Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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Jim Gatheral's ansatz

In the Ansatz section of Jim Gatheral's book Volatility Surface (page 32), he assumes $$\mathbb E[x_s|x_T]=x_T\frac{\hat w_s}{\hat w_T}$$ where $\hat w_t:=\int_0^t \hat v_s ds$ is the expected total ...
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Autocallable option Delta

There have been numerous exotic trading desk blow ups lately, related to various reasons. However, in particular, one bank had some issues where they were pricing autocallable notes with Local ...
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Implied vol bounded if and only if instantaneous vol bounded

I'd like to show that in diffusion models IV is bounded iff instantaneous vol is bounded if there is to be no arbitrage. So, assume a model under the pricing measure of the form $$ dS_u = \sigma_u S_u ...
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Arbitrage free smoothing of volatility smile - cubic spline - implementation procedure

I am studying the paper Arbitrage-Free Smoothing of the Implied Volatility Surface, from Matthias R. Fengler (https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/6978470.pdf). The problem I want to solve is much simpler ...
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compute time from FX forward, how use DEPO rates?

assume I have following delta-term vol data from broker: ...
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Measuring implied move priced into an event

It's well known that options price in an expected move in the underlying going into events, such as earnings announcements. I currently measure this implied move by computing the forward variance ...
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6 votes
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Procedure/methodology for building equity volatility surface

EDIT: I update while making progress: I am trying to build (model implied) volatility surfaces for individual equities. I will use these surfaces to calibrate models to price different derivatives (...
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(C++) Monte Carlo pricer for SABR model to test Hagan / Paulot formulas

I'm trying to test the so-called Hagan formula (p.6 of this paper) and the Paulot formula, order 1 only (eq. (43) p.19 of this paper. For this, i'm trying to use both Euler and Milstein scheme ...
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How companies choose earnings release dates, & effect on Implied Volatility

A company's earnings release date significantly affects weekly or monthly option prices/implied volatility. For companies that typically release earnings on the cusp of monthly options expiration, ...
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How are VIX futures being priced when the VIX itself is not being calculated because of circuit breakers

I see that CBOE has halted trading all SPX options, which means the VIX cannot be calculated. Yet VIX futures are still trading and we are very close to the last trade date for the March contract. I ...
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5 votes
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Closed formula for computing Implied Volatility from Local Volatility function

The main result of this paper (Asymptotics and Calibration in Local Volatility Models, Berestycki, Busca, and Florent. Quantitative Finance, 2002) is equation (16) on page 63, that states that: In the ...
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asymptotic behavior of the pdf constraints due to Roger Lee

In a beautiful paper, http://math.uchicago.edu/~rl/moment.pdf, Roger Lee (2004) shows that implied variance is bounded above by a function linear in the log-strike k. Does anybody know how it ...
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Anyone know if this daily report discontinue to publish? Goldman Sachs - "Global Index Volatility and Correlation Monitor"

I used to receive this daily report in my workplace from Goldman Sachs mailing list but the mailing list discontinued in May 2019 without any notice. The report is an pdf attachment which send from "...
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Quantitative approaches to measuring the effectiveness of a Stock Option Pricing Model?

My question contains many parts, but I will try to keep it somewhat focused. I am primarily looking for a framework to evaluate the accuracy of a stock-focused Options Pricing Model. One of the ...
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Implied volatility from American options using python

I am currently trying to construct volatility surface from american option prices (using Cox-Ross-Rubinstein tree) in Python 2.7. Below you can find the code I came up with. Any corrections would be ...
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Caplet stripping in the bwd-looking RFR world with/without maturity adjustment

Since the beginning of this year, LIBOR rates have ceased in some markets like GBP, CHF, and JPY and rates pricing has moved into the RFR space, using compounded overnight rates as the underlying for ...
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Bates Model on Quantlib

I am actively trying to price an option using bates model on Quantlib.However,when I input my volatility I find the same Black Prices with the basic Heston Model.I wanted to know if my code was right. ...
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How does VIX interpolate implied volatilities?

