$ where $a , b$ are deterministic functions of $\...
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1answer
40 views

MBS Market Duration & Convexity

Soft question...hopefully. I am working on a swaption hedging strategy. Part of this strategy calls for a forward looking indication of changes in implied volatility, using 1m10y implied as a proxy ...
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1answer
110 views

Strategy for implied volatility

I encountered this question: "A trader observed that the implied vol of OTM calls and puts are higher than that of ATM option, what is the best strategy among: Calendar Spread, Bull Spread, Bear ...
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1answer
925 views

FX Option strikes from ATM, RR, BF quotes

I am trying to replicate the results in Consistent Pricing of FX Options, A. Castagna and F. Mercurio. However, when I calculate the strike prices for 25-delta put and call and ATM I cannot get the ...
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2answers
69 views

Volatility smile shows individual Put and Call IV or combination

IV is calculated per strike AND option type basis(for example WTI 50 CALL its x and WTI 50 PUT its y). The question is when its shown in "Smile" its just shown on strike basis, so does that mean lower ...
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153 views

No arbitrage conditions for normal implied volatility

usually the term implied volatility refers to Black-Scholes implied volatility (also Log-Normal volatility): it is defined as a quantity which when plugged in the Black-Scholes formula returns the ...
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2answers
450 views

High-frequency historical IV data

Where can I buy historical IV data for specific individual stocks on specific days calculated at least once-per-min (preferably once-per-second)?
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1answer
372 views

CBOE Index Minute Data

I am doing a small research and looking for a place to purchase historical minute CBOE Index data. I am interested in: VIX - CBOE Volatility Index VVIX - CBOE VIX VOLATILITY INDEX VXV - CBOE VIX ...
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427 views

Variance swap volatility - ATMF vol, Skew and Curvature

In a pure diffusion setting, it is a well known result that the volatility $\sigma_T$ of a fresh-start variance swap of maturity $T$ as seen of $t=0$ verifies \begin{align} \sigma_T^2 &= \Bbb{E}_0^...
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1answer
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Is there a simple, intuitive derivation (using Taylor series) of the following approximation to Vega-weighted Implied Volatility?

The approximation is: $$\sigma \approx \frac{\sum V_j\sigma_j}{\sum V_j}$$ Background information from the first answer to this post: "Say that you have a portfolio of options with prices $P_j$. ...
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1answer
458 views

“Extract” the density of the underlying, given the implied volatility “surface”

Suppose given implied volatility quotations $\widehat{\sigma}(T_i,K_j)$ of call options on an underlying $S$ for various expiries $T_i$'s and strikes $K_j$'s. I am interested in the following problem :...
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How can the implied volatility be calculated?

We all know if you back out of the B.S. option pricing model you can solve for what the option is "implying" about the underlyings volatility. Is there a simple, closed form, formula deriving Implied ...
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33 views

Alternatives to implied or historical volatility for calculating implied correlation

For my thesis, I'm trying to calculate implied correlation values from bivariate options. I train my model on 10 years of returns data, price the options, and then invert Stulz's Formula (basically ...
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1answer
312 views

SVI negative rates

I've used the SVI model in the past for equity option which worekd quite well. I came across a post on Wilmott where someone said hes using SVI for swaption as well. I would like to test the model and ...
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1answer
132 views

Implied volatility in Monte Carlo models

Suppose I want to get the implied volatility for a given option, whose process does not generate a closed-form formula. In that framework, how is the IV calculated, given the fact that bisection ...
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0answers
65 views

Can implied volatility be 0?

I am calculating IV for intraday options and sometimes I am getting the value as "0"? Is that possible? For example: Strike = 26700 PE Fut = 26962.55 Spot = 26902.55, TimeToExpiry = 797340sec. Price ...
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1answer
88 views

Short time to maturity behaviour of implied volatility

There are several perturbative expansions in derivatives literature on the short-time to maturity behaviour of implied volatility. When it comes to implied volatility in (local) stochastic volatility ...
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0answers
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Why historical volatility is calculated as N-days annualized?

