Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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Jim Gatheral's ansatz

In the Ansatz section of Jim Gatheral's book Volatility Surface (page 32), he assumes $$\mathbb E[x_s|x_T]=x_T\frac{\hat w_s}{\hat w_T}$$ where $\hat w_t:=\int_0^t \hat v_s ds$ is the expected total ...
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Autocallable option Delta

There have been numerous exotic trading desk blow ups lately, related to various reasons. However, in particular, one bank had some issues where they were pricing autocallable notes with Local ...
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Arbitrage free smoothing of volatility smile - cubic spline - implementation procedure

I am studying the paper Arbitrage-Free Smoothing of the Implied Volatility Surface, from Matthias R. Fengler (https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/6978470.pdf). The problem I want to solve is much simpler ...
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Measuring implied move priced into an event

It's well known that options price in an expected move in the underlying going into events, such as earnings announcements. I currently measure this implied move by computing the forward variance ...
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Implied vol bounded if and only if instantaneous vol bounded

I'd like to show that in diffusion models IV is bounded iff instantaneous vol is bounded if there is to be no arbitrage. So, assume a model under the pricing measure of the form $$ dS_u = \sigma_u S_u ...
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Closed formula for computing Implied Volatility from Local Volatility function

The main result of this paper (Asymptotics and Calibration in Local Volatility Models, Berestycki, Busca, and Florent. Quantitative Finance, 2002) is equation (16) on page 63, that states that: In the ...
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Caplet stripping in the bwd-looking RFR world with/without maturity adjustment

Since the beginning of this year, LIBOR rates have ceased in some markets like GBP, CHF, and JPY and rates pricing has moved into the RFR space, using compounded overnight rates as the underlying for ...
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Procedure/methodology for building equity volatility surface

EDIT: I update while making progress: I am trying to build (model implied) volatility surfaces for individual equities. I will use these surfaces to calibrate models to price different derivatives (...
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(C++) Monte Carlo pricer for SABR model to test Hagan / Paulot formulas

I'm trying to test the so-called Hagan formula (p.6 of this paper) and the Paulot formula, order 1 only (eq. (43) p.19 of this paper. For this, i'm trying to use both Euler and Milstein scheme ...
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Implied volatility from American options using python

I am currently trying to construct volatility surface from american option prices (using Cox-Ross-Rubinstein tree) in Python 2.7. Below you can find the code I came up with. Any corrections would be ...
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How companies choose earnings release dates, & effect on Implied Volatility

A company's earnings release date significantly affects weekly or monthly option prices/implied volatility. For companies that typically release earnings on the cusp of monthly options expiration, ...
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How are VIX futures being priced when the VIX itself is not being calculated because of circuit breakers

I see that CBOE has halted trading all SPX options, which means the VIX cannot be calculated. Yet VIX futures are still trading and we are very close to the last trade date for the March contract. I ...
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Best Method (Or Just a Good Method) of Predicting Intraday Volatility in Real Time?

I apologize if this is a stupid question, I'm a complete neophyte in academic finance but I am trying to learn. I am trying to create an estimate of how likely indexes are to rise/fall by x% by the ...
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In-depth derivation of implied volatility in the SABR model

I'm working through the derivation of Hagan's formula (Hagan et al, 2002) for the implied volatility of an option in the SABR model. I'm finding it pretty confusing. Most of my hang-ups are coming ...
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Working with wide bid ask spreads in option pricing model

I'm trying to fit an Heston model to market data. But market is data has some terms (<3M) with quite wide bid-ask spreads (12%-25%). Should I just use mid volatility? Is there maybe a model to pre-...
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Very close local volatility and implied volatility using Dupire's equation

I used Dupire's equation to calculate the local volatility as in https://www.frouah.com/finance%20notes/Dupire%20Local%20Volatility.pdf and Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from ...
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asymptotic behavior of the pdf constraints due to Roger Lee

In a beautiful paper, http://math.uchicago.edu/~rl/moment.pdf, Roger Lee (2004) shows that implied variance is bounded above by a function linear in the log-strike k. Does anybody know how it ...
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Anyone know if this daily report discontinue to publish? Goldman Sachs - "Global Index Volatility and Correlation Monitor"

I used to receive this daily report in my workplace from Goldman Sachs mailing list but the mailing list discontinued in May 2019 without any notice. The report is an pdf attachment which send from "...
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Quantitative approaches to measuring the effectiveness of a Stock Option Pricing Model?

