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Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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Forward implied volatility

Can one price accurately by only using vanilla options a derivative that is exposed/sensitive mainly to the forward volatility ? If it is impossible in the real world, what do we mean by saying "...
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42 views

Calculating daily underlying move from options volatility?

My broker has provided a risk report that shows our options book shocked at various standard deviation moves of the underlying. Their report has the future at $66.64, ATM Vol at 23.74% with 2 days ...
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What is the difference between forward volatility swap and FVA?

Specifically looking at FX but i guess it's a general question. any good reference would be appreciated. FVAs are not mentioned in Derman's paper ("More than you ever wanted to Know about volatility ...
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Effect of Volatility Regime on Volatility Smile

For short-term FX options, I find empirically that the degree of curvature of the smile (OTM/ATM in %) is higher in low volatility environments. Similar results are found by Pena et al. ("Why do we ...
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108 views

Estimating at-the-money volatility where at-the-money option is absent from the market

I am trying to estimate the intraday ATM volatility in a market where the the strike prices are relatively sparse thus the ATM option may not exist (let's say the closest strike is about 2% away from ...
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1answer
54 views

Literature on quoting vol surfaces in the absence of listed option prices [duplicate]

What are some of the modern methods used to price equity volatilities "the most accurately possible" when there are very few listed derivative prices available or even none at all? Do the pricers in ...
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Implied Volatility of a call plus its delta

I would like to understand if exists a smart way to imply the volatility from a quote that is the sum of a call and its delta: is there any method other than simple iterative minimization?
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2answers
175 views

How should I convert FX Volatility Surface from one base currency to another?

This might be a very simple question but I wanted to understand how to convert FX volatility surface points which are quoted in one base currency to another currency? Eg I have fx vol quoted in EUR ...
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1answer
87 views

SPX Convexity Spread

In this report on volatility from BNP Paribas, https://globalmarkets.bnpparibas.com/r/Volatility_Express_20171128.pdf?t=BG3REXwMP3NZJRN7wY5Vt&stream=true it states on Page 10 that the SPX ...
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285 views

Comparing historical to implied volatility

As title states, I am trying to compare historical to implied volatility of a stock. I approximate the single implied volatility (30 days forward) of the stock by first finding 2 series that ...
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88 views

Vega with SVI Gatheral bumps

How would one go about computing a vega profile of an exotic derivative where the volatility surface is modeled using Gatheral's SVI parameterization? In particular, I am thinking about bumping each ...
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1answer
377 views

CMS spread vanilla options quotation

How are vanilla (call/put) options on CMS spread quoted on the markets ? Through an implied (normal/lognormal) volatility with a normal/lognormal model on the spread in the forward measure ?
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235 views

Forward Skew in the Local Volatility Model

How does the local volatility model cause a forward skew? How is this different to the skew observed for future tenors in the vol surface?# Also how do LV models underestimate vol of vol?
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1answer
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Implied volatility of inverse quote

Suppose I have a quote of INR/USD and the implied vol surface is also given. Is it theoritically correct to use to same implied vol for analysis of the inverse quote, i.e. USD/INR. Correct me if I am ...
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calculating implied volatility of Asian Option

I am new to the site. I saw another similar question but I can't comment on it because of low rep. I wanted to know how the volatility of an Asian is calculated. I was thinking that a weighted ...
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1answer
196 views

Difference in exposure between delta hedged options, ATM straddles and delta hedged straddles

What is the difference in exposures between delta hedged options, ATM straddles and delta hedged straddles. They all seem to provide the same thing, which is exposure to volatility. What are the ...
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High-frequency historical IV data

Where can I buy historical IV data for specific individual stocks on specific days calculated at least once-per-min (preferably once-per-second)?
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Gamma Pnl vs Vega Pnl

Why does Gamma Pnl have exposure to realised volatility, but Vega Pnl only has exposure to implied volatility? I am confused as to why gamma pnl is affected (more) by IV and why vega pnl isnt affected ...
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474 views

