Questions tagged [implied-volatility]

The volatility of the price of the underlying security that is implied by the market price of an option based on an option pricing model.

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65 views

Why does a Bermudan option have a higher implied volatility than its European counterpart?

I get that the premium for an earlier exercise should be higher to compensate the seller but intuitively you would think that the spot has "less room to run" in a potentially shorter period of time (...
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Vol surface fitting with 5 degrees of freedom

For an options market making operation I need to be able to build a volatility surface, based on only 5 degrees of freedom, like e.g.: MaxPut, MaxCall, Skew, Curve and At The Money Vol. Is there an ...
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No arbitrage conditions for normal implied volatility

usually the term implied volatility refers to Black-Scholes implied volatility (also Log-Normal volatility): it is defined as a quantity which when plugged in the Black-Scholes formula returns the ...
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Implied volatility for puts vs calls [duplicate]

I was trying to create a replication portfolio of options for a Variance Swap and noticed that there is a jump when moving from below strike puts to above strike calls. Something similar to this: I ...
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On which model is based the Finite Differences method for implied volatility computations?

I am very new to finance, so I don't know if my question makes sense but I have seen that there are different methods to estimate the implied volatility of an American Option. One of them is the ...
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Hagan et. al original argument for SABR

In the original SABR paper (Hagan et al 2002 ), the introduction of the famous model is motivated by the observation that local volatility models spot dynamics work the wrong way. As the spot ...
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1answer
33 views

How to project 1 Year ATM Implied volatility for SPX 500 1Year from now? Final goal is to calculate 1 Year Call prices on SPX 500 1 year from now?

I have the historical data for 1Year ATM Implied Volatility on SPX 500. I want to simulate the 1 year call option prices 1 year from now. What methods and approaches do I need to use? (Heston,GARCH, ...
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242 views

Black Scholes on Eurodollar Options

I am trying to replicate the Black Scholes results of CME option calculator for options on Eurodollar Options. (link) I am trying to replicate the implied volatility result by unaltering the spot and ...
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Practical approach to get average option IV

Is there a practical method to calculate some sort of average IV for each level of moneyness of equity options? I'm thinking of an algorithm to find mispriced options and do to so, we need to figure ...
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Hedging with implied volatility

I am reading this article by R. Ahmad and P. Wilmott: Which Free Lunch Would You Like Today, Sir?: Delta Hedging, Volatility Arbitrage and Optimal Portfolios Let $V^{i}$ the market value of an ...
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Implied/Realised Vol ratio for negative rates?

I'm trying to calculate the implied vs realised vol ratio for different swaptions across major currencies. This works fine for the likes of USD and GBP as rates are positive. However I'm struggling ...
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120 views

MBS Market Duration & Convexity

Soft question...hopefully. I am working on a swaption hedging strategy. Part of this strategy calls for a forward looking indication of changes in implied volatility, using 1m10y implied as a proxy ...
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Volatility time weights calculation

I. Clark introduces the concept of volatility time in Foreign Exchange Option Pricing under which the implied volatility should be interpolated in time with the formula below: where w is a weight ...
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Computing implied volatilities of ITM and OTM options

For an ATM call the implied volatility can be computed by using the Newton-Raphson method: ...
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How to find the volatility indices corresponding to equity indices?

I have a list of equity indices that I got through Eikon API (with Python). I successfully got their time series but at this point I would need the corresponding implied volatility, which is not ...
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182 views

Question on Realized Vol vs Implied Vol

I have heard the following argument- barring transaction fees, if my estimation of future realized vol is 30% and 1-month ATM implied vol is 20%, then I could potentially buy a 1-month ATM call/put ...
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97 views

To use daily volatility or annual volatility

From Joshi's Quant Interviews books: The statistics department from our tell you that the stock price has followed a mean reversion process for the last 10 years, with annual volatility 10% and ...
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156 views

What is the connection between the risk neutral implied density and the real world density?

I understand that we can use option prices to imply volatilities and ultimately to imply a risk neutral density. I also understand that this implied density is not the same as the "real world density"....
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How to interpret Realized Volatility and TSRV using R

I am looking at some high frequency data and I would like to know how to interpret and compare Realized volatility (RV) and Two Scale Realized Volatility (TSRV). References below. Given X is the log ...
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169 views

VXX Put pricing

Last week at Friday's close, the Dec 14 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.68 with VXX at \$40.29. This week at Friday's close, the Dec 21 37.5 Put options were selling for \$.38 with VXX at \$40.50....
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Instability in risks using local volatility

I am valuing vanilla call options using FDM with Crank Nicolson discretization and Rannacher smoothing (mind you, I am having the same issue on MC) and I am getting unstable delta, gamma and theta. I ...
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Robust bounds or approximations on implied volatility skew when $\lvert \rho \rvert \rightarrow 1$

Are there any robust / non-parametric results for pure stochastic volatility models, in terms of bounds or preferably accurate approximation, for the implied volatility skew $\partial IV(k) / \partial ...
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1answer
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Measuring implied volatility

I'm a new in financial engeneering and trying to understand basic principles of volatility modelling. I wrote many papers and articles about different models (garch, local vol, stoch vol and ect.) and ...
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Calculating Implied ATM Volatility with Vega

Can we calculate Implied ATM volatility with Vega? Normally, Vega is derived from Volatility, but I wonder the availability of the opposite way.
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Variance swap volatility - ATMF vol, Skew and Curvature

In a pure diffusion setting, it is a well known result that the volatility $\sigma_T$ of a fresh-start variance swap of maturity $T$ as seen of $t=0$ verifies \begin{align} \sigma_T^2 &= \Bbb{E}_0^...
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Since implied volatility is the standard deviation of returns, why do people treat it as the standard deviation of the price process?