Annualized historical volatility is always calculate with 10-, 20- days time window. I don't quite understand. Compare with annualized historical return, annualized historical return is never ...
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2k views

Which volatilities should I use for Quanto Options?

Quanto options pricing formula, as described in this paper is a function of two volatilities: one from the underlying asset and another from the exchange rate. How can I read the "right" volatilies ...
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0answers
108 views

Fitting Gatheral's SVI model

I was considering using Gatheral's formula for fitting option skew. In the specific (commodity) market that I am concerned with, the underlying is ca. at 50, and typically 5 integer strikes left and ...
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4answers
20k views

How to derive the implied probability distribution from B-S volatilities?

The general problem I have is visualization of the implied distribution of returns of a currency pair. I usually use QQplots for historical returns, so for example versus the normal distribution: ...
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3answers
215 views

What does Volatility Smile tell? [closed]

Could you please share your opinions about Volatility Smile? What does it tell us when it gets more convex or when its level changes over time or any other change on it. Any paper/work/blog ...
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0answers
117 views

Jim Gatheral's claim on the decay of the effect of jumps on the final return distribution

I got a full answer for my question on Jim Gatheral's book The Volatility Surface. I am going to try my luck again on another question on the same book. In Section The Decay of Skew Due to Jumps on ...
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1answer
169 views

python scipy optimize minimize arguments for Implied Volatility

I am having some trouble getting the 'correct' solution to a function where I am trying to utilize scipy.optimize.minimize. In the code below, I create a function <...
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0answers
83 views

Using SVI model for IV surface

I am using well-known paper of J. Gatheral & A. Jacquier Arbitrage-free SVI volatility surface to explore SVI model. on the page 6 in the bottom is statet that The SVI-Jump-Wings (SVI-JW) ...
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1answer
164 views

What is market standard model in equity, FX and interest rates exotics?

Is there any industry consensus about the model to use for pricing exotics in equity, FX and interest rates? I assume that for vanilla options they all use Black model, but how about exotics? Also, ...
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2answers
333 views

The name conventions such as ATM, Risk reversal and Butterflies to construct volatility surface

Why people call (vol call - vol put) risk reversal when risk reversal actually is (call 25 delta -put detlta +25)? when constructing volatility surface? The vol of risk revesal should not be vol call -...
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1answer
75 views

Volatility surface tenors

I don't think this has been asked before, but are the tenors on a volatility surface out of spot date for the currency pair or out of value T+0?
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36 views

The Free Boundary SABR: Natural Extension to Negative Rates

In the paper by Antonov, Konikov and Spector An alternative approximation for the SABR model is presented. I'm interested to implement the formula for the ATM swaptions implied volatilities in the ...
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2answers
537 views

Sticky Strike or Sticky Delta

Given market tick data for a single tenor for a futures and a set of options on the futures, how can I say if the IVs in the market at this point is sticky strike or sticky delta? I was trying to ...
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2answers
394 views

How do they calculate stocks implied volatility?

I know the construction of Black-Scholes model and how do we solve it for an Implied Volatility. But in general, which option ...
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2answers
216 views

How is volatility different from variance?

I always thought volatility was just variance ^ (1/2). Now I'm reading this book and it's saying that the two are different concepts. Excerpts include: Partly due to its use in Black-Scholes, ...
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1answer
209 views

Vanilla Option Prices from Local Vol Surface (using neither MC nor PDE)

There are numerous papers that describe the derivation of the Local-Vol equation using available market prices of options. For example: Dupire's formula (see e.g. OpenGamma (2013)) gives us LV in ...
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75 views

Alternative Method for Determining Option-Implied pdf

As I am refining a pricing model to incorporate skew, and not just ATM volatilities, I need to create random realizations of the underlying consistent with the skew-implied pdf. When searching, one ...
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57 views

Term structure of the ATM implied volatility of short term weekly options

It's an empirical fact that the implied volatility of short term weekly options are significantly higher than options that expire in a few weeks, and the volatility of the near term options get even ...