Value of Call Option as Volatility goes to Infinity

Why would the value of a call option go infinity as volatility goes to infinity? I understand how you could solve this question by taking $\sigma \rightarrow \infty$ in the solution to the black ...
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2answers
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Autocallable pricing under stochastic vs. local volatility

I am interest in the reason why an Autocallable (structured product) is cheaper under local volatility compared to stochastic volatility. I thought this was due to the following: when thinking in ...
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Anomaly detection in volatility skews / term structure

I'm currently working on some algorithms to help the risks team detect anomalies in the volatilities of equities that are pushed every day in the systems. I quickly thought about using clustering ...
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What methods are there for parametrizing a volatility surface?

As the title says, what methods exists for parametrizing a volatility surface. More in detail, if i have a matrix of implied volatilitys based on time and strike price, obtained from the Black-Scholes ...
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Local variance derivation by Gatheral

I've bought Gatheral's book on Local Volatility and I have troubles with understanding a part where he shows that local variance is a conditional expectation of instantaneous variance. Why in the ...
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1answer
144 views

Proof for ATM delta with Local col

I am looking at a time-homogeneous local volatility model where ATM implied volatility equals ATM local volatility: $\sigma_{imp}(S_0)=\sigma_{local}(S_0)$ ATM IV Skew = half of LV slope In general $\...
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SSR definition in Bergomi in relation to sticky strike and sticky delta

In Bergomi [Stochastic Vol Modelling] (Sec. 2.5.2), in the section on surface dynamics, the following definition of the "Skew Stickiness Ratio" (SSR) is made: $$ SSR = \dfrac{1}{\mathcal{S}_T}\frac{d\...
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Jim Gatheral's assertion on ATM implied volatility vs. square root variance

In Jim Gatheral's book The Volatility Surface Section Dependence on Skew and Curvature on page 138, he asserts that We know that the implied volatility of an at-the-money forward option in the ...
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335 views

MTM Hedging Performance of Vanna-Volga

I was wondering how well Vanna-Volga (VV) Implied Vols "perform". So I experimented with the following option parameters $$S_0=100,\ K=92,\ r=0.03,\ q=0.01,\ T=2$$ and VV parameters $$K_1,K_2,K_3=...
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Implied Vol skew VS Local Vol skew (as presented by Derman 1995)

I am reading Derman's article/notes regarding local volatilty: http://www.emanuelderman.com/writing/entry/the-local-volatility-surface. I am examining the graph on page 13. The Implied volatility (...
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1answer
389 views

Obtaining swaption prices from lognormal volatility quotes

I am working with the following dataset from quandl: https://www.quandl.com/databases/CSWO (I'm using the sample dataset only). My question is how to obtain the swaption prices from the quotes given. ...
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1answer
68 views

Which volatility input for in-arrear convexity correction?

When pricing a Libor-in-arrear swap, I am using the following formula (for the cashflow covering the period $[T_{i-1}, T_i]$, ie. paid at $T_i$ and resetting at $T_i$): $V(t) = P(t,T_i)F(t;T_i,T_{i+1}...
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2answers
703 views

Marking implied vol surface daily with sticky strike and sticky delta

Suppose that implied vol surfaces are calibrated once per month due to data restrictions (i.e. option data is only available at month end). How can a trading desk remark their vol surfaces on a daily ...
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0answers
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American options — doing better than Black's approximation when $r = 0$

I am trying to find the implied volatility smile for an American call option with a known dividend during the option tenor. For the sake of argument, let's say today is Jan 1, the dividend $D$ is paid ...
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Implied Volatility of cross currency pairs

Been looking for this... Is there any way we can infer directly, say GBP-JPY's 1-year volatility from GBP-USD's and USD-JPY's? Many thanks.
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Research topic on volatility

Currently studying about volatility, VIX and implied volatility as well as option pricing via stochastic volatility models. My question is how these are used in real life except of speculation. Do ...
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2answers
202 views

Flaw in the following argument with Binary Options and Skew

A Binary option is ATM and expires tomorrow. If the skew of the vanilla options steepens (left side up, right side down) what happens to the price of the Binary Option. I know that using a ...
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Why hasn't SVXY recouped more of its lost value as vol has crashed in the past 2 weeks?