My question contains many parts, but I will try to keep it somewhat focused. I am primarily looking for a framework to evaluate the accuracy of a stock-focused Options Pricing Model. One of the ...
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How is option pricing related to the correlation between implied volatlity and the underlying?

The correlation between the index returns (e.g SPX) and its changes in option-impled volatility (e.g. VIX), is strong, stable and negative (the implied volatility feedback effect). To me at least, it ...
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Black-Scholes implied volatility using a GARCH model

Why I'm not getting the same Black-Scholes implied volatility values as the ones given in the paper "Asset pricing with second-order Esscher transforms" (2012) by Monfort and Pegoraro? The ...
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Bates Model on Quantlib

I am actively trying to price an option using bates model on Quantlib.However,when I input my volatility I find the same Black Prices with the basic Heston Model.I wanted to know if my code was right. ...
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How does VIX interpolate implied volatilities?

In the CBOE VIX white paper (direct link to PDF), it is explained that once the implied volatility of the near and next-term options $\sigma_1^2$, $\sigma_2^2$ are found, the constant-maturity 30-day ...
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Angular bracket notation (physics)

In a few papers I have seen the following notation: $$ \langle X_t \rangle $$ Also, in Bergomi's book, at page 8, we have the following equality: $$ \biggr\langle \int_0^T e^{-rt}s^2 \frac{d^2P_{\hat{\...
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$\frac{\partial C_{BS}}{\partial T}$ in local volatility derivation in terms of implied volatility

In Gatheral's book, in the derivation of local volatility in terms of implied volatility, we use the regular Dupire formula $$ \frac{\partial C}{\partial T} = \frac{1}{2} \sigma^{2}K^{2}\frac{\partial^...
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R: How do i finish the tails in the risk neutral density, obtained from option prices

Im currently working on constructing the risk neutral probability distribution of a stock, based on the option prices. In doing so, i calculate the implied volatilities from the option prices, and ...
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The error term of Hagan's approximation of Black's vol in SABR

Hagans approximation of Black's implied vol in SABR is very! difficult to understand fully. But I want to ask in here if anyone can tell me more about the error term. Consider the paper: http://web....
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Volatility of a stock basket

to determine the volatility of a basket of stocks, I often use the following formula: $\sigma_{basket}=\sum_{i}\sum_{j}w_i w_j \sigma_i \sigma_j \rho_{ij}$ where the $\sigma$ are the constituents' ...
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Alternative Method for Determining Option-Implied pdf

As I am refining a pricing model to incorporate skew, and not just ATM volatilities, I need to create random realizations of the underlying consistent with the skew-implied pdf. When searching, one ...
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What is the longest number of consecutive days that options implied volatility has stayed "extremely high" for any particular underlying?

Curious as to whether or not there is any sort of all time record. Any index, future, or stock will do. Volatility must be well above the average 1 year volatility for all periods.
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What are some effective and easily implementable volatility smile/skew smoothing models?

Inspired by another post on Bakshi et al. (1997), the paper talks about the feasibility of option pricing models, particularly the SVSI-J variant. I would like to ask the Quant community if there are ...
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When getting the local vol surface from the implied vol surface, do we interpolate the strikes?