In the Black Scholes framework, the parameter sigma (volatility) is the standard deviation of the underlying's returns NOT the standard deviation of the underlying price process. But I often see when ...
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calibration - negative call price [closed]

Im trying to calibrate a stochastic volatility model to market. I end with an MSE of 2-3 with approximately 500 quotes. Some out of the money options with call-price under 1 dollar ends up being ...
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In building volatility curve for etf options, should I use synthetic forward price or cash price

Assuming option market moves faster than ETF cash price in intraday high frequency setting. That means at each time point, when implied volatility is calculated by black-schole model by using cash ETF ...
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68 views

Should we calculate the implied volatility surface with Put+Call?

We have Sungard data (MarketPlace8), but for nearby maturities the ask-bid of the calls are all the same when we are out of the money (call), so should we calculate the implied volatilities of calls ...
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581 views

“Extract” the density of the underlying, given the implied volatility “surface”

Suppose given implied volatility quotations $\widehat{\sigma}(T_i,K_j)$ of call options on an underlying $S$ for various expiries $T_i$'s and strikes $K_j$'s. I am interested in the following problem :...
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118 views

Compute implied volatility surface of a put option from a call option

Suppose the function double bsCall(double S0, const double &K, double T, double r, double sigma) computes analytically the Black-Scholes price of a call option ...
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2k views

Value of Call Option as Volatility goes to Infinity

Why would the value of a call option go infinity as volatility goes to infinity? I understand how you could solve this question by taking $\sigma \rightarrow \infty$ in the solution to the black ...
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276 views

Intuitive explanation for the smile in FX

What is the intuitive reason for the smile in FX? For equities this usually down to crash risk.
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539 views

what's the relationship between forecasted stock volatility and implied volatility?(option)

what's the relationship between forecasted stock volatility and implied volatility? I know that implied volatility is the volatility calculated by BS formula, is there any relationship between implied ...
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119 views

What are popular metrics for Option Skew?

What are popular metrics to track skew? Would it be the difference between OTM option and ATM option IV? Would it be a percentage difference in IV? Also, if both are valid, would a % change be ...
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1answer
74 views

Why does implied volatility increase when we lower the risk-free interest rate?

I don't understand it, when I calculate it I see it, but I can't explain it. Plus, $\frac{\partial C}{\partial \sigma}$ is positive so, could you explain me please ? Is it because the market is more ...
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What is the point of volatility curve fitting?

What is the point of fitting curves to the implied smile in the market? (Other than pricing exotics where the hedging instruments are vanillas). How does fitting a vol curve help you trade/market make ...
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FX Volatility surface bid/ask

I have bid/ask vols (straddles, risk-reversals and market strangles) for FX pairs, I want to create a mid/bid/ask volatility surface in strike/maturity space after a consistent smile calibration ...
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198 views

Deriving implied volatility programmatically

I'm working on a project to calculate the value of options using Python. I'm using the Black-Scholes model, and I can get accurate results by plugging in a given ...
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72 views

Downward-sloping volatility skew in equity prices

I’m learning the market price for FRM, and I’m having a hard time understand a question in the assessment: From my understanding, the volatility skew for equity is the graph on the right upper corner:...
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How many options would be required to dynamically replicate the VIX nowadays?

The VIX is a portfolio of OTM options on the SPX with non-zero quotes. From CBOE white-paper: Only SPX options quoted with non-zero bid prices are used in the VIX Index calculation. [...] As ...
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Understanding the ZABR model (an extension of SABR)

http://janroman.dhis.org/finance/SABR/ZABR%20Andreasen.pdf In this acticle the SABR model is first presented in another form ( see equation 7 in the article ) and then extended to the so called ZABR ...
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Local volatility and Stochastic Volatility

Please help me understand similarity and differences between local volatility and Stochastic Volatility both intuitively and mathematically.
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The error term of Hagan's approximation of Black's vol in SABR

Hagans approximation of Black's implied vol in SABR is very! difficult to understand fully. But I want to ask in here if anyone can tell me more about the error term. Consider the paper: http://web....
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96 views

Fair Strike for Variance Swap with no Skew in IV Surface

I am reading through Derman's 1999 research notes, "More than you ever wanted to know about Volatility Swaps." In equation B4 of Appendix B, the author takes the Taylor Series of the variance swap ...
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Different volatility surface ( Local vol, Stochastic vol etc.)

Despite many questions about local and stochastic volatility available on this forum, i still have a few doubts left. Essentially I am seeking validation whether I am interpreting things correctly. ...
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Intraday and Intra-Week Pattern of Implied Volatility in FX market

Q1. How does implied vol changes from market opening time to market close time? I have read that it decreases during the day i.e. it opens high and closes low. what is intuitive and mathematical ...
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161 views

Relation between Implied and Historical Volatility of GBPUSD and USDGBP

Q1. How is the implied volatility of GBPUSD and USDGBP related to each other mathematically? Please explain this intuitively as well. Q2. How is the historical volatility of GBPUSD and USDGBP ...
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What is the intuition behind “jumps” causing volatility skew?

Some models use jumps as a way to explain volatility skew. I understand that if jumps exist, then you are "mishedged" as you no longer can continuously hedge. Options have a gamma component and ...
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Are vega vanna volga methods/models used in equity derivatives or only in FX and why?

Vega vanna volga models seem to be popular is the FX derivatives market and are often calibrated via 25 delta risk reversal, vega weighted butterfly, and ATM straddle quotes. I am wondering if they ...

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