In the CBOE VIX white paper (direct link to PDF), it is explained that once the implied volatility of the near and next-term options $\sigma_1^2$, $\sigma_2^2$ are found, the constant-maturity 30-day ...
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Angular bracket notation (physics)

In a few papers I have seen the following notation: $$ \langle X_t \rangle $$ Also, in Bergomi's book, at page 8, we have the following equality: $$ \biggr\langle \int_0^T e^{-rt}s^2 \frac{d^2P_{\hat{\...
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$\frac{\partial C_{BS}}{\partial T}$ in local volatility derivation in terms of implied volatility

In Gatheral's book, in the derivation of local volatility in terms of implied volatility, we use the regular Dupire formula $$ \frac{\partial C}{\partial T} = \frac{1}{2} \sigma^{2}K^{2}\frac{\partial^...
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R: How do i finish the tails in the risk neutral density, obtained from option prices

Im currently working on constructing the risk neutral probability distribution of a stock, based on the option prices. In doing so, i calculate the implied volatilities from the option prices, and ...
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The error term of Hagan's approximation of Black's vol in SABR

Hagans approximation of Black's implied vol in SABR is very! difficult to understand fully. But I want to ask in here if anyone can tell me more about the error term. Consider the paper: http://web....
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Volatility of a stock basket

to determine the volatility of a basket of stocks, I often use the following formula: $\sigma_{basket}=\sum_{i}\sum_{j}w_i w_j \sigma_i \sigma_j \rho_{ij}$ where the $\sigma$ are the constituents' ...
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Alternative Method for Determining Option-Implied pdf

As I am refining a pricing model to incorporate skew, and not just ATM volatilities, I need to create random realizations of the underlying consistent with the skew-implied pdf. When searching, one ...
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What is the longest number of consecutive days that options implied volatility has stayed "extremely high" for any particular underlying?

Curious as to whether or not there is any sort of all time record. Any index, future, or stock will do. Volatility must be well above the average 1 year volatility for all periods.
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3 votes
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Very close local volatility and implied volatility using Dupire's equation

I used Dupire's equation to calculate the local volatility as in https://www.frouah.com/finance%20notes/Dupire%20Local%20Volatility.pdf and Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from ...
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Implied Volatility is the harmonic average of Local Volatility

I am trying to demonstrate the famous result that states that when $T \rightarrow 0$, the Implied Volatility is the harmonic average of Local Volatility. I am st the final stage, and I have the ...
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How to interpolate on an implied volatility surface based on forward moneyness?

Should be a simple matter, but perhaps I'm misunderstanding something fundamentally. Look first at the below image of the BVOL surface from Bloomberg, to my understanding from looking at the white ...
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Implied volatility surface modelling in filtered historical simulation

What is the best way to model implied volatility surface in filtered historical simulation (other than keeping it constant)? Is it appropriate to apply GARCH-like model to every point on the surface? ...
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For any twice differential continuous function C(T, K), does there exist a sigma(t, S) that can reproduce C(T, K)?

In the Dupire's paper, he assumes that there exits a function $\sigma(t,S)$ that can reproduce $C(T, K)$. My question is that: is the assumption true for any twice differential continuous function $C(...
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Robust bounds or approximations on implied volatility skew when $\lvert \rho \rvert \rightarrow 1$

Are there any robust / non-parametric results for pure stochastic volatility models, in terms of bounds or preferably accurate approximation, for the implied volatility skew $\partial IV(k) / \partial ...
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3 votes
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How to shock the IV surface w.r.t VIX and keep AOA

I have to compute the sensitivity of a set of option prices on a single sotck (range of tenor is over the whole surface) to an increase of 100% in the VIX.. and I am trying to get to the most ...
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Does convexity in the IV space means convexity in the price space?

Let's assume that we only look at OTM options to construct a Risk Neutral Density (RND). As the RND is the second derivative of the price of the option with respect to the strike, we would expect ...
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3 votes
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360 views

Fast implied volatility for american options

Peter Jäckel has developped a method to compute implied volatilites from option prices, called "by implication", see the papers : By Implication Let's be Rational on its website -- as well as a ...
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What are the main problems for calculating the implied volatility of in the money American put options?

As stated in the question I have a problem with calculating the implied volatility for in the money put options I have a data set of 2.6 million American style plain-vanilla call and put options. For ...
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1 answer
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MBS Market Duration & Convexity

Soft question...hopefully. I am working on a swaption hedging strategy. Part of this strategy calls for a forward looking indication of changes in implied volatility, using 1m10y implied as a proxy ...
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3 votes
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Volatility surface fitting, interpolation and extension from sparse data

There are some nice papers about constrained spline fitting essentially giving you a smoothing and arb free surface. I am focusing on the oil market here: The market is essentially split in a very ...
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3 votes
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Black-Scholes IV from Characteristic Function

I'm trying to follow Gatheral 2006 on his derivation of the BSIV from a characteristic function. The most relevant formula is (5.7) page 60. $$\int_0^\infty\frac{du}{u^2+(1/4)}\Re[e^{-iuk}\left(\...
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Expected VIX at different levels of SPX

I'm looking for a model that computes the expected VIX based on SPX price moves. For instance, SPX is currently at around 2650, and VIX is at 24. If SPX jumps to 2600, at what level would the VIX be? ...
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3 votes
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Equity Options - "How do I build a forward simulation model with regards to shocks in spot pricing and IV?"

I am trying to build a "What-If" Portfolio, consisting of a total of 20 options, across different tenors, strikes (delta), but on the same security. Simply put, the objective is for me to test the ...
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Relationship between Implied Volatility Curve Derivatives and the Underlying's Moments

Very probably this question has been posed before, so if someone can pose the link to the relevant question, it would be appreciated. What is the relationship between the implied volatility skew and ...
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3 votes
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Discount of Asian vs European vols

I understand the discount for Asian vs. European vol depends on time to expiry and length of averaging period. This makes sense intuitively; a short averaging period far away blurs into a single ...
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3 votes
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What is the relation between return volatility and return rank volatility, and how can I control the latter?

I have no experience in finance, but I've been playing around with a virtual portfolio. I'm trying to control the "rank volatility" distribution - that is, the volatility of a stock's daily rank in ...
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2 votes
1 answer
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When calculating VIX, how to deal with the problem of asymmetry of put and call data?

I'm trying to calculate the VIX index according to the methodology of CBOE. I am looking at commodity options. I found that at some time, like at this minute, there are 13 call options out of the ...
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2 votes
0 answers
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If $\Delta \log(V_{t})$ behaves like the increments of fractional Brownian motion, why do we model the rough volatility as follows

From Gatheral's paper, Volatility is rough and empirical evidence, it is clear that $\big\{\log(V_{t+1})-\log(V_{t})\big\}_{t}$ behaves like the increments of fractional Brownian motion $B^{H}$ with ...
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2 votes
2 answers
164 views

How do market-makers profit & manage inventory when customers sell a lot of deep OTM options?

In a live example: Today is June 14, 1 hour before market close, and \$SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is currently at \$372.28 and the June 15 \$350 strike Put is being quoted for \$0.13 on the bid and \$0.14 ...
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2 votes
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113 views

Skew of implied volatility and skewness of returns distribution

Is there a link between those two quantities ? I think about this because, the skew of returns impacts the price of calls and puts, and therefore may be linked to the implied volatility
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Best way to measure time to expiration for options?

From my reading it seems that only trading days should be accounted for when calculating time to expiration. On the other hand, I see that VIX is calculated using every day until expiration without ...
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Filtering options for IV surface and construction for cryptocurrencies

I'm new to quant finance and currently working on my first project.I'm trying to construct the Implied volatility surface for cryptocurrencies from deribit ( as options from deribit are the most ...
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2 votes
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Is $C(K,S_t)$ a (local) martingale if PCS is broken?

When put-call symmetry holds $$ P(S_t,K) = C(K,S_t) = \frac{K}{S_t} C \left( S_t, \frac{S_t^2}{K} \right) $$ where $P$ is the market price of a put option and $C$ is the market price of a call option. ...
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