Using the dupire method: $$\sigma(T, K)=\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_{\mathrm{imp}}^2+2 \sigma_{\mathrm{imp}} T\left(\frac{\partial \sigma_{\mathrm{imp}}}{\partial T}+(r-q) K \frac{\partial \sigma_{\mathrm{imp}}...
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In the paper "By Implication" by Jaeckel, he says that put-call parity should never be used in practic

In this paper by Jackel (2006), on page 2, he writes: The normalised option price $b$ is a positively monotic function in $\sigma \in[0, \infty)$ with the limits $$ h(\theta x) \cdot \theta \cdot\left(...
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The little Heston Trap in DPS representation

I was wondering if the representation by Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000) is already accounting for the little Heston trap. DPS represent their 'general' discounted characteristic function as: $$ \...
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Popular treasury futures bond options volatility surface model/s

I am looking for volatility surface parametrisation model used for treasury futures bond options. I know that most popular for options on equities its SVI, on FX its Vanna-Volga, on rates its SABR. ...
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Options skew: when is a perfect fit desirable?

I'm still troubled by a rather basic question, namely when is a perfect fit to the vanilla skew really necessary? I think if you are trading vanilla options and/or Europeans that can in theory be ...
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How you explain that result?

I'm reading this paper : What Does the Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns? Yuhang Xing, Xiaoyan Zhang, and Rui Zhao∗ In section 2. A i found this equation: ... And ...
TheFutureIsQuant's user avatar
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Filtering options for IV surface and construction for cryptocurrencies

I'm new to quant finance and currently working on my first project.I'm trying to construct the Implied volatility surface for cryptocurrencies from deribit ( as options from deribit are the most ...
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160 views

Is implied volatility really all that usefull?

I take implied volatility as the positive floating point number which lets the BS formula match an observed option price (assuming we have some useful interest rate, some underlying, etc). How useful ...
not_sure95's user avatar
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Implied volatility surface modelling in filtered historical simulation

What is the best way to model implied volatility surface in filtered historical simulation (other than keeping it constant)? Is it appropriate to apply GARCH-like model to every point on the surface? ...
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For any twice differential continuous function C(T, K), does there exist a sigma(t, S) that can reproduce C(T, K)?

In the Dupire's paper, he assumes that there exits a function $\sigma(t,S)$ that can reproduce $C(T, K)$. My question is that: is the assumption true for any twice differential continuous function $C(...
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Robust bounds or approximations on implied volatility skew when $\lvert \rho \rvert \rightarrow 1$

Are there any robust / non-parametric results for pure stochastic volatility models, in terms of bounds or preferably accurate approximation, for the implied volatility skew $\partial IV(k) / \partial ...
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3 votes
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167 views

How to shock the IV surface w.r.t VIX and keep AOA

I have to compute the sensitivity of a set of option prices on a single sotck (range of tenor is over the whole surface) to an increase of 100% in the VIX.. and I am trying to get to the most ...
raptor22's user avatar
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Does convexity in the IV space means convexity in the price space?

Let's assume that we only look at OTM options to construct a Risk Neutral Density (RND). As the RND is the second derivative of the price of the option with respect to the strike, we would expect ...
guest93456789's user avatar
3 votes
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574 views

Fast implied volatility for american options

Peter Jäckel has developped a method to compute implied volatilites from option prices, called "by implication", see the papers : By Implication Let's be Rational on its website -- as well as a ...
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What are the main problems for calculating the implied volatility of in the money American put options?

As stated in the question I have a problem with calculating the implied volatility for in the money put options I have a data set of 2.6 million American style plain-vanilla call and put options. For ...
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Volatility surface fitting, interpolation and extension from sparse data

There are some nice papers about constrained spline fitting essentially giving you a smoothing and arb free surface. I am focusing on the oil market here: The market is essentially split in a very ...
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Black-Scholes IV from Characteristic Function

I'm trying to follow Gatheral 2006 on his derivation of the BSIV from a characteristic function. The most relevant formula is (5.7) page 60. $$\int_0^\infty\frac{du}{u^2+(1/4)}\Re[e^{-iuk}\left(\...
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Expected VIX at different levels of SPX

I'm looking for a model that computes the expected VIX based on SPX price moves. For instance, SPX is currently at around 2650, and VIX is at 24. If SPX jumps to 2600, at what level would the VIX be? ...
user3294195's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
378 views

Local variance derivation by Gatheral

I've bought Gatheral's book on Local Volatility and I have troubles with understanding a part where he shows that local variance is a conditional expectation of instantaneous variance. Why in the ...
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