SVXY fell from around \$140 to \$9. It has since bounced back 25% to around \$12. Vix futures went from the 11-14 range to 35 and now back to 17-18. SVXY holds a short position in Vix futures with ...
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2answers
113 views

Nature of short VIX strategies

By now, we all pretty much know that the recent upsurge in the VIX Index caused the spectacular failure of some Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) or Exchange-Traded Notes (ETNs) written on it. An ...
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1answer
135 views

Rebasing of Cap Volatilities

I recently found this article where towards the end the author describes a method to rebase cap volatilities. Their method works like this: for a fixed strike assume that you are given the implied ...
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1answer
380 views

Use of cap volatilities

I have a cap volatility surface for the 6 months Libor. Can I use the same cap volatility for every cap's caplet to valuate the full cap? Example: Valuate a 18M cap (Libor 6M) by valuating 3 6M ...
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Regressing Implied Volatility on Historical Volatility - Should I regress using daily returns?

I am trying to scope out the main drivers of implied volatility from a series of different historical volatilities. The objective being to be able to make a fair estimate of implied volatility in ...
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Jim Gatheral's claim on the decay of the effect of jumps on the final return distribution

I got a full answer for my question on Jim Gatheral's book The Volatility Surface. I am going to try my luck again on another question on the same book. In Section The Decay of Skew Due to Jumps on ...
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Jim Gatheral's ansatz

In the Ansatz section of Jim Gatheral's book Volatility Surface (page 32), he assumes $$\mathbb E[x_s|x_T]=x_T\frac{\hat w_s}{\hat w_T}$$ where $\hat w_t:=\int_0^t \hat v_s ds$ is the expected total ...
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1answer
112 views

Data on Options on US-Treasury Futes

I am working on an assignment on the Implied Volatility Surface for the options on US-Treasury futures (ZB, ZN, ZF, etc.). I need data on bid and ask, Imp. Vol, Price of underlying etc. Do you know a ...
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No arbitrage conditions for normal implied volatility

usually the term implied volatility refers to Black-Scholes implied volatility (also Log-Normal volatility): it is defined as a quantity which when plugged in the Black-Scholes formula returns the ...
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2answers
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Implied Volatility of stock on Think or Swim

Think or swim has this thing where they have do a implied volatility of a stock. I have chatted with the TOS people but they aren't terribly helpful. Regardless they did send me two images of what ...
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2answers
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Local vol, stochastic vol, implied vol

I've been studying volatility modelling over past the few days; in particular, the connections between local vol, stochastic vol, implied vol. I've been reading Gatheral's book "The volatility surface"...
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1answer
257 views

Quantlib: AmericanOption implied volatility / root not bracketed

When I apply the americanoptionimpliedvolatility function in the following format: ...
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58 views

Equity Options - “How do I build a forward simulation model with regards to shocks in spot pricing and IV?”

I am trying to build a "What-If" Portfolio, consisting of a total of 20 options, across different tenors, strikes (delta), but on the same security. Simply put, the objective is for me to test the ...
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348 views

(C++) Monte Carlo pricer for SABR model to test Hagan / Paulot formulas

I'm trying to test the so-called Hagan formula (p.6 of this paper) and the Paulot formula, order 1 only (eq. (43) p.19 of this paper. For this, i'm trying to use both Euler and Milstein scheme ...
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1answer
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How are the BKM risk-neutral moments derived?

I've been doing a lot of research on implied volatility skewness, and one of the most commonly cited papers I've come across is "Